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Search: Posts Made By: dilanesp
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-13-2018, 04:11 PM
Replies: 81
Views: 3,994
Posted By dilanesp
You can quote this back at me when he wins, but I...

You can quote this back at me when he wins, but I am extremely skeptical of Mendelssohn. I think he's a money burner.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-12-2018, 04:38 PM
Replies: 81
Views: 3,994
Posted By dilanesp
My mother calls 5 furlongs on the turf the new...

My mother calls 5 furlongs on the turf the new "American classic distance". She jokingly predicts that in 25 years, the Breeders' Cup Classic will be run at that distance.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-12-2018, 12:57 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 397
Posted By dilanesp
The best race I ever saw in person was probably...

The best race I ever saw in person was probably the 1989 BC Classic, and the most impressive performance was the 1980 Strub.

The 2016 Distaff was the best one I saw recently.

I love a good...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-12-2018, 12:51 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 2,130
Posted By dilanesp
Unlikely. I was going to be a scientist. My math...

Unlikely. I was going to be a scientist. My math scores were huge. I didn't think about being a lawyer until college.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-11-2018, 03:55 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 2,130
Posted By dilanesp
My grandfather put my father's name on a deed to...

My grandfather put my father's name on a deed to avoid real estate taxes, without telling my father he did it.

He then sued my father to get his name taken off the deed when my father found out...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-11-2018, 11:37 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 908
Posted By dilanesp
Askin, the way science works is you come up with...

Askin, the way science works is you come up with a hypothesis and then test it against future results.

The Dosage people retroactively fit a theory to prior results and then claimed 50 years of...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-11-2018, 11:32 AM
Replies: 40
Views: 2,130
Posted By dilanesp
Santa Anita is not long for this world.....

Santa Anita is not long for this world.....
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-10-2018, 04:04 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 2,130
Posted By dilanesp
I laughed, Andy.

I laughed, Andy.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-10-2018, 12:42 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 2,130
Posted By dilanesp
My grandfather was very litigious and sued my...

My grandfather was very litigious and sued my father once.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-09-2018, 12:05 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 1,877
Posted By dilanesp
Boutique tracks have to be careful about killing...

Boutique tracks have to be careful about killing the golden goose.

Especially since they have to convince horsemen to ship their horses there from other spots where they are stabled and running.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-09-2018, 12:04 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 706
Posted By dilanesp
There's nothing unacceptable about it. The San...

There's nothing unacceptable about it. The San Juan has been dying too. It's a simple matter of supply and demand- if there are horses available to run marathons, on either surface, tracks will card...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-09-2018, 12:03 PM
Replies: 81
Views: 3,994
Posted By dilanesp
Accelerate had a terrible trip in that race. With...

Accelerate had a terrible trip in that race. With a clean trip he wins much more easily.

And if he runs back to his Pacific Classic, he wins the BC by 5 lengths unless Diversify (who also had a...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-08-2018, 04:15 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 1,877
Posted By dilanesp
One thing to remember is that numbers are always...

One thing to remember is that numbers are always just one component of a handicapping strategy. If I watch a race and am visually impressed with a horse's effort, I don't give a hoot about the...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-08-2018, 04:12 PM
Replies: 42
Views: 1,743
Posted By dilanesp
If a racetrack offers a bet that has too high an...

If a racetrack offers a bet that has too high an effective takeout, DON'T BET IT. They offer show bets. Do you bet them? The takeout includes triple the breakage, which usually puts it well over 25...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-07-2018, 12:22 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 892
Posted By dilanesp
I believe his brother was Terry Gilligan, the...

I believe his brother was Terry Gilligan, the announcer at Santa Anita from 1972-74.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-07-2018, 12:12 PM
Replies: 42
Views: 1,743
Posted By dilanesp
I love Beyer. But he is not "standing up for the...

I love Beyer. But he is not "standing up for the bettors" here. He is standing up for a small class of pick 6 bettors (probably less than 4 percent) who make money on the bet.

For the vast...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-07-2018, 12:09 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 620
Posted By dilanesp
Santa Anita switched to a program with full pp's...

Santa Anita switched to a program with full pp's this year. I bet the stewards get that free. This is not a big issue.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-06-2018, 02:18 PM
Replies: 42
Views: 1,743
Posted By dilanesp
No. My feeling is that it's OK to exploit...

No.

My feeling is that it's OK to exploit small betters, but we give up the standing to make that argument against what racetracks are doing.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-06-2018, 12:47 PM
Replies: 42
Views: 1,743
Posted By dilanesp
The problem with Beyer's analogy is to most...

The problem with Beyer's analogy is to most bettors, ALL bets are crack. He doesn't actually want the racetracks to stop selling bets that are bad for small players. He just wants them to only sell...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-05-2018, 12:14 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 908
Posted By dilanesp
Well I know Seattle Slew ran ridiculous fractions...

Well I know Seattle Slew ran ridiculous fractions in 1978.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-04-2018, 10:27 AM
Replies: 81
Views: 3,994
Posted By dilanesp
He only gets credit for what he did. ...

He only gets credit for what he did.

Accelerate perforned at the top level throughout the year against open competition, and ran much faster than Justify.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-03-2018, 05:51 PM
Replies: 90
Views: 3,509
Posted By dilanesp
I certainly feel that had Santa Anita been...

I certainly feel that had Santa Anita been compelled to do so by the state, they could have figured out the drainage issues.

Remember the same ownership operates GGF. No problems there.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-02-2018, 12:44 PM
Replies: 81
Views: 3,994
Posted By dilanesp
I think if Accelerate wins the BC Classic, he...

I think if Accelerate wins the BC Classic, he will have completed an excellent year in which he dominated the handicap division in California winning all of our major races.

That will probably get...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-01-2018, 04:56 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 908
Posted By dilanesp
I don't think dosage is even fine in theory. ...

I don't think dosage is even fine in theory.

I acknowledge that the biggest problems with dosage are in practice-- female influences can't be measured, the whole theory was retroactively fitted to...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-01-2018, 04:49 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 1,301
Posted By dilanesp
With our takeout, we figure that all the horses...

With our takeout, we figure that all the horses are underlays and the bettors don't want it rubbed in their faces.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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