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Search: Posts Made By: AndyC
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-20-2018, 12:57 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,475
Posted By AndyC
Opening day is the biggest day of the year for...

Opening day is the biggest day of the year for DMR, it is comparable to no other day of the meet. It reflects the current view of the local community about racing. What used to be a can't miss...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-20-2018, 12:28 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,475
Posted By AndyC
From a spectator's standpoint it was probably a...

From a spectator's standpoint it was probably a perfect scenario. From DMR's standpoint it's probably a canary in the coal mine.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-20-2018, 12:26 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,475
Posted By AndyC
You would think that handle is where the money is...

You would think that handle is where the money is but DMR makes their profit from the people who attend the track. The racing is about a breakeven venture.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-20-2018, 08:33 AM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,475
Posted By AndyC
I was there too and remember how crowded it...

I was there too and remember how crowded it seemed. I never missed a day at Del Mar for 30 years and that day seemed extra crowded. Comfortable it was not!

The difference in perspective could be...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-19-2018, 01:34 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,475
Posted By AndyC
Opening day is THE day for Del Mar and always has...

Opening day is THE day for Del Mar and always has been. It is a good barometer of interest from fans not found on horse racing forums. The small crowd speaks volumes to that end.

The good news is...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-19-2018, 08:30 AM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,475
Posted By AndyC
So maybe Del Mar doesn't have it figured out....

So maybe Del Mar doesn't have it figured out. Their vision isn't immune to the decline in the popularity of racing.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-17-2018, 11:39 AM
Replies: 50
Views: 2,691
Posted By AndyC
Isn't it simply the higher the odds of the...

Isn't it simply the higher the odds of the favorite the worse they perform? I doubt that even money favorites perform worse in a large field than they would in a small field.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-15-2018, 07:25 PM
Replies: 50
Views: 2,691
Posted By AndyC
So your algorithms are just for race classes? If...

So your algorithms are just for race classes? If the algorithms are used to identify a vulnerable favorite wouldn't that be horse-by-horse? The theme of this thread seems to have centered on a...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-15-2018, 02:21 PM
Replies: 50
Views: 2,691
Posted By AndyC
Trying to determine vulnerable favorites based on...

Trying to determine vulnerable favorites based on race type is a fool's game. If a disparity did exist it would soon be discovered and the edge would quickly dry up. Vulnerable favorites need to be...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-12-2018, 08:44 PM
Replies: 112
Views: 3,640
Posted By AndyC
No doubt. Leverage is not something you add...

No doubt. Leverage is not something you add blindly, there is a skill to the proper application.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-12-2018, 08:40 PM
Replies: 112
Views: 3,640
Posted By AndyC
If you know how to leverage correctly the cost...

If you know how to leverage correctly the cost should not be a problem.

While you might not see a reason others might see a reason. It doesn't fit your style so it is perfectly logical that you...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-12-2018, 08:08 PM
Replies: 112
Views: 3,640
Posted By AndyC
I don't read the selection threads so really...

I don't read the selection threads so really can't respond to the motivations of the respondents who want to offer exacta or trifecta selections. I can only guess that picking a winner is not viewed...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-12-2018, 04:50 PM
Replies: 112
Views: 3,640
Posted By AndyC
Has little to do with lack of...

Has little to do with lack of knowledge/conviction. It's more like not wanting to wait 30 minutes between races to bet $10 on a 2-1 horse to win. Call it the excitement factor.

If a bettor is...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-11-2018, 09:35 PM
Replies: 50
Views: 2,691
Posted By AndyC
Are you suggesting that a 3/2 favorite in a NW2L...

Are you suggesting that a 3/2 favorite in a NW2L wins at a rate lower than 3/2 favorites in other types of races? There may in fact be fewer winning favorites in NW2L but there is probably a higher...
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 07-06-2018, 08:20 PM
Replies: 136
Views: 5,495
Posted By AndyC
I doubt that money is a leading motivator for...

I doubt that money is a leading motivator for Kawhi. See https://moneyinc.com/nba-star-kawhi-leonards-unorthodox-style-saving-money/
His personality also doesn't suggest that he is seeking the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-06-2018, 06:23 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 2,131
Posted By AndyC
Could you forward me that mail? I have been...

Could you forward me that mail? I have been looking for something just like that.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-06-2018, 03:47 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 2,131
Posted By AndyC
For the most part I concur. I have found,...

For the most part I concur. I have found, however, that when playing P-6s a handicapping partner can be quite helpful. Personalities and handicapping styles need to be compatible. A partner whose...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-06-2018, 03:39 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 2,131
Posted By AndyC
Richard Carter must not have been very profitable...

Richard Carter must not have been very profitable at betting horses. When I met him in the early 90s he was quite sociable.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-06-2018, 03:32 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 2,131
Posted By AndyC
Education level has zip to do with a person's...

Education level has zip to do with a person's ability or inability to collaborate and communicate.
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 07-06-2018, 10:30 AM
Replies: 136
Views: 5,495
Posted By AndyC
A "system guy" usually applies to offense. He is...

A "system guy" usually applies to offense. He is a lockdown defensive player. As for his offense, he can play with his back to the basket and he can also square up and take his jumper. His 3-point...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-05-2018, 12:34 PM
Replies: 112
Views: 3,640
Posted By AndyC
If bettors did what you suggest above they would...

If bettors did what you suggest above they would never bet on anything. Lines are efficient in the aggregate but that doesn't mean you can't find bets looking at lines for a specific game.

Why do...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-05-2018, 07:52 AM
Replies: 112
Views: 3,640
Posted By AndyC
Betting on all NFL games is done in an efficient...

Betting on all NFL games is done in an efficient market in the aggregate. There is nothing special about the Super Bowl. There have been many studies done on the efficiency of betting markets. Being...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-04-2018, 08:12 PM
Replies: 112
Views: 3,640
Posted By AndyC
Your friend is full of crap. The super bowl is...

Your friend is full of crap. The super bowl is no different from any other game. A good bettor either sees an edge or they don't. Efficiency exists in the aggregate and not necessarily in individual...
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 07-04-2018, 07:03 PM
Replies: 136
Views: 5,495
Posted By AndyC
How so? The guy is a top defensive player every...

How so? The guy is a top defensive player every year. His offense has improved significantly each year. He gets 25 points a game and shuts down the other teams best player. I would take 5 just...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-04-2018, 06:40 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 1,004
Posted By AndyC
I, too, would play the higher odds horse until...

I, too, would play the higher odds horse until such time that you have adequate data that might indicate the opposite play.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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