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Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 02-11-2019, 05:11 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 1,346
Posted By GMB@BP
Baffert horses are not going to this or any races...

Baffert horses are not going to this or any races on the card, just an FYI, saw that on DRF
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 02-09-2019, 10:59 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 386
Posted By GMB@BP
If Much Better had been in this race he would...

If Much Better had been in this race he would have won, that is a serious 3yo sprinter.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 02-09-2019, 08:58 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 386
Posted By GMB@BP
Baffert horse may very well win but an inside...

Baffert horse may very well win but an inside post with a horse who doesnt break, feels like its a good time to take a shot.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 02-09-2019, 07:34 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 1,156
Posted By GMB@BP
Never liked Knicks Go but I never would have had...

Never liked Knicks Go but I never would have had the 9. While facing tougher paces he always felt a cut below top tier, which makes me question if anything out of this field should be looked at...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 02-07-2019, 11:39 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 2,628
Posted By GMB@BP
its certainly been a wet winter so far here.

its certainly been a wet winter so far here.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 02-07-2019, 10:40 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 2,628
Posted By GMB@BP
They used to move it to turf. It has a much...

They used to move it to turf.

It has a much higher clay content than sand. Sand actually has the best drainage properties. Clay tends to hold water and dry out the least, so it would get super...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 02-06-2019, 07:49 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 2,628
Posted By GMB@BP
its been this way for 40 years...why the sudden...

its been this way for 40 years...why the sudden increase? The track speed and composition is not the reason.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 02-06-2019, 07:48 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 2,628
Posted By GMB@BP
I dont think soft track equals safe track. I...

I dont think soft track equals safe track. I think unsound horses equal more injuries.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 02-05-2019, 07:34 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 651
Posted By GMB@BP
Lol, I guess you cant blame him for trying, and...

Lol, I guess you cant blame him for trying, and its not the only time and with higher profile riders than Stewart Elliot.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 02-05-2019, 07:29 PM
Replies: 54
Views: 2,628
Posted By GMB@BP
I think you have to know something about the soil...

I think you have to know something about the soil to say a track is harder than another surface just because it is fast. Turf Paradise has a very unusual mix of clay and sand that you probably dont...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 02-05-2019, 01:50 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 923
Posted By GMB@BP
While you certainly point out a valid stat some...

While you certainly point out a valid stat some context would be all 5 were very well bet, 2 on off tracks, and two would become triple crown winners.

I do think the points system has eliminated...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 02-04-2019, 11:22 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,369
Posted By GMB@BP
So he is getting off Game Winner to stay with...

So he is getting off Game Winner to stay with this one?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-04-2019, 04:34 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 1,233
Posted By GMB@BP
good point Its like E1 (FR1), was gold once,...

good point

Its like E1 (FR1), was gold once, now is not...win rates still about the same.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 02-04-2019, 04:14 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 991
Posted By GMB@BP
The top 3 finishers ran faster than any...

The top 3 finishers ran faster than any california three year old to date on that list, it will be interesting if they hold that form moving forward.

Feels a bit high but time will be a good test.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 02-04-2019, 11:01 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 923
Posted By GMB@BP
It feels to me like there is a large gap between...

It feels to me like there is a large gap between Improbable and Game Winner to the rest of the California horses this year, this winner included. I would ship to avoid those two horses if I was a...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 02-03-2019, 12:23 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,862
Posted By GMB@BP
The issue isnt the horse population because I...

The issue isnt the horse population because I agree with Andy on the numbers, the issue is does stretching a meet out, a boutique meet that is, make it better or does it devalue the novelty a bit.
...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2019, 11:42 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 1,233
Posted By GMB@BP
There is not a value to just 2nd call fractions,...

There is not a value to just 2nd call fractions, you would have to attach it to something else to find some kind of positive roi.

I have found top first call and top 2nd call are often very tough...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 02-02-2019, 12:10 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 923
Posted By GMB@BP
I just dont see a tremendous amount of talent...

I just dont see a tremendous amount of talent here unless a horse makes a giant leap forward.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 02-02-2019, 12:07 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 252
Posted By GMB@BP
3yo horses who dont break...No Thanks!

3yo horses who dont break...No Thanks!
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-29-2019, 05:24 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 1,526
Posted By GMB@BP
Great job to both of you. Lots of info and not a...

Great job to both of you. Lots of info and not a lot of bullshit.

I was wondering since it was not mentioned if you knew the pace from the Houston Ladies Classic?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-29-2019, 12:18 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 2,871
Posted By GMB@BP
I agree from a race/pace line selection. Look...

I agree from a race/pace line selection. Look forward to more info.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-29-2019, 12:16 PM
Replies: 514
Views: 26,212
Posted By GMB@BP
I would bet on City of Light at any distance up...

I would bet on City of Light at any distance up to 9F. He is the faster horse in my book to that distance, beyond sure he was not as good.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-28-2019, 01:12 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 2,871
Posted By GMB@BP
I asked the same thing on twitter, and given the...

I asked the same thing on twitter, and given the statement in the blog about how inconsistent the tracks are with the labeling I am unsure how to use this other than to say this horses best numbers...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-28-2019, 12:24 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 3,503
Posted By GMB@BP
cleared to ride...I always found that funny. It...

cleared to ride...I always found that funny. It likely went like this

"look, your bones are all healed but I strongly advise you against riding again"

Thanks doc!
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 01-27-2019, 02:48 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,369
Posted By GMB@BP
I guess I am wondering if this horse was so...

I guess I am wondering if this horse was so talented why didnt the barn or the rest of the world know he was some kind of freak? I guess if it wasnt an off track I would be less suspect of the...
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