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Search: Posts Made By: crestridge
Forum: Handicapping Software 07-19-2018, 01:07 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 7,251
Posted By crestridge
Tom I can almost guarantee, if you utilize...

Tom

I can almost guarantee, if you utilize Bayesian odds line approach (which is more difficult to achieve) you will benefit greatly. It takes practice/work, but very helpful.
Forum: Handicapping Software 07-19-2018, 02:16 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 7,251
Posted By crestridge
Steve Fierro's "Four Quarters" discusses, if my...

Steve Fierro's "Four Quarters" discusses, if my memory is correct, three types of races, A,B,C; the C races are the most volatile, with less certainty concerning the dominate contenders. A,B, races,...
Forum: Handicapping Software 07-19-2018, 12:28 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 7,251
Posted By crestridge
I developed a method with a hit rate similar to...

I developed a method with a hit rate similar to yours, with similar results. I would have had many more plays because in many of the races I chose, there existed 3 overlays. But when I excluded any...
Forum: Handicapping Library 10-28-2017, 01:01 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 11,164
Posted By crestridge
Pace Makes The Race by Tom Hambleton The...

Pace Makes The Race by Tom Hambleton

The Four Quarters Of Horse Investing by Steve Fierro

Extreme Pace Handicapping by Randy Giles

Calibration Handicapping by Jim Lehane

Math texts on...
Forum: Off Topic - General 09-25-2017, 04:03 AM
Replies: 95
Views: 3,691
Posted By crestridge
Thas

There's a difference in neutral apathy and active disrespect; it's all in the mind/thought process. The race track gambler is only focused on the 9th race on "Sureshot" and making sure he has value...
Forum: Off Topic - General 09-24-2017, 11:25 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 3,691
Posted By crestridge
Dahoss

If indeed you wish to not support this, ok, but remember you're supporting hypocrisy, because if they really meant business, they wouldn't produce opulent lifestyles, worldviews; they would place...
Forum: Off Topic - General 09-24-2017, 09:15 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 3,691
Posted By crestridge
Sports/entertainment

Sports/entertainment individuals have long been exceedingly spoiled with excessive attention, prosperity, at the same time have turned their noses up to this country/peoples who have died for their...
Forum: Off Topic - General 11-10-2016, 12:26 AM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,442
Posted By crestridge
Clinton, Hillary

Most of the reasons for failure have been mentioned, and in reality, it's multiple issues, but if one was really attempting to find the core problem, searching closely, probably those individuals...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-25-2016, 12:12 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 2,294
Posted By crestridge
There's no more joy in life then bowing my heart...

There's no more joy in life then bowing my heart to our Creator, coming together with others who find great fulfillment in worshiping HIM! Those beautiful songs we sing, learning to see how...
Forum: Handicapping Software 02-01-2016, 12:51 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 5,012
Posted By crestridge
Check out, "The Signal And The Noise" and...

Check out, "The Signal And The Noise" and "Precision: Statistical Mathematical Methods In Horse Racing", can find them on Amazon.
Forum: Off Topic - General 01-20-2016, 08:23 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,148
Posted By crestridge
I received a call from a stern "scammer";...

I received a call from a stern "scammer"; however, I asked for his full name, badge # and from what area of the country he was calling from. Immediately upon asking these questions he hung up. I...
Forum: Off Topic - General 12-24-2015, 09:49 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 1,313
Posted By crestridge
Merry Christmas to all!! May we have a joyful...

Merry Christmas to all!! May we have a joyful heart!!
Micah 5:2, Isaiah 9:6, Matthew 1:23
Forum: Handicapping Software 11-29-2015, 07:20 PM
Replies: 62
Views: 7,008
Posted By crestridge
Odds

JCapper is what you're looking for, and supplement JCap with Bayesian calc., (read Nate Silver's Signal/Noise), and wow, you'll be set!!
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-15-2015, 01:00 AM
Replies: 72
Views: 4,776
Posted By crestridge
Turf

Turf racing requires: good contender selection (go deep), with entrants that may appear to be less than worthy, a good Bayesian odds line to locate value, and some way of evaluating these...
Forum: Handicapping Software 09-30-2015, 08:01 PM
Replies: 249
Views: 34,323
Posted By crestridge
Pace

Dave

Will you be able to "tackle" Hong Kong? I know, that seems impossible, but
just a "wish"/"dream". This whole program sounds exciting!! Hope all goes well for you!!

Crest
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 09-16-2015, 05:50 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 4,665
Posted By crestridge
Also including the relative volatility of the...

Also including the relative volatility of the race; if there's only 5 entrants, or if there are twelve entrants in a event, one usually has a certain bias with respect to strategy...picks vs value.
Forum: Handicapping Software 08-19-2015, 09:05 PM
Replies: 64
Views: 24,506
Posted By crestridge
Software

JCapper plus one other commercial "tool", plus home "grown" Excel, plus some evaluation/handicapping of outputs of these "tools". Also use Dave's
HML money management "tool".
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-18-2015, 11:56 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 2,541
Posted By crestridge
PACE

Try looking at the ratios of EPR-FFR=TPR--it's very interesting what you discover with ratios.
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 06-07-2015, 07:12 PM
Replies: 92
Views: 6,600
Posted By crestridge
Hunt/Gather

Raybo is probably correct. Those of us who are less successful probably are
weak in one or more of those areas mentioned. Probably many don't view this as a business. When you're business minded,...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 06-06-2015, 06:05 PM
Replies: 92
Views: 6,600
Posted By crestridge
Hunter/Gather

A few years ago, authors Frank Scatoni/Peter Fornatale did extensive
interviews with "gamblers", the book was, "Six Secrets Of Successful
Betters". The consensus conclusions were: 1). They're...
Forum: Selections 06-06-2015, 07:49 AM
Replies: 0
Views: 360
Posted By crestridge
Experiment

BEL RACE 11 06-06-2015


TAKE ODDS

:6: 4-1

:5: 2-1

:8: 5-1
Forum: Selections 05-23-2015, 12:28 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 434
Posted By crestridge
Experiment

BEL RACE 5 05-23-2015


TAKE ODDS

:7: 5-1

:11: 5-1

:1: 8-1
Forum: Selections 05-16-2015, 11:25 AM
Replies: 0
Views: 273
Posted By crestridge
Experiment

PIM RACE 12 05-16-2015


TAKE ODDS

:15: 3-1

:9: 5-1

:14: 7-1
Forum: Selections 05-14-2015, 06:06 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 271
Posted By crestridge
Experiment

SA RACE 6 05-14-2015


TAKE ODDS

:11: 2-1

:13: 3-1

:7: 4-1
Forum: Selections 05-14-2015, 03:09 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 313
Posted By crestridge
Experiment

PIM RACE 8 05-14-2015


TAKE ODDS

:7: 4-1

:2: 5-1

:4: ...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 166

 
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