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Search took 0.04 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: pmd62ndst
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-13-2005, 03:40 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,680
Posted By pmd62ndst
1/9 Morning Line

I was right and I was just trying to be funny! Lost in the Fog is a 1/9 morning line favorite. Too bad I couldn't put any money down on that guess.

We had a thread about 1/5 morning line...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-11-2005, 08:07 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,680
Posted By pmd62ndst
Lost in the Fog vs Nobody

I've been looking forward to seeing Lost in the Fog at Golden Gate Fields in the Golden Bear so I can see exactly how fast this horse runs and maybe yell at the owner for not running him in the Derby...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-12-2005, 01:54 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,020
Posted By pmd62ndst
Strengths: - My programming & database...

Strengths:

- My programming & database skills have allowed me to query and validate various theories.

- Maiden favorites to place at big tracks. Claiming longshots to win at small tracks....
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-09-2005, 12:50 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 1,811
Posted By pmd62ndst
This should come as no surprise but Lost in the...

This should come as no surprise but Lost in the Fog is a 1/5 morning line favorite in today's Bay Shore Stakes at Aqueduct.

Bet the house!

PMD
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-28-2005, 09:48 PM
Replies: 76
Views: 7,483
Posted By pmd62ndst
Speaking of Oscar nominated films, I thought...

Speaking of Oscar nominated films, I thought "Closer" was about a horse with late speed.

PMD
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-25-2005, 06:13 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 1,087
Posted By pmd62ndst
Breakage Rant

A little while ago, I had stated that I like to wager place bets on favorites which caused a small debate on whether that angle was legitimate or if I was just crazy. One person responded to me that...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 02-11-2005, 04:11 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 667
Posted By pmd62ndst
They've been talking about that since 1992. In...

They've been talking about that since 1992. In fact, here's a quote from Bay Meadows President Jack Liebau in a Feb 2nd article from the San Francisco Chronicle:



Here's the full article...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-10-2005, 01:31 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 2,130
Posted By pmd62ndst
A few years ago, I remember a local weatherman...

A few years ago, I remember a local weatherman was interviewed because he won some award for getting the highest percentage for predicting the weather over the past year. He was saying how computer...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-08-2005, 08:14 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 3,047
Posted By pmd62ndst
I originally got the idea for betting favorites...

I originally got the idea for betting favorites to place from this webpage:

http://turfpedia.com/betting/place_show.html

Let's just say that betting legitimate at-odds favorites to place have...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-08-2005, 05:11 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 3,047
Posted By pmd62ndst
First of all, welcome to the board. To...

First of all, welcome to the board.

To answer your question, the win and place bets are separate entities and should be bet on their own devices. A place bet should never be used to hedge a win...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 02-03-2005, 05:49 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 1,844
Posted By pmd62ndst
Gulfstream 6 of 6 pays $799,191.60 Don't...

Gulfstream 6 of 6 pays $799,191.60

Don't mean to brag but I won it...




*ahem* <grumbling>if i had 3 more winners</grumbling>.

Too bad 3 of 6 doesn't pay or I'd be rich. Oh well. ...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 02-02-2005, 07:04 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 1,844
Posted By pmd62ndst
Carryover Thursday!

Damn right it's a good day to call in sick.

Gulfstream adds to the intrigue with a $378,558 carryover.

PMD
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-18-2005, 01:20 PM
Replies: 43
Views: 3,950
Posted By pmd62ndst
Isn't this the "key race" theory? If a couple...

Isn't this the "key race" theory? If a couple horses from a particular race improve and do well in their next race, then watch other horses from that same race in their next race?

PMD
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-17-2005, 06:37 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,988
Posted By pmd62ndst
Past odds as a handicapping factor

Does anybody use the odds of a horse in past races as a handicapping factor?

In a recent thread, someone had asked for the "most significant handicapping factor" which I responded by saying that...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-16-2005, 04:38 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 1,811
Posted By pmd62ndst
8 for 8!

Still perfect.

Sweet Catomine won by two lengths but check out the betting pools:

Win pool: $143,393. Sweet Catomine: $101,861
Place pool: $502,192. Sweet Catomine: $478,383.

No show...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-16-2005, 02:26 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 1,811
Posted By pmd62ndst
100% Win Percentage!!

There's a lot of talk about Win Pct and ROI on this board but who can boast a method with a 100% hit rate?

In all my data, there's only been one sure thing: a horse with a 1/5 morning line. 7...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-12-2005, 01:44 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 2,240
Posted By pmd62ndst
I think that my statistical study has shown a...

I think that my statistical study has shown a >little< value? *laugh*

The one thing that stood out from my study is that bad workouts are worse then no published workouts. In poker terms, if...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-11-2005, 02:15 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 2,240
Posted By pmd62ndst
Statistically Speaking: Average Horse wins...

Statistically Speaking:

Average Horse wins 12.2%.
Average Horse with no works in three months: 11.5%
Average Horse with at least one bullet in last three months: 15.8%
Average Horse with all...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-11-2005, 01:40 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 3,657
Posted By pmd62ndst
For what it's worth...

Does anyone lurk around any offshore sports book forums?

One of the largest ones is theRX at http://forum.therx.com. Those guys talk about Pinnacle all the time but it's always about Football,...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-11-2005, 01:21 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 1,617
Posted By pmd62ndst
After keeping meticulous records for over 2...

After keeping meticulous records for over 2 years, this is my second winter and my second losing losing winter. December was a bad month for both years, especially this year.

Started wondering if...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-10-2005, 06:31 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 1,322
Posted By pmd62ndst
Last year, my tax guy told me that I would be...

Last year, my tax guy told me that I would be able to write off all my W2-Gs.

He said that you can write off your gambling losses up to the point of your winnings.

I asked him how I was...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-04-2005, 02:05 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 2,151
Posted By pmd62ndst
WORTH IT If you have the means...

WORTH IT

If you have the means (programming/database skills) then take the time and free yourself from having to pay someone else for figures.

PMD
Forum: Handicapping Software 12-22-2004, 02:12 PM
Replies: 60
Views: 9,885
Posted By pmd62ndst
First, allow me to preface that there is no...

First, allow me to preface that there is no single handicapping factor that will provide a positive ROI. Now...

By far, the most significant handicapping factor is the final odds. It is the most...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-13-2004, 06:45 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,841
Posted By pmd62ndst
sq764, I'm not so much interested in the...

sq764,

I'm not so much interested in the question as to why you asked it.

I, too am evaluating my systems after an especially bad week. SJK, you said it about lots of muddy tracks this week...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-12-2004, 06:46 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 2,868
Posted By pmd62ndst
Dave, 9/11? PMD

Dave,

9/11?

PMD
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