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Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: zoobird
Forum: Off-Site Handicapping Contests 12-28-2010, 10:34 AM
Replies: 0
Views: 832
Posted By zoobird
DerbyDreamer.com

Not exactly a handicapping contest, but pretty close:

DerbyDreamer.com (http://www.derbydreamer.com) is a fantasy horse racing contest. $12 per entry, and the monthly prizes for January will...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 02-07-2010, 06:03 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 6,287
Posted By zoobird
Jeff - You're an ass. Clearly, neither of you...

Jeff - You're an ass. Clearly, neither of you owns this content. The difference is that one of you is helping other people enjoy it (at no profit) while the other is preventing others from enjoying...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-13-2008, 06:44 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 3,206
Posted By zoobird
"Any way you want to carve it, the "Best...

"Any way you want to carve it, the "Best Predictor" of today's performance, is past performance."
Yes, and no. I'll give an example from baseball. Pitchers are paid to allow as few runs as...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-13-2008, 06:39 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 3,206
Posted By zoobird
Your point is very good, and the article is very...

Your point is very good, and the article is very good. But what you're saying isn't directly related to what the article is saying. The issue that the article is talking about is that fund managers...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 12-12-2008, 02:24 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 955
Posted By zoobird
I'm actually doing some statistical research in...

I'm actually doing some statistical research in this area for a client.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 12-02-2008, 09:42 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 1,274
Posted By zoobird
Derby Fever at its worst.

Derby Fever at its worst.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-01-2008, 09:11 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 2,950
Posted By zoobird
I would think this is really the key. Depending...

I would think this is really the key. Depending on the stable, the meaning of the dropdown may be completely different. Some stables may do it routinely in an attempt to pick up purses. Others may...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-30-2008, 06:33 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 1,049
Posted By zoobird
I wasn't in the contest, but I'd imagine that...

I wasn't in the contest, but I'd imagine that anyone who was and who was near the lead will be thinking twice about participating in another contest run by them.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-16-2008, 05:23 AM
Replies: 60
Views: 5,766
Posted By zoobird
I was thinking about this some more last night,...

I was thinking about this some more last night, and was going to address using the probabilities for this purpose even before you posted it. In these cases, the original poster's point may be...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-15-2008, 01:59 PM
Replies: 60
Views: 5,766
Posted By zoobird
I think it CAN be relied on as a predictor in...

I think it CAN be relied on as a predictor in that case, but there may be a better (more complicated) "formula" than averaging the Beyers that would allow you to separate the stronger "85 average"...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-15-2008, 09:45 AM
Replies: 60
Views: 5,766
Posted By zoobird
The problem is that what the original post means...

The problem is that what the original post means is that an average of say 85 doesn't necessarily mean the same thing if it was derived from a 75 and a 95 as opposed to a pair of 85s. I suspect the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-15-2008, 09:44 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 886
Posted By zoobird
BC Classic Handicapping

A few questions related to betting on the Breeders Cup Classic:

1. I live near Freehold Raceway. I assume they would allow betting on the BCC via simulcasting? If so, would I be able to place...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-10-2008, 11:11 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 2,557
Posted By zoobird
I think the two key factors that allow for...

I think the two key factors that allow for parimutuel 'markets' to be so efficient in selecting winners are:

1. They are accessible to everybody.
2. There isn't any limit on the amount that...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-10-2008, 10:34 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 662
Posted By zoobird
This new concept of 'horse racing hedge funds' is...

This new concept of 'horse racing hedge funds' is like a wet dream for someone like me...combines two of my favorite things in horse racing and finance.

That said, I predict this ends ugly. ...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-05-2008, 09:57 AM
Replies: 133
Views: 8,139
Posted By zoobird
Didn't Black Gold win the Kentucky Derby in 1924?

Didn't Black Gold win the Kentucky Derby in 1924?
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-04-2008, 05:58 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 720
Posted By zoobird
What happened to Einstein? I thought he was...

What happened to Einstein? I thought he was running in the Manhattan?
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-10-2008, 05:32 AM
Replies: 122
Views: 10,152
Posted By zoobird
I will bet you any amount of money that (if he...

I will bet you any amount of money that (if he remains healthy) Colonel John will run in the Derby. I'll give you 5:1 odds.

Bob Black Jack is also likely, and if he qualifies on earnings Denis...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-04-2008, 12:25 PM
Replies: 72
Views: 4,445
Posted By zoobird
There MIGHT be something to that, but a few...

There MIGHT be something to that, but a few others reasons so few may try it:

1. The trainers may be fooled by the belief that it can't be done too. They may THINK its a disadvantage...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-04-2008, 08:19 AM
Replies: 72
Views: 4,445
Posted By zoobird
Only about 12 or 13 horses have ever tried, and...

Only about 12 or 13 horses have ever tried, and only Curlin, Showing Up, and maybe one other had any talent. You can throw Big Brown out based on a belief that common sense dictates that more...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-29-2008, 06:00 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 2,396
Posted By zoobird
I think ABC is showing it at 2:30pm Eastern. Not...

I think ABC is showing it at 2:30pm Eastern. Not sure if that's just the World Cup, or other races too. Otherwise, wait about 20 minutes after each race and video will be up at...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-27-2008, 08:53 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,154
Posted By zoobird
How Quickly Can An Online Betting Account Be Active?

If I open an online account today, will I be able to place bets by Saturday?
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-26-2008, 06:24 AM
Replies: 122
Views: 10,152
Posted By zoobird
Great idea.

Great idea.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-21-2008, 06:44 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 2,635
Posted By zoobird
I got hooked on racing after going to the track...

I got hooked on racing after going to the track as eight year old. Really bad idea not allowing kids.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-19-2008, 04:35 PM
Replies: 60
Views: 4,187
Posted By zoobird
Then how come none of them (as 3 year olds) have...

Then how come none of them (as 3 year olds) have come anywhere near the speed figure he ran last year?
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-19-2008, 01:02 PM
Replies: 60
Views: 4,187
Posted By zoobird
Except that he absolutely destroyed the best of...

Except that he absolutely destroyed the best of his contemporaries at the same distance in the BC Juvenile. He may not be able to get a mile and a quarter but he sure as heck can get a mile and an...
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