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Search: Posts Made By: maddog42
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-23-2018, 12:22 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 606
Posted By maddog42
He won one. At Del Mar, a grade 2. He also...

He won one. At Del Mar, a grade 2. He also finished 3rd in the Preakness. I did not have him in the Derby, but I remember the $2 exacta paid 9800.
I just looked up that Derby. The $2 tri paid 133k...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-23-2018, 08:16 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,210
Posted By maddog42
Very good point. My par for grade 1 is a little...

Very good point. My par for grade 1 is a little higher but close.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-23-2018, 08:04 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 606
Posted By maddog42
That is a great Video of a tremendous hit!!! I...

That is a great Video of a tremendous hit!!! I had heard about this guy but never seen it. Thanks Papillon.
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-15-2018, 07:51 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 610
Posted By maddog42
I am impressed with his predictions and his...

I am impressed with his predictions and his reasoning. He makes a big deal of predictive power and being brutally honest about evaluations.
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-15-2018, 05:34 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 610
Posted By maddog42
I definitely goofed on the publication date, but...

I definitely goofed on the publication date, but not on his chances of Trump winning. Thanks for the correction and the worthy insights. Is their algorithm published or just described?
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-15-2018, 08:49 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 610
Posted By maddog42
Handicappers take note, chapter 8 of this book is...

Handicappers take note, chapter 8 of this book is about Bayesian probability.
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-15-2018, 07:16 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 610
Posted By maddog42
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-upda...

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-15-2018, 07:04 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 610
Posted By maddog42
I don't think so. He gave Trump a 29% chance...

I don't think so. He gave Trump a 29% chance about 48 hours before the election. I have stated this percentage in other posts.
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-14-2018, 06:50 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 610
Posted By maddog42
Nate Silver is my new hero

I picked up Nate Silvers 2002 book The Signal and the Noise today. Read about 40 pages. This is on page 11:

"A long-term study by Philip E. Tetlock of the University of Pennsylvania found that...
Forum: Off Topic - General 01-08-2018, 05:39 PM
Replies: 338
Views: 20,732
Posted By maddog42
Much like Trump if you say something I like, then...

Much like Trump if you say something I like, then its true. If you say something I don't like then its false. However, I do it much less than Trump. Even racist scumbags like Bannon tell the truth...
Forum: Off Topic - General 01-03-2018, 10:14 PM
Replies: 338
Views: 20,732
Posted By maddog42
How about the statement (sorry,not a tweet) that...

How about the statement (sorry,not a tweet) that Bannon lost his mind along with his job. Please try to keep up.
Forum: Off Topic - General 01-03-2018, 02:13 PM
Replies: 338
Views: 20,732
Posted By maddog42
You are probably very wrong about that. Judging...

You are probably very wrong about that. Judging from his tweet, Trump damn sure believes it.
Forum: Off Topic - General 01-03-2018, 11:22 AM
Replies: 338
Views: 20,732
Posted By maddog42
Bannon Calls Trump Tower Meeting Treason

http://www.cnn.com/2018/01/03/politics/bannon-wolff-fire-and-fury/index.html
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-24-2017, 11:20 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 2,200
Posted By maddog42
Thanks guys. I really appreciate it. I've been...

Thanks guys. I really appreciate it. I've been looking at patterns of when favorites might run out of the money. This really helps.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-22-2017, 07:42 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 2,200
Posted By maddog42
Percent of Favorites in the Money

With the percent of favorites winning in the low 40's nowadays.....does anyone have handy the percent of favorites finishing out of the money?
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 10-10-2017, 06:21 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 1,279
Posted By maddog42
Mine too. He was the best deep ball passer of his...

Mine too. He was the best deep ball passer of his era. Helped change the game.
Forum: Off Topic - General 09-14-2017, 07:36 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 962
Posted By maddog42
Rosecrants lost the race in November by 20 points...

Rosecrants lost the race in November by 20 points and then comes back and wins by 20. Hmmm. Counting Rosecrants, the party has picked up three previously GOP-held legislative seats in special...
Forum: Off Topic - General 09-13-2017, 07:17 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 962
Posted By maddog42
Dems Flip 2 House Seats in Oklahoma

This isn't California or New York or even Wisconsin. This is Oklahoma, arguably the most conservative state in the union. Trump won both by over 10 points in november.
...
Forum: Off Topic - General 09-06-2017, 08:46 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 6,145
Posted By maddog42
Be careful Boxcar.

Be careful Boxcar.
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-28-2017, 10:43 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 3,288
Posted By maddog42
Am I the lone commie in this group?!? I identify...

Am I the lone commie in this group?!? I identify myself as a liberal capitalist which pisses off both sides. I seem to be the only person to hit the commie button, but it is still better than Nazi.
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-28-2017, 10:37 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 1,183
Posted By maddog42
Barking up the wrong tree. Ratings are way up. ...

Barking up the wrong tree. Ratings are way up.

http://www.vulture.com/2017/05/saturday-night-live-ratings-this-season-are-unprecedented.html
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-17-2017, 07:37 PM
Replies: 84
Views: 3,849
Posted By maddog42
Wow! you are a fount of info. I didn't know any...

Wow! you are a fount of info. I didn't know any of these things! Please enlighten me further and I will be eternally grateful!
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-17-2017, 12:47 PM
Replies: 84
Views: 3,849
Posted By maddog42
Why Do Liberals Vehemently Loathe Trump?

https://www.quora.com/Why-do-some-liberals-vehemently-loathe-Trump/answer/Paul-Mainwood?ref=fb


If the shoe were on the other foot.....
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-10-2017, 06:25 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 1,241
Posted By maddog42
Raid on Manaforts Home

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/fbi-conducted-predawn-raid-of-former-trump-campaign-chairman-manaforts-home/2017/08/09/5879fa9c-7c45-11e7-9d08-b79f191668ed_story.html?utm_term=.deb72f161f74
...
Forum: Off Topic - General 07-30-2017, 10:32 AM
Replies: 138
Views: 10,744
Posted By maddog42
A full repeal will now take 60 votes. 2 days ago...

A full repeal will now take 60 votes. 2 days ago it would have taken 50.
I will post the link explaining. I did not know this was the case until yesterday. Mccain screwed the other Republicans by...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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