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Search took 0.02 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: ClassTrumpsSpeed
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 05:14 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 7,122
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
How about also establishing that NET WINNINGS be...

How about also establishing that NET WINNINGS be put in the "gambling income" box on the Form 1040? The way it's done now, you can "win" $6k on a signer, deduct 6k in losses, pay "no taxes" on the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 05:07 PM
Replies: 365
Views: 28,180
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
I don't believe I am "authorized" to show up the...

I don't believe I am "authorized" to show up the "experts" on this board.

Besides, if I did, *everyone's* ROI would take a hit.

Indeed, if I published everything I know about handicapping and...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-23-2010, 02:12 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 2,253
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
I still think eliminating state and local taxes...

I still think eliminating state and local taxes on gambling winnings for bets placed in the state is the best way to avoid the problem of money flying to other states. The feds should do it too for...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-23-2010, 02:04 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 2,253
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
How about eliminating state and local taxes on...

How about eliminating state and local taxes on winning wagers placed in teh state of california? That would keep the home state's population from straying too far. MONMOUTH is the one that is...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-23-2010, 02:01 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 2,629
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
Most women will not risk pairing off with a...

Most women will not risk pairing off with a gambler due to the risk of ruin that is not present with more "stable" types, like those with regular jobs and 401(ks)....oops.

If you go, do your...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 01:49 PM
Replies: 89
Views: 8,315
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
This is particularly true at Monmouth, where...

This is particularly true at Monmouth, where horses "winter" a lot at Pha, sometimes not running a lick. Many of those return to their NJ figs once they ship back too. Frustrating as hell to deal...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 01:48 PM
Replies: 89
Views: 8,315
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
With the money they save by tossing laid-off...

With the money they save by tossing laid-off horses?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 01:44 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 4,241
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
Beyer said a cold trifecta is, but he was wrong,...

Beyer said a cold trifecta is, but he was wrong, I believe.

Twice in my life, I've had five of six in a p6 on a single $2.00 ticket, both times with no consolation payoff, though I wouldn't have...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 11:23 AM
Replies: 89
Views: 8,315
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
I am convinced some trainers like to arken a...

I am convinced some trainers like to arken a horse's form just prior to a layoff, to jack up the price on the return. It's very e4asy to do, just add a few workouts-within-races to a horse with...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 11:20 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 2,345
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
So I've heard, but someone is obviously parking...

So I've heard, but someone is obviously parking their talented butt in the place pool!
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-23-2010, 07:46 AM
Replies: 80
Views: 6,170
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
Why "Delta Downs At Monmouth" Will Fail

they tried this already at Garden State Park in 1985, running it like a big circuit instead of the shitty midlantic venue it was.

Bitgger purses? More incentive to the connections to cheat, and...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 06:10 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 2,345
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
Why The PLACE Pool Is The MOst Difficult To Beat

Do people really think it's the breakage? That accounts for maybe $0.03 of one's ROI at most.

The real reason is the reduced risk, and the desire for horseplayers to just live an easy life by...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 05:36 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 6,451
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
Two-thirds winners at $4.20 is still a $1.40 ROI....

Two-thirds winners at $4.20 is still a $1.40 ROI. FORTY PERCENT PROFIT.

Even if you were a spendaholic, it would not be "very difficult" and you wold not be "hanging in there." You'd be...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 04:55 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 6,451
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
Nothing wrong with buying stocks at $100.00 that...

Nothing wrong with buying stocks at $100.00 that should cost $140.00 (the equivalent ROI of the 9-5 that should be even-money), but do you rally think the stock market is littered with this type of...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 04:39 AM
Replies: 48
Views: 3,954
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
Lower takeouts are not possible. Too many people...

Lower takeouts are not possible. Too many people would win and siphon too much money from the pools.

Truly viable jobs need not be "saved."
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 04:36 AM
Replies: 48
Views: 3,954
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
How did this work for Delta Downs and its jackpot...

How did this work for Delta Downs and its jackpot for the Derby Trail?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 04:34 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 2,200
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
Only to the extent they don't get profit from the...

Only to the extent they don't get profit from the takeout. Their "bettors" still get the $2.10, which is why the goal is to lose the big bet, and eliminate the minus pool. If this is not the case,...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-23-2010, 04:27 AM
Replies: 365
Views: 28,180
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
Because YOU can't.

Because YOU can't.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-22-2010, 04:00 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 2,200
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
Scrutiny isn't much of an issue, since big show...

Scrutiny isn't much of an issue, since big show bets on heavy favorites are common, as are the "antibridgejumper" bets. Plus, if the favorite loses, there is no minus pool. This also wasn't a very...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-22-2010, 02:14 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 2,200
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
The idea is to pick a race where not too many...

The idea is to pick a race where not too many will try to arbitrage.

You also don't need the 98 percent to ensure a break-even; that's for a 3 percent profit or so.

Let's use a basic scenario:...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-22-2010, 11:33 AM
Replies: 365
Views: 28,180
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
Maybe YOU can't.

Maybe YOU can't.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-22-2010, 11:28 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 2,200
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
You need the right type of race, with a short...

You need the right type of race, with a short field, and a vulnerable odds-on favorite.

Not too many of those out there.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-22-2010, 11:16 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 6,451
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
You still run the risk of late scratches or...

You still run the risk of late scratches or weather/surface switches messing up your action, and the tote board for the first leg can often give information that would cut the cost of the ticket.
...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-22-2010, 11:14 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 6,451
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
There's something called the SCIENTIFIC METHOD. ...

There's something called the SCIENTIFIC METHOD. It can resolve the ambiguity of your anecdotal analysis. Blithely throwing around claims like 50 percent winners at odds of 8-5 is easy as hell to...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-21-2010, 10:55 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 2,200
Posted By ClassTrumpsSpeed
This is why you use the Dr. Z method of betting...

This is why you use the Dr. Z method of betting something like 98 percent of the money to show on the favorite. This creates a minus-pool that reduces the effective takeout to next to nothing.
...
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