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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-28-2018, 03:51 PM

Replies: 40

Does this type of stat exist?

Views: 7,928

Posted By classhandicapper

There are 2 common approaches to finding value. ...

There are 2 common approaches to finding value.

1. Figure out how important each factor is in predicting the winner and then combine them into a model for making an odds line to determine your...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-28-2018, 12:10 PM

Replies: 40

Does this type of stat exist?

Views: 7,928

Posted By classhandicapper

When I first started playing this game I used to...

When I first started playing this game I used to pay close attention to jockey switches, jockey trainer combos, and red hot riders getting a lot of live mounts. Then somewhere along the line I...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

01-09-2018, 01:55 PM

Replies: 40

Does this type of stat exist?

Views: 7,928

Posted By classhandicapper

Something like that would be especially useful on...

Something like that would be especially useful on an inside or outside biased track.

So would knowledge of which riders pick up on biases quickly and ride to their advantage and which don't. That...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

01-09-2018, 01:50 PM

Replies: 40

Does this type of stat exist?

Views: 7,928

Posted By classhandicapper

One of the problems with all these stats is that...

One of the problems with all these stats is that jockeys take money independently of the horses they ride.

We have to make sure what we want our metric to measure.

Do we want to measure...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

01-09-2018, 12:32 PM

Replies: 40

Does this type of stat exist?

Views: 7,928

Posted By classhandicapper

Here's a quick sample of the kind of thing you...

Here's a quick sample of the kind of thing you can do in 5 minutes.

This is Jockey performance for riders that had a minimum of 25 mounts on favorites at AQU, BEL and SAR. This covers about 2...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

01-09-2018, 09:28 AM

Replies: 40

Does this type of stat exist?

Views: 7,928

Posted By classhandicapper

It should be possible to tweak the model a little...

It should be possible to tweak the model a little to correct for that.

I'm not saying this is the solution, but if you look at all favorites and determined average finish, then any finish above...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

01-08-2018, 04:27 PM

Replies: 40

Does this type of stat exist?

Views: 7,928

Posted By classhandicapper

I like this idea a lot. If I have some...

I like this idea a lot.

If I have some extra time, I'll write the query and do the calculations for NYRA for 2017 and post the results later in the week.

Showing results 1 to 7 of 7

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