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Search took 0.02 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: Dark Target

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

04-22-2016, 07:39 AM

Replies: 108

Trakus

Views: 9,311

Posted By Dark Target

Yes they seem to be pure fantasy.

Yes they seem to be pure fantasy.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

04-22-2016, 06:47 AM

Replies: 108

Trakus

Views: 9,311

Posted By Dark Target

Yes i thought it would be strange that R4 was...

Yes i thought it would be strange that R4 was slow, as it seemed a fair bit faster than i expected, so i checked trakus, and sure enough the time was exactly the same...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

04-22-2016, 04:46 AM

Replies: 108

Trakus

Views: 9,311

Posted By Dark Target

Thanks mate.

Thanks mate.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

04-22-2016, 02:51 AM

Replies: 108

Trakus

Views: 9,311

Posted By Dark Target

They certainly seem fitted. Out of curiosity,...

They certainly seem fitted. Out of curiosity, what does your computer say about the time for race 4 on 29th Jan @ Singapore?

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-28-2015, 07:02 PM

Replies: 102

Weighing Factors

Views: 11,645

Posted By Dark Target

Is it supposed to, the algorithm normalizes...

Is it supposed to, the algorithm normalizes finish position based on field size?

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-15-2015, 12:39 AM

Replies: 95

Kelly Horse Race or Ziemba Roulette

Views: 12,538

Posted By Dark Target

Its absolutely nothing to do with money...

Its absolutely nothing to do with money laundering.

Its designed to stop bowlers accounts, most non punters will be willing to let you use their name (if you are good friends with them) in return...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-15-2015, 12:24 AM

Replies: 204

Optimal intra track-surface adjustments

Views: 12,885

Posted By Dark Target

Agree. But it's staggering that some would rather...

Agree. But it's staggering that some would rather argue with posters (not just steveb) who have forgotten more than most know on a particular subject rather than try and learn from them.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

11-19-2015, 08:31 PM

Replies: 14

Setting expected odds for place wagers (HK)

Views: 1,462

Posted By Dark Target

https://books.google.com.au/books/about/Efficiency...

https://books.google.com.au/books/about/Efficiency_of_Racetrack_Betting_Markets.html?id=HX2xapyqENsC&source=kp_cover&hl=en

Don't take this the wrong way, but don't waste you're time trying to...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-15-2015, 02:35 AM

Replies: 155

2015 Saratoga Daily Variants

Views: 14,692

Posted By Dark Target

Presumably he means that how fast / slow the...

Presumably he means that how fast / slow the track is gets worked out by individual horse projections, not how fast or slow each race was compared to the average for that "class" of race (which is...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-13-2015, 09:45 AM

Replies: 1,503

TimeformUS

Views: 354,470

Posted By Dark Target

I've managed to get what I needed. All I wanted...

I've managed to get what I needed. All I wanted to do was bring up the results of for instance the Belmont Stakes to see the margins and fractions were.

The way its worded on the website, they...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-12-2015, 09:00 PM

Replies: 1,503

TimeformUS

Views: 354,470

Posted By Dark Target

Cheers Grits, didnt want to hassle him direct....

Cheers Grits, didnt want to hassle him direct. Assumed a fair few people used it on here so was hoping someone might be able to show me what I missed.

Sammy, not who's business?

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-12-2015, 07:21 PM

Replies: 1,503

TimeformUS

Views: 354,470

Posted By Dark Target

Really, no one knows how to do this simple task?

Really, no one knows how to do this simple task?

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-12-2015, 09:24 AM

Replies: 1,503

TimeformUS

Views: 354,470

Posted By Dark Target

How does one go about getting the results of a...

How does one go about getting the results of a race through the Timeform US website?

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

03-01-2015, 08:40 PM

Replies: 19

Figuring coefficients in markets you control

Views: 3,379

Posted By Dark Target

Hi Jeff - many thanks, i'm not sure how I missed...

Hi Jeff - many thanks, i'm not sure how I missed that the first time around.

Much appreciated.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

03-01-2015, 06:26 PM

Replies: 19

Figuring coefficients in markets you control

Views: 3,379

Posted By Dark Target

Hi Jeff Thanks for the reply. I'm not...

Hi Jeff

Thanks for the reply. I'm not concerned with how "my" bet will effect the odds from a betting perspective, i'm already aware of that.

I'll try and phrase it another way. For simplicity...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

03-01-2015, 02:14 AM

Replies: 19

Figuring coefficients in markets you control

Views: 3,379

Posted By Dark Target

Disappointing he isn't here anymore if that's...

Disappointing he isn't here anymore if that's true.

Would be good to hear from him or Magister Ludi.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-27-2015, 01:46 AM

Replies: 19

Figuring coefficients in markets you control

Views: 3,379

Posted By Dark Target

Thanks Sapio, I will see what I can find....

Thanks Sapio, I will see what I can find. Interested in your or others thoughts as to how this can be overcome also.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-27-2015, 01:45 AM

Replies: 19

Figuring coefficients in markets you control

Views: 3,379

Posted By Dark Target

That is true, but what I mean is, when they start...

That is true, but what I mean is, when they start out they are comparing their coefficients to "clean" odds that are not impacted by them in anyway.

After each meeting as they refine their...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-26-2015, 10:24 PM

Replies: 19

Figuring coefficients in markets you control

Views: 3,379

Posted By Dark Target

Figuring coefficients in markets you control

When any of the larger syndicates start out they will either combine the log of the public's odds with their own, or combine the public odds with their independent variables to get their...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-24-2015, 10:13 PM

Replies: 248

do you think one can show a profit betting on every race?

Views: 19,913

Posted By Dark Target

Well I've lost track of the amount of joints that...

Well I've lost track of the amount of joints that wont take my business. So you need to know a lot of trustworthy people who don't mind you using their name and eventually having that shut down too....

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-24-2015, 09:42 PM

Replies: 248

do you think one can show a profit betting on every race?

Views: 19,913

Posted By Dark Target

Yes as Steve said they don't have to accept a bet...

Yes as Steve said they don't have to accept a bet of X thousand, its that they need to bet you to win X amount, and its more in the city than in the bush.

But yes, I do agree there is much more to...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-24-2015, 07:44 PM

Replies: 248

do you think one can show a profit betting on every race?

Views: 19,913

Posted By Dark Target

Its unusual for them to close above 125% these...

Its unusual for them to close above 125% these days with Betfair, but its common place for the APN to open 140% - 150% at country / bush meetings.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-24-2015, 06:34 PM

Replies: 248

do you think one can show a profit betting on every race?

Views: 19,913

Posted By Dark Target

I'm not sure what you mean by this, your post...

I'm not sure what you mean by this, your post above is in response to my answer on parimutuel pools, not fixed odds.

I particularly don't understand the bold part?

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-24-2015, 06:28 PM

Replies: 248

do you think one can show a profit betting on every race?

Views: 19,913

Posted By Dark Target

Depending on the market anywhere between 10% and...

Depending on the market anywhere between 10% and 50%.

Metropolitan race meetings on a Saturday with all runners exposed (well known) they will get down to 110%, maidens in the Country its no...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-24-2015, 05:14 PM

Replies: 248

do you think one can show a profit betting on every race?

Views: 19,913

Posted By Dark Target

There are. There a 3 different parimutuel...

There are.

There a 3 different parimutuel pools you can bet in to, each one betting on every race across the country and some overseas.

Showing results 1 to 25 of 69

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