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Search: Posts Made By: Mick
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-21-2021, 09:04 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 3,464
Posted By Mick
That is one of my plays, two speed horses running...

That is one of my plays, two speed horses running 1-3 in Superfectas. Quite often it works out that way, though the last time Major General win and Stellar Tap ran much further back. I think it is...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-20-2021, 01:11 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 1,011
Posted By Mick
2 year old dirt sprint races are my bred and...

2 year old dirt sprint races are my bred and butter today, this is my first year real handicapping and since experienced gamblers avoid these races, I do a lot of work and feel I have an advantage. ...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-20-2021, 01:07 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 3,464
Posted By Mick
Not bread and butter but for new people like me,...

Not bread and butter but for new people like me, I would say Superfectas are a great way to learn, have fun and maybe get lucky.

I bet skinny Superfectas where I have 2 or maybe three strong...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-12-2021, 05:11 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 2,798
Posted By Mick
Actually, odds manipulation could take another...

Actually, odds manipulation could take another form. In my scenario, say people do as I suggest and start betting WP on a horse I don't like. That drives up the odds on other horses and I remove my...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 09-11-2021, 11:17 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 4,911
Posted By Mick
The larger question is are you and Dave going to...

The larger question is are you and Dave going to the breeders cup this year. Curious minds want to know. I am not sure I will make it but would give more consideration if you two would be there....
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-11-2021, 11:03 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 2,798
Posted By Mick
I like this take on your question. I had...

I like this take on your question.

I had never considered this scenario but say I bet $100K to show on a horse at a small track that didn't take much money. It would encourage people to bet...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-06-2021, 09:32 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
Last day at Saratoga, I had my moment of Zen. ...

Last day at Saratoga, I had my moment of Zen.

I hadn't capped the Hopeful at all but I knew most of the main players even including Tom Amoss's Kevin Folly. Looking at the odds I pondered the...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-06-2021, 04:23 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,054
Posted By Mick
Would love to see this bunch together in one race...

Would love to see this bunch together in one race but it will never happen. Why take on the best risking a loss when you can grab a good purse against easier? I'd say we have an excellent 3 year...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-05-2021, 10:24 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,054
Posted By Mick
Three 3 year old horses would disagree: ...

Three 3 year old horses would disagree:

Flightline
Life Is Good
Jackie's Warrior

I don't know their Beyer number but damn, they smoke.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-28-2021, 02:01 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
Another tip of the hat to Al Hattab. I know he...

Another tip of the hat to Al Hattab. I know he was short priced but I was all over Jack Christopher on the win end and also in Doubles. I'd have never gone all in like that without the XBTV...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-26-2021, 11:34 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 1,282
Posted By Mick
The example you have there are 4 FTS, how do you...

The example you have there are 4 FTS, how do you rate FTS horse performance?

To me, a horse with a race has an experience advantage and may have better fitness (having to really work, instead of...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-25-2021, 06:17 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
While I played the winner on top, I lost money as...

While I played the winner on top, I lost money as I was betting exotics and left out the people's winner (and David Aragon's top selection) Saratoga Chrome. I learned a couple of lessons from my...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-25-2021, 10:15 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
Race six is a mile and a sixteenth grass affair...

Race six is a mile and a sixteenth grass affair for two year old state bred fillies.

1. Solib - The first race for this daughter of American Pharaoh was poor but to be fair against open company...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-25-2021, 05:23 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
In the words of Mark Twain.

In the words of Mark Twain.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-23-2021, 02:34 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 1,035
Posted By Mick
Twin Spires has them starting in the morning. ...

Twin Spires has them starting in the morning. They recommend communicating on line, which also is easy and effective at times. I used that the first two months but haven't needed to for over a...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-23-2021, 12:01 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
I totally agree with you. Computer programs are...

I totally agree with you. Computer programs are so well designed and software written to gather data and predict outcomes and that is someone's advantage but not mine.

I doubt that any computer...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-19-2021, 09:51 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
I use the free brisnet PPs that I get with Twin...

I use the free brisnet PPs that I get with Twin Spires along with statistics, and race replays, primarily. Equibase is a big help as is Pedigreequery. For workout videos I use XBTX but I only see...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-18-2021, 04:36 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
I bet Monshun to WP as my primary bet with a win...

I bet Monshun to WP as my primary bet with a win bet on Pout at 20-1. Not a bad day.

I posted that to David Aragon on twitter.

https://twitter.com/BTW_Mick/status/1428053651701084170
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-18-2021, 08:50 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
Race #3 at Saratoga

1. Pout - She's had three tries, the last two at $100K, seems to have been working on her speed not stamina. That said, you have to give this one credit for not taking the easy road and running...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-18-2021, 08:48 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
Race #3 today at Saratoga, Rusty has a (Nyquist)...

Race #3 today at Saratoga, Rusty has a (Nyquist) horse that I don't favor today, but could surprise or develop later named Lockstep. I will post my analysis
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-17-2021, 09:22 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
Yes, thanks to you and classhanidcapper, I am...

Yes, thanks to you and classhanidcapper, I am learning about trainers. Some have them ready to fire first out and others allow the horse to develop in a race or two. I heard Rusty Arnold is like...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-16-2021, 10:53 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 741
Posted By Mick
I don't have data other than a spreadsheet of the...

I don't have data other than a spreadsheet of the 2 year old horses that I bet and those are on different surfaces and distances. I'd say turf sprints were all going towards speed and stalkers. ...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-15-2021, 04:23 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
All good things come to an end, I swung big in...

All good things come to an end, I swung big in race 2 with a live longshot Baj (32-1). He led to close to a mile but the race had another sixteenth to go and he finished a little tired in 4th...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-15-2021, 02:14 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
Not a bad start with a 2 year old race. 30161

Not a bad start with a 2 year old race.

30161
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-15-2021, 06:04 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 7,657
Posted By Mick
I totally agree about Gunite. He was my third...

I totally agree about Gunite. He was my third choice because of his improvement. Brigadier General stunk it up last week, or he would have been in my top two picks.

I think Nakatomi ran well...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 51

 
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