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Search took 0.05 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: imofe
Forum: Harness Racing 09-01-2014, 05:45 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 1,711
Posted By imofe
From what I saw he popped out of the pocket early...

From what I saw he popped out of the pocket early at Gingras only to settle back. Then he made the full commitment just before the 3q mark. Seeing Gingras wired the field and the fractions were...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 09-01-2014, 01:47 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 3,777
Posted By imofe
The previous weekend I did not see him, but I saw...

The previous weekend I did not see him, but I saw him two days ago on Saturday. Up to this point he said he is winning with the progression hitting in the low 40's and getting back 95 cents on the...
Forum: Harness Racing 08-29-2014, 12:11 AM
Replies: 86
Views: 6,292
Posted By imofe
I think there were definitely reasons to like...

I think there were definitely reasons to like Danielle Hall in the race, but having the best driver in the race never crossed my mind.
Forum: Harness Racing 08-27-2014, 11:16 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 5,415
Posted By imofe
Can you provide a list of tracks that use the...

Can you provide a list of tracks that use the computer line David?
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 08-26-2014, 11:54 PM
Replies: 71
Views: 7,207
Posted By imofe
If I am forced to pick only two horses in every...

If I am forced to pick only two horses in every five horse field, I could see 28%. But in races where I think only two can possibly win out of five, 28% is too high in my opinion.
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 08-26-2014, 09:24 PM
Replies: 71
Views: 7,207
Posted By imofe
Maybe it's me and I am reading this wrong. But if...

Maybe it's me and I am reading this wrong. But if long term I considered 2 contenders in 5 horse fields and my 3 throwouts won 28% of the time I would not be happy.
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 08-25-2014, 11:30 PM
Replies: 71
Views: 7,207
Posted By imofe
Couldn't you set the non contenders percentage at...

Couldn't you set the non contenders percentage at what they win at as a group? So if your contenders win 80%, the non contender group would be assigned 20%. In the two contender race, the odds would...
Forum: Harness Racing 08-23-2014, 01:15 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 908
Posted By imofe
This can be a little misleading depending on how...

This can be a little misleading depending on how you use it. For example, a win bet on Casey Leonard (Balmoral's leading driver) every time he is on the horse for the 1st time in the official program...
Forum: Harness Racing 08-22-2014, 03:57 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,346
Posted By imofe
Thanks Ray. It does sound tricky.

Thanks Ray. It does sound tricky.
Forum: Harness Racing 08-22-2014, 01:38 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,346
Posted By imofe
imofe, You got that right Trying to teach the...

imofe, You got that right
Trying to teach the robot on which horse(s) are likely to leave is really tricky.
I use the average position gained/lost from post to halfmile marker over last 6 starts, ...
Forum: Harness Racing 08-21-2014, 08:01 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 3,571
Posted By imofe
Mandatory payout next Saturday (8/30).

Mandatory payout next Saturday (8/30).
Forum: Harness Racing 08-21-2014, 05:20 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,346
Posted By imofe
I think you make some good points about outside...

I think you make some good points about outside posts. Let's say you have a horse that just wired the field in a similar class from Post 3. Today he has drawn Post 7 and there is a big speed horse...
Forum: Harness Racing 08-21-2014, 02:18 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 10,346
Posted By imofe
I think it can be done. But it is not just...

I think it can be done. But it is not just separating certain favorites from each other. I believe it is more situational. Not just the ability of the horse. I would look for horses that will be on...
Forum: Harness Racing 08-18-2014, 12:11 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 3,465
Posted By imofe
Bacon, What would you suggest as the...

Bacon,

What would you suggest as the solution? Open stretch at Big M and Mohawk.This would really help.
Forum: Harness Racing 08-17-2014, 10:50 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 3,465
Posted By imofe
Biscuit, I feel sorry for the guy who had a...

Biscuit,

I feel sorry for the guy who had a P3 or P4 to this horse. The payouts were huge. But he certainly should have come down in my opinion.
Forum: Harness Racing 08-17-2014, 03:45 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 3,465
Posted By imofe
For those that think you can not come down for...

For those that think you can not come down for cutting a pylon on the lead while turning for home, watch the replay of the 6th at Tioga. Sumatra taken down for exactly what Gingras did with Amped Up...
Forum: Harness Racing 08-13-2014, 12:30 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 872
Posted By imofe
Nice pick on Audrey Pearl Ed!

Nice pick on Audrey Pearl Ed!
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 08-11-2014, 01:46 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 3,777
Posted By imofe
Okay. This should be interesting. His planned...

Okay. This should be interesting. His planned progression based on the probable consecutive losses will be a step up in one unit after three losses to a max of 15 plays ( losses). So max losses would...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 08-10-2014, 05:06 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 3,777
Posted By imofe
Sorry about that. Thank you Mike and Ray. Mike's...

Sorry about that. Thank you Mike and Ray. Mike's post and Ray's attachment were both very helpful.
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 08-10-2014, 12:49 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 3,777
Posted By imofe
True Dave. I guess for me it is very entertaining...

True Dave. I guess for me it is very entertaining to watch because I am overly conservative without too many mood swings. This guy is like a roller coaster ride.
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 08-09-2014, 11:26 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 3,777
Posted By imofe
Yep. And I don't think this guy has the patience...

Yep. And I don't think this guy has the patience not to make action bets. Especially if he starts to get some bad breaks, he could go on tilt.
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 08-09-2014, 06:16 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 3,777
Posted By imofe
Thank you Robert. I have an acquaintance at the...

Thank you Robert. I have an acquaintance at the track who asked me this and I said I would get back to him. He is a big bettor who was recently offered 8% on all his bets. He thinks he can obtain 45%...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 08-09-2014, 02:20 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 3,777
Posted By imofe
probable max losses in a row

What would be the correct way to calculate probable max losses in a row at a 45% winning clip over 1000 trials?
Forum: Harness Racing 08-08-2014, 12:14 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,421
Posted By imofe
There was $3200 in that exacta pool. Just a case...

There was $3200 in that exacta pool. Just a case of almost everyone making tickets with the big chalk on top only.
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 08-06-2014, 11:56 PM
Replies: 89
Views: 8,907
Posted By imofe
For some reason, people think that you only have...

For some reason, people think that you only have knowledge in an area if you can explain it. Schools use this for evaluating students and it is very popular.
True story. I am being taken around by...
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