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Search: Posts Made By: Half Smoke
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-27-2022, 09:52 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 497
Posted By Half Smoke
he made millions betting racing

_____________


really great (IMO) archived blog from Barry Meadow re Tim Haley

much of his big buckeroonis came from rebates

not part of any team, in 2002 he pushed thru more than $24 mill...
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 01-25-2022, 05:49 PM
Replies: 19
NFL
Views: 627
Posted By Half Smoke
first - 7 foot basketball players are not freaks...

first - 7 foot basketball players are not freaks anymore - there are dozens of them out there now and most are highly agile

2nd - he would be standing behind his own line whose job would be to...
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 01-25-2022, 05:08 AM
Replies: 19
NFL
Views: 627
Posted By Half Smoke
__________ if I was an NFL GM I would...

__________


if I was an NFL GM I would hire a 7 foot tall college hoopster who didn't make the NBA to block field goals, punts and extra points


yay or nay__________?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-25-2022, 05:04 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 689
Posted By Half Smoke
I'm sorry, I'm not trying to be critical or mean ...

I'm sorry, I'm not trying to be critical or mean

but your words lack clarity

I have absolutely no idea what that means


.
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 01-21-2022, 05:21 PM
Replies: 3,095
Views: 360,136
Posted By Half Smoke
interesting (to me anyway) an alternative point...

interesting (to me anyway) an alternative point of view about rising rates from a Blackrock portfolio Manager.

I'm sure you will disagree, but anyway, he writes - quote:



"higher rates are...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 01-21-2022, 11:23 AM
Replies: 3,095
Views: 360,136
Posted By Half Smoke
that's what I thought about last year so...

that's what I thought about last year

so much uncertainty, so much fear, so many stores closing near me,
so many businesses going at half speed - people dying and getting sick left and right
...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-18-2022, 07:45 PM
Replies: 1,213
Views: 165,547
Posted By Half Smoke
_____________ NY in its 2nd week of...

_____________


NY in its 2nd week of legality for online sports betting -

because of this the online books are offering some turbo charged promos

likely this will happen when NJ legalizes...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-18-2022, 06:08 AM
Replies: 1,109
Views: 116,805
Posted By Half Smoke
_________ Bad Test Bob and his horse...

_________


Bad Test Bob and his horse Eight Rings have been invited to the Pegasus States per the link

....
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-10-2022, 07:56 AM
Replies: 1,109
Views: 116,805
Posted By Half Smoke
___________ Baffert's Mucho Gusto and...

___________


Baffert's Mucho Gusto and Charlatan have been invited to the Pegasus Cup

IMO the event is going to be diminished by Baffert's presence

so much focus on him and his violations...
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 01-09-2022, 05:44 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 775
Posted By Half Smoke
__________ the road dogs who got 4 points...

__________


the road dogs who got 4 points or fewer for this season - 2021/2022 - had a very good year

I used the most common line from vegasinsider.com on the morning the day of the game

...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-09-2022, 08:35 AM
Replies: 1,109
Views: 116,805
Posted By Half Smoke
really? according to Equibase (linked)...

really?


according to Equibase (linked) his horses have appeared in 7 races in 2022 and they've won 4 of them and finished 2nd in 2 of the other 3


a 57% win % and an 86% in the money %
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-04-2022, 11:33 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 622
Posted By Half Smoke
help me understand Derby faves

______________


according to my google search KY Derby faves have won 56 of 146 times or 38.3%

I believe overall in racing the % is about 33%

this factoid about the Derby seems really...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-02-2022, 09:25 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 4,813
Posted By Half Smoke
a customer has every right, legal and otherwise...

a customer has every right, legal and otherwise to attempt to influence a business towards a direction he sees as being positive

.
if horseplayers acted in concert by uniting into large groups...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-02-2022, 08:56 AM
Replies: 78
Views: 4,813
Posted By Half Smoke
____________ a little bit off the...

____________



a little bit off the subject but anyway


there are many who bet racing here and elsewhere who have excellent analytical abilities
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-02-2022, 05:58 AM
Replies: 0
Views: 454
Posted By Half Smoke
new movie re racing getting rave reviews

_________


the title is "Jockey"
.

the lead actor, Clifton Collins, worked as a grunt at the track to get the respect of riders involved in the moviemaking

....
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-31-2021, 07:24 PM
Replies: 43
Views: 3,238
Posted By Half Smoke
from my experience I can say that usually the...

from my experience I can say that usually the reason a horse won is that he arrived at the finish line before the other horses

I hope that was helpful__________________________(-:\


.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-31-2021, 10:01 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 932
Posted By Half Smoke
_____________ just my personal opinion or...

_____________


just my personal opinion or preference - but anyway

I much prefer betting exactas when there is a cold fave going off at around 5/2

payouts should be pretty decent even if...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-18-2021, 05:23 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 681
Posted By Half Smoke
okay, thanks for the answer - I pretty much...

okay, thanks for the answer - I pretty much presumed that but wanted to make sure

but isn't the info that you can get from the tote or from your ADW on exacta probables often wrong and many times...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-17-2021, 05:39 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 681
Posted By Half Smoke
how did you choose to make these bets and these...

how did you choose to make these bets and these bet sizes?

why play the 5 and 6 over the 8 instead of over the 1 or 2 for example?

what is so special about the #8 horse?

why no action at all...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-16-2021, 10:25 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 1,124
Posted By Half Smoke
__________ also, I'm assuming these plays...

__________


also, I'm assuming these plays are based on your handicapping
not just on the win odds

correct?


.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-16-2021, 10:00 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 1,124
Posted By Half Smoke
sorry, but I can't understand based on your...

sorry, but I can't understand based on your earlier explanation exactly what your bets are

it's a complete mystery to me

I know it would take some of your time, but it would be very helpful, if...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-06-2021, 07:29 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 1,781
Posted By Half Smoke
interesting post potential edge from other forum

__________


Tampa 11/24 race 4 the fave Super Edgar - 2.90/1 - broke thru the gate and wasn't scratched - he reloaded (chart linked)

poster loaded up big and bet against him somewhere and...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 11-26-2021, 05:40 PM
Replies: 43
Views: 4,714
Posted By Half Smoke
__________ this is an unscientific...

__________


this is an unscientific observation but anyway

years ago I had this idea that shots would be more likely to win in certain types of races

specifically I was looking at cheap...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-22-2021, 06:08 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 3,763
Posted By Half Smoke
............. Formula.............. ...

.............

Formula..............


You first logged on here with your data crunches in August of 2011

Thatís more than 10 years ago

Whatís your ETA.........would you say?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-22-2021, 08:58 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 3,763
Posted By Half Smoke
............ It’s such an easy game...

............



It’s such an easy game but IIRC you posted that you don’t bet

.....hunh............????


.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 478

 
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