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Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: f2tornado
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-04-2019, 07:29 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
Ugh. I had a $4 7/20 exacta. Plus some future...

Ugh. I had a $4 7/20 exacta. Plus some future pool plays.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-02-2019, 06:15 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
That was so four races ago. Good for his odds,...

That was so four races ago. Good for his odds, however. Dust Commander...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-02-2019, 12:32 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
Agree. The early speed is to his inside and there...

Agree. The early speed is to his inside and there is nothing strong early to his right until you hit the auxiliary gate. He should have no trouble at the start and picking his path. His early...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-01-2019, 06:24 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
With Omaha out this one gets a big boost, IMO....

With Omaha out this one gets a big boost, IMO. Smith could have hounded him on the outside. His entire outside is now almost totally devoid of speed and he should get tucked in cleanly.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-01-2019, 06:00 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
He may win or finish up the track. At 10-1 or so...

He may win or finish up the track. At 10-1 or so I'm willing to take a chance he might just be a special horse. Slow early pace or not, that FL Derby final 3/8th was the fastest I've seen in a 9F...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-24-2019, 06:40 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
Would dramatically favor the lead pack types. The...

Would dramatically favor the lead pack types. The last three times a closer won the 3/4 fraction was sub 1:10. Since then it’s been six winners with around 1:11.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-24-2019, 04:09 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
Add Game Winner in that mix as well and that's...

Add Game Winner in that mix as well and that's pretty much how I see it playing out barring a bad break for one of them. I'm thinking the exacta is within that quartet and potentially the trifecta....
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-24-2019, 11:23 AM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
I can agree with this. Further, hard closing...

I can agree with this. Further, hard closing Raise A Native sire line horses have a huge Derby winning impact value. I'm using him with a couple others. He could be a special horse or could be an...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-22-2019, 11:55 AM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
I don't get too caught up in works but am...

I don't get too caught up in works but am inclined to agree on this item. Both horses have done well being forwardly placed. Mike times a move better than most anyone, but,... I know MS can fun a...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-09-2019, 04:20 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
Yep. I like him, especially with Ortiz, but...

Yep. I like him, especially with Ortiz, but trouble prone horses won't find the Derby any easier. He will probably pass a bunch of horses in the final two panels but I expect comes up short of the...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-09-2019, 01:27 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
Indeed. My comparison stopped at the Rebel. I'm...

Indeed. My comparison stopped at the Rebel. I'm just not seeing strong early speed or much compelling late speed at a 9F prep for this Derby so whatever horses go early have far more than a puncher's...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-09-2019, 08:41 AM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
I said the same after American Pharoah walked the...

I said the same after American Pharoah walked the dog (https://timeformus.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/screen-shot-2015-05-27-at-3-59-09-pm.png) in the Rebel. Oops. And he had some genuine speed to...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-08-2019, 09:52 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
Given there has been a different winner for...

Given there has been a different winner for almost every prep one could consider this one the most competitive fields in history or one of the biggest piles of shat in history.

With the fall of...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-05-2019, 04:18 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
I'm beginning to think this Derby will resemble...

I'm beginning to think this Derby will resemble another merry go round.

We know MS can be fast early as evidenced by his sprints. We know he can be fast late per the FL Derby. We shall see if he...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-05-2019, 01:41 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
He did press in his second start which should add...

He did press in his second start which should add some confidence he doesn't need to be on the engine. He would probably benefit from an inside draw if he does go for a War Emblem style theft....
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-05-2019, 10:18 AM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
I think MS is the real deal. The only item that...

I think MS is the real deal. The only item that gives me a small amount of pause is there were five horses in that race including Hidden Scroll that ran a final 3/8th in 37.8 or less. That's not...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-02-2019, 11:50 AM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
Yep and yep. Maybe he'll end up in the Pat Day...

Yep and yep. Maybe he'll end up in the Pat Day Mile. Still a young lightly raced horse. Could improve down the road but doesn't appear to want much more than a mile. He got all the buzz while Maximum...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-01-2019, 04:35 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
Justify had a DI of 3.00 which is a good number....

Justify had a DI of 3.00 which is a good number. American Pharoah 4.33 which is par for recent times. 4.00 was once considered the cutoff however the average winning figure has been increasing for...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-01-2019, 11:40 AM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
He's been up and coming...

He's been up and coming (https://www.equibase.com/profiles/Results.cfm?type=People&searchType=T&eID=222130&rbt=TB) for a couple years now. Only recently started to getting more stakes calibur horses....
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-31-2019, 02:21 PM
Replies: 210
Views: 21,642
Posted By f2tornado
Strike the Gold is the only one I’m aware of....

Strike the Gold is the only one I’m aware of. I’ll probably have to use MS. Hard to not use a Mr. P with female family 1 that ran a fast final 3/8th winning the FL Derby. Hits too many angles.
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