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Showing results 1 to 25 of 101
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Posts Made By:
romankoz
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
10-21-2023, 08:26 AM
Replies:
50
Can you quickly describe how you handicap?
Views:
7,522
Posted By
romankoz
One: list the horses at 4/1 or less in races...
One: list the horses at 4/1 or less in races where the class of race is good (subjective but experience sorts this out quite quickly most times)
Two: delete the get back early types unless they are...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
09-20-2023, 09:32 AM
Replies:
39
Bet to Win and Place, or just to Win?
Views:
3,434
Posted By
romankoz
There are exceptions to every rule as Tom (the...
There are exceptions to every rule as Tom (the top poster on this forum) makes more profit bet Win/Place in a 1-3 ratio at odds of 9/2 and higher and has done this for years.
RKOZ replies: Most...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
09-19-2023, 08:47 AM
Replies:
39
Bet to Win and Place, or just to Win?
Views:
3,434
Posted By
romankoz
In Australia betting for the place is for 1st 2nd...
In Australia betting for the place is for 1st 2nd and 3rd in fields of 8 or more.
Numerous figures I have kept over the years clearly shows win only stands out. Betting 1 win 4 place or any other...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
07-08-2023, 09:58 AM
Replies:
37
Odds Line
Views:
3,023
Posted By
romankoz
When I price my A selection I try to imagine how...
When I price my A selection I try to imagine how comfortable I would be offering a certain price if I were a bookmaker.
I also think "is this horse 50/50 to place" (In Australia that's 1st 2nd or...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
07-04-2023, 07:35 AM
Replies:
57
3-2-1 Betting System by RPM
Views:
6,762
Posted By
romankoz
For the astute bettor there are many examples of...
For the astute bettor there are many examples of insider information readily available by studying where trainers nominate and finally send their runners. Long distance visit costs money for most...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
07-01-2023, 07:16 PM
Replies:
38
Target betting is a maligned form of staking
Views:
3,125
Posted By
romankoz
No problems Robert: I respect your opinion on my...
No problems Robert: I respect your opinion on my opinion: that's what makes the world go around!
Mathematics is both a weird and wonderful world. Although I am not a strict mathematician my...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-30-2023, 11:42 PM
Replies:
38
Target betting is a maligned form of staking
Views:
3,125
Posted By
romankoz
All I can state is go back and re-read my early...
All I can state is go back and re-read my early postings and realise my idea of price brackets and how to create the divisor is NOT the strict due column betting that has been written about in past...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-30-2023, 12:28 AM
Replies:
38
Target betting is a maligned form of staking
Views:
3,125
Posted By
romankoz
RKOZ: No rebates involved.
RKOZ: No rebates involved.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-29-2023, 07:59 PM
Replies:
38
Target betting is a maligned form of staking
Views:
3,125
Posted By
romankoz
Thaskalos asks: if we can't show a profit with...
Thaskalos asks:
if we can't show a profit with flat bets...will a method of some sort of "progressive wagering" transform us from "losers'" to 'winners'?
RKoz replies:
Your statement is too...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-29-2023, 03:46 PM
Replies:
38
Target betting is a maligned form of staking
Views:
3,125
Posted By
romankoz
RKOZ: Lefty covers your comments. The moment...
RKOZ:
Lefty covers your comments. The moment you target bet on higher priced runners you open yourself to long runs of outs so if for instance you have a range of 10/1 to 20/1 I would be using a...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-29-2023, 03:41 PM
Replies:
38
Target betting is a maligned form of staking
Views:
3,125
Posted By
romankoz
[QUOTE=zerosky;2887020]There is a wealth of...
[QUOTE=zerosky;2887020]There is a wealth of research about 'chasing your losses' This is from just one.
"Loss-chasing describes the tendency of a gambler to amplify their betting in an effort to...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-29-2023, 03:36 PM
Replies:
38
Target betting is a maligned form of staking
Views:
3,125
Posted By
romankoz
RKOZ: I realise your tote system has what seems...
RKOZ:
I realise your tote system has what seems like past posting/very late changes but perhaps you can get around that long term. You can use a good morning pre post assessment. What might be 3/1...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-29-2023, 03:31 PM
Replies:
38
Target betting is a maligned form of staking
Views:
3,125
Posted By
romankoz
RKOZ: Explanation needed, please.
RKOZ: Explanation needed, please.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-29-2023, 08:16 AM
Replies:
38
Target betting is a maligned form of staking
Views:
3,125
Posted By
romankoz
Americans call this "Due Column Betting": sorry...
Americans call this "Due Column Betting": sorry should have mentioned.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-29-2023, 08:14 AM
Replies:
38
Target betting is a maligned form of staking
Views:
3,125
Posted By
romankoz
[QUOTE=Dave Schwartz;2886989]Can you describe...
[QUOTE=Dave Schwartz;2886989]Can you describe what you mean by "target betting?"
Hi Dave,
Trying to win $x per race where $x might be $0.10, $1 or $10 or more depending on how rich you are!
As...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-29-2023, 05:30 AM
Replies:
38
Target betting is a maligned form of staking
Views:
3,125
Posted By
romankoz
Target betting is a maligned form of staking
When I tinker around with system type selections I use target betting as a way of eking out a few dollars to cover my coffee addiction.
Most bettors who have tried target betting flop because they...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-15-2023, 09:18 AM
Replies:
171
How to make money in horse racing
Views:
20,402
Posted By
romankoz
Quote from Benter The odds set by the public...
Quote from Benter
The odds set by the public betting yield a sophisticated estimate of the horses' win probabilities
.
RKOZ replies: They always have. It is believed by many that Betfair is the...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-15-2023, 09:08 AM
Replies:
27
Finding a subset for favorites
Views:
2,717
Posted By
romankoz
There are three types of favourites: true,...
There are three types of favourites: true, middling and false. There will never be a book or paper published that will show a profit of 10% on all three types as a combination.Where 10% can be made...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-15-2023, 08:43 AM
Replies:
82
Using two handicapping methods
Views:
8,192
Posted By
romankoz
[QUOTE=thaskalos;2877468]Whether we consult speed...
[QUOTE=thaskalos;2877468]Whether we consult speed figures, pace figures, class ratings, or psychics...we are guaranteed to lose at least 70% of our bets when we are betting on a single horse to win....
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
05-14-2023, 08:10 AM
Replies:
9
I'm winning - is it real____?_____will it last____?
Views:
1,337
Posted By
romankoz
[QUOTE=classhandicapper;2876097]I prefer betting...
[QUOTE=classhandicapper;2876097]I prefer betting high quality races because I've always had better success using figures, class, pace, bias etc.. in high quality races . I think that's because in...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-13-2023, 09:14 PM
Replies:
2
Who sets the odds
Views:
607
Posted By
romankoz
Thanks Dave W I would assume that the "someone"...
Thanks Dave W
I would assume that the "someone" is a respected price maker in the area. Over here sports businesses like Sportsbet, the TAB (parimutuel), Ladbrokes etc spend millions per year making...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-13-2023, 08:46 AM
Replies:
2
Who sets the odds
Views:
607
Posted By
romankoz
Who sets the odds
Here in OZ we have one or two leaders who seem to set the prices for upcoming races almost as soon as the final fields are published.
Is there a US eqyuivalent?
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-13-2023, 08:38 AM
Replies:
171
How to make money in horse racing
Views:
20,402
Posted By
romankoz
REPLY I agree with Classhandicapper re "where I...
REPLY
I agree with Classhandicapper re "where I feel confident I know something about a horse that is not commonly understood". My approach to that is about deleting runs where the horse has not...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-07-2023, 08:06 AM
Replies:
171
How to make money in horse racing
Views:
20,402
Posted By
romankoz
[QUOTE=Triopstor;2875675]There's a famous...
[QUOTE=Triopstor;2875675]There's a famous incident at a Handicapping seminar. Andy Beyer and some one else as part of a celebrity panel was asked "What is the breakdown of handicapping and money...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-07-2023, 08:00 AM
Replies:
171
How to make money in horse racing
Views:
20,402
Posted By
romankoz
RKOZ: Absolutely THE question with some trainers.
RKOZ: Absolutely THE question with some trainers.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 101
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