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Search: Posts Made By: GMB@BP
Forum: General Racing Discussion Today, 12:12 AM
Replies: 75
Views: 2,042
Posted By GMB@BP
If you really want to see the difference in socal...

If you really want to see the difference in socal to east coast racing in regards to turf look at the 10th race. a maiden race for grass horses, full overflow field but there is not one really well...
Forum: General Racing Discussion Yesterday, 09:04 PM
Replies: 100
Views: 8,295
Posted By GMB@BP
Isnt that the line from the santa anita in house...

Isnt that the line from the santa anita in house feed?
Forum: General Racing Discussion Yesterday, 09:00 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 1,012
Posted By GMB@BP
Its their horse, they can do what they want. ...

Its their horse, they can do what they want. People make it sound like they have rights or something regarding other peoples money...wait, on second thought that makes perfect sense.
Forum: General Racing Discussion Yesterday, 06:24 PM
Replies: 100
Views: 8,295
Posted By GMB@BP
I know you do, I tend to watch when your on. ...

I know you do, I tend to watch when your on.

I heard you last week talk about the Reddam horse who pulled himself up. I appreciate your insights...usually!
Forum: General Racing Discussion Yesterday, 05:45 PM
Replies: 100
Views: 8,295
Posted By GMB@BP
even at 50 bucks your would be tapped after a...

even at 50 bucks your would be tapped after a week, not unusual to miss in those type of pools.

For the life of me I have no idea why some of the things that Andy has done at NYRA has not been...
Forum: General Racing Discussion Yesterday, 05:24 PM
Replies: 100
Views: 8,295
Posted By GMB@BP
what is "straight favorites"?

what is "straight favorites"?
Forum: General Racing Discussion Yesterday, 05:04 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 1,012
Posted By GMB@BP
Mendelssohn gets that elusive victory over...

Mendelssohn gets that elusive victory over Justify!


praise jesus
Forum: General Racing Discussion Yesterday, 02:01 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 673
Posted By GMB@BP
I just heard a horror story about a friend of...

I just heard a horror story about a friend of mine last week who arrived at an AirBnb in Los Angeles with his family, the pictures were clearly from a long long time ago and the house was in ruins...
Forum: General Racing Discussion Yesterday, 12:05 AM
Replies: 75
Views: 2,042
Posted By GMB@BP
yes, there are a few anomalies since the sample...

yes, there are a few anomalies since the sample size is small but I made trip notes of every race and speed horses were compromised, less so for presser/closers.

I am very confident in outright...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-15-2018, 11:33 PM
Replies: 75
Views: 2,042
Posted By GMB@BP
You can pretty much toss the inside two posts at...

You can pretty much toss the inside two posts at Del Mar in sprints, since they changed the track up a few years ago those two posts seems to get out slower. Its not fool proof but takes a heck of...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-15-2018, 11:29 PM
Replies: 143
Views: 5,036
Posted By GMB@BP
Your last paragraph pretty much sums it up. They...

Your last paragraph pretty much sums it up. They are trying to equalize all the payoffs and then make money on the rebate. They just have to beat the takeout to make money.

Its almost...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-15-2018, 10:43 PM
Replies: 75
Views: 2,042
Posted By GMB@BP
They are tremendous meets, and both have risen in...

They are tremendous meets, and both have risen in quality as the boutique meet seems to have gained even more glamor than I can ever recall.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-15-2018, 10:16 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 2,025
Posted By GMB@BP
I need more data but for the past 3 months ...

I need more data but for the past 3 months

Trainer change - 11/21 with a 1.14 ROI

considering that he takes so much money thats pretty amazing.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-15-2018, 07:38 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 2,025
Posted By GMB@BP
well from that stand point, everything is horse...

well from that stand point, everything is horse to horse. Its impossible to just say I play these races as the fav does not win as much. Even in the best case its going to be > than 30% winners.
...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-15-2018, 06:08 PM
Replies: 75
Views: 2,042
Posted By GMB@BP
it should be, the east half the country to feed...

it should be, the east half the country to feed into, and also the west coast dirt horses swooping in to steal the purses.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-15-2018, 06:05 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 351
Posted By GMB@BP
They wanted to come down on someone for careless...

They wanted to come down on someone for careless riding so they pick the foreign guy. Maybe it was deserved, its just funny that its not even a regular abuser of the rules.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-15-2018, 04:21 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 2,025
Posted By GMB@BP
Navarro So what you describe rarely happens...

Navarro

So what you describe rarely happens with him, where his horses are underbet. Granted I only have 3 months but here are some stats.

parameters

MLF + OFF odds between 3/1-5/1..so...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-15-2018, 03:17 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 2,025
Posted By GMB@BP
give me the names and i can help

give me the names and i can help
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-15-2018, 02:57 PM
Replies: 563
Views: 79,051
Posted By GMB@BP
its pretty hard to use timing in factors of...

its pretty hard to use timing in factors of handicapping at the track.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-15-2018, 02:56 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 2,025
Posted By GMB@BP
shoot I think I got response mixed up No I...

shoot I think I got response mixed up

No I didnt do a trainer specific search but all trainers who qualified as super trainers (its a mix of factors), but its highly accurate in terms of...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-15-2018, 02:37 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 2,025
Posted By GMB@BP
here was the paremeters all turf races all...

here was the paremeters

all turf races
all distances
Morning Line favorites
Max odds 2/1


win percentage was 36%
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-15-2018, 02:35 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 2,025
Posted By GMB@BP
100% disagree. I dont go horse by horse and...

100% disagree.

I dont go horse by horse and right now my bet against strong favorite algorithms are hitting at 78%. Granted it only finds 4-8 horses per day and maybe a few more on the weekends. ...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-15-2018, 02:17 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 242
Posted By GMB@BP
already a thread in other forum, just a heads up

already a thread in other forum, just a heads up
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-15-2018, 01:52 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 2,025
Posted By GMB@BP
Numbers dont really dont show that though. ...

Numbers dont really dont show that though.

I did a query, super trainers, Morning line fav that went off at 7/2 or more, so these are horses who were under bet.

The win percentage drops to...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-15-2018, 10:35 AM
Replies: 46
Views: 2,025
Posted By GMB@BP
Not sure on your stat, i have 36% win percentage...

Not sure on your stat, i have 36% win percentage in 618 races with a horse that was at 0-2/1 with a 0.82 ROI. I would need another month of data to get 1000 races though but doubt it changes by more...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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