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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-20-2007, 10:50 PM

Replies: 46

Impact Factor versus true probability

Views: 8,924

Posted By Jeff P

GT, you wrote:It looks like your experiences with...

GT, you wrote:It looks like your experiences with odds lines are almost exactly the same as my own. I've also found that when I stick to contenders (which by my own definition are horses with hidden...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-20-2007, 09:01 PM

Replies: 46

Impact Factor versus true probability

Views: 8,924

Posted By Jeff P

Couldn't finish editing my last post before the...

Couldn't finish editing my last post before the time limit expired... so I'll pick up where I left off...

Overlay, you posted:It looks like our approaches differ in the way we use odds lines.
...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-20-2007, 08:32 PM

Replies: 46

Impact Factor versus true probability

Views: 8,924

Posted By Jeff P

Warning. This post could get long. And it may...

Warning. This post could get long. And it may ruffle some feathers because it goes against what a lot of others out there have advocated. Can't help that. The subject matter deserves a complete...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-20-2007, 02:32 PM

Replies: 46

Impact Factor versus true probability

Views: 8,924

Posted By Jeff P

Nice thread so far. :ThmbUp: postet by...

Nice thread so far. :ThmbUp:

postet by robert99-

In practice what I tend to do is this: Run a large sample for a given factor and take note of both the impact value and roi. After you've...

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