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Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: clemkadiddle
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-01-2015, 08:45 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 1,854
Posted By clemkadiddle
I keyed :15: Frosted over :2: Carpe Diem, :8:...

I keyed :15: Frosted over :2: Carpe Diem, :8: Dortmund, :12: International Star, and :18: American Pharoah.

Hoping Dortmund and Pharoah don't make it...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-28-2015, 11:27 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 3,411
Posted By clemkadiddle
Big Bomb Possible

I think Jack Trip has a legitimate shot.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-16-2015, 09:13 PM
Replies: 61
Views: 6,367
Posted By clemkadiddle
In my defense, I was a stupid kid in my early to...

In my defense, I was a stupid kid in my early to mid 20's and expected no more than 25-1. I was thinking that if the stable was putting one across, there would have to be some action.

My mentor...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-15-2015, 03:31 PM
Replies: 61
Views: 6,367
Posted By clemkadiddle
The Worst Defeat

The worst is when you defeat yourself. Not the stewards, not a bad ride, not bad racing luck...one's own decision changed with the result of the race being what one had originally made a personal...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-06-2015, 08:15 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 824
Posted By clemkadiddle
Post March 7th 3YO TC Stakes

Tampa Bay Derby: #7 Great Stuff

Gotham Stakes: #1X Blame Jim

San Felipe: Splitting hairs with #1 Lord Nelson and #9 Sir Samson; don't expect Ocho Ocho Ocho to do much because he's had plenty...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-05-2015, 08:38 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 31,015
Posted By clemkadiddle
Apology accepted. Let's beat this game... I...

Apology accepted. Let's beat this game...

I might have some selections for this Saturday's 3YO Stakes...Not saying these are betting races, but we'll see what happens...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-05-2015, 07:05 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 31,015
Posted By clemkadiddle
WTF

It doesn't matter in using basic division to dispute my assessment. It only matters to the horse...

In my calculations 56.2 FPS drains the horse's racing energy twice as fast as covering the same...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-05-2015, 03:09 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 31,015
Posted By clemkadiddle
I'm with you on this one Dave. The fact that A...

I'm with you on this one Dave. The fact that A ran a constant pace for 4 furlongs without showing the fluctuation of coasting...with quite a bit left in the tank for the last quarter.

This is the...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-05-2015, 03:04 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 31,015
Posted By clemkadiddle
Using "simple" algebra...but you won't win any...

Using "simple" algebra...but you won't win any races with that calculation.
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-04-2015, 10:00 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 31,015
Posted By clemkadiddle
Here's the problem to your hypothetical: What if...

Here's the problem to your hypothetical: What if horse A was coming off the bench and ran a sparkling half-mile on the lead and then shut down? This is precisely the problem using speed ratings...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-04-2015, 09:56 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 31,015
Posted By clemkadiddle
Never read anything by Sartin...or Brohammer...or...

Never read anything by Sartin...or Brohammer...or Cramer...

Just me and my abstract thought processes and a whole lot of time...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-04-2015, 09:45 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 31,015
Posted By clemkadiddle
The "2 minute lick"

44 FPS is the standard in which I base my formulas. The reason: A "2 minute lick" is an old training method that trainers use. It means the horse is galloped a mile in 2 minutes.

Horses that...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-04-2015, 04:05 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 31,015
Posted By clemkadiddle
Segments

You have to have a way of understanding that the calculations in the latter part of the race are a result of the calculations in the earlier segments. Pace makes the race and always will.
...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-03-2015, 08:31 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 31,015
Posted By clemkadiddle
The Overall Objective

The overall objective of my work was to equate efforts at different distances...even over different surfaces...where parallel time fails.

Parallel time has been accepted as the standard for all...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-03-2015, 08:04 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 31,015
Posted By clemkadiddle
Correct...I don't know what everyone else is...

Correct...I don't know what everyone else is doing. My library consists of books at least 30 years old...and this is the basis of a lot of work in it. Even Beyer's Speed Figures are based on 1/5 of...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-02-2015, 10:02 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 31,015
Posted By clemkadiddle
Calculations in General

BRIS or Beyer are based on the same flawed theory of parallel time. I use them...but only to reverse-engineer the final time of the race where the 100-point score was awarded and compare that to...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 02-23-2015, 09:33 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 906
Posted By clemkadiddle
High Pace/Energy Figures

Actually, I was surprised at what my calculations were telling me about Itsaknockout from his mile on Jan. 24th. These were Bayern kinds of numbers, which are quite rare from a horse this age.
...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 02-03-2015, 08:23 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 10,182
Posted By clemkadiddle
Detroit Area

See a few of us from the Detroit area...expressing our fond memories of Hazel Park and the DRC...

The seediest place I bet from is the one I have been betting from for years...Northville Downs.
...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-20-2015, 07:49 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 13,322
Posted By clemkadiddle
Talking The best....ever...I guess I really won then huh?...

The best....ever...I guess I really won then huh?

:rolleyes:
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-20-2015, 07:46 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 13,322
Posted By clemkadiddle
Smile hahahahahahahaha I won last year...did you? ...

hahahahahahahaha

I won last year...did you?

I will win this year...will you?

:rolleyes:

Red Skelton? Actually this is a nickname bestowed upon me from a notorious rail bird in the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-20-2015, 04:41 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 13,322
Posted By clemkadiddle
The psychology of the situation plays into it. ...

The psychology of the situation plays into it. After all, if I have anxiety when betting more than I can afford to lose, then I am destined to make the wrong decision. Once one is out of their...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-20-2015, 12:15 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 13,322
Posted By clemkadiddle
Yes...it means you're a loser AND $20...

Yes...it means you're a loser

AND

$20 is enough if you're worth a shit. I made over 4 grand...maybe 5...last year with that approach, but it always ranged from $20 - $30.

My mentor once...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-19-2015, 09:27 PM
Replies: 132
Views: 13,322
Posted By clemkadiddle
Scared money never wins...

That was what my mentor used to say.

First of all, never bet what you can afford to lose. Once that's gone, you quit.

If you are in a losing streak (believe me been there done that) it is time...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-13-2015, 08:35 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 1,313
Posted By clemkadiddle
Pony Name

If I owned horses, I would start naming them after the stuffed ones my wife bought for me over the years.

Since she is a filly, I have one that I always called...

Sugar Hooves

Please name...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-05-2015, 09:36 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 3,872
Posted By clemkadiddle
Detroit Race Course

I remember you Vic from the old DRC days...it now is a Costco and a Meijer Supermarket...

I agree about Hollywood...so much history...GONE... The big stars, the glitz, the glamour...and the great...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 52
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