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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

04-12-2018, 02:34 PM

Replies: 141

Justify

Views: 25,294

Posted By dasch

The 21 variant is only relative to my numbers. My...

The 21 variant is only relative to my numbers. My 21 wont match Timeform's or Beyer's 21. I don't use anybody elses par charts or times. My only reason for showing the variant was because the race...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

04-10-2018, 01:47 PM

Replies: 141

Justify

Views: 25,294

Posted By dasch

That was why I said I think you have to be a...

That was why I said I think you have to be a number maker to TRULY appreciate the effort.

Here is my work chart for that race:
Keep in mind I use pace, trip and weight and these are all horses I...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

04-08-2018, 02:22 PM

Replies: 141

Justify

Views: 25,294

Posted By dasch

Since the current point system was implemented 5...

Since the current point system was implemented 5 years ago the favorites have won all 5 Kentucky Derbys. IMO it eliminated the "sprinter only" types that would always enter and cause chaos type...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

04-08-2018, 01:36 PM

Replies: 141

Justify

Views: 25,294

Posted By dasch

It appears that you have to be a number maker of...

It appears that you have to be a number maker of some kind to appreciate the effort yesterday. His last 2 races he was beating the equivalent of claimers versus running against a proven grade 1 horse...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

04-07-2018, 08:09 PM

Replies: 141

Justify

Views: 25,294

Posted By dasch

WOW! No matter what number you gave him in his...

WOW! No matter what number you gave him in his 1st race he ran better than that number today!

Today was my 1st and last time betting against him. My only concern is if he comes out of the race ok.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

03-12-2018, 10:19 PM

Replies: 141

Justify

Views: 25,294

Posted By dasch

Very true but the 2nd & 3rd placers were adding...

Very true but the 2nd & 3rd placers were adding blinkers and the track was sloppy so while the 6 lengths was too much for ME to bet against I certainly wouldn't talk andybody out of betting against...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

03-12-2018, 05:20 PM

Replies: 141

Justify

Views: 25,294

Posted By dasch

Going into the race yesterday on the "slower"...

Going into the race yesterday on the "slower" number I gave Justify in his 1st race , I had him 6 lengths better than the 2nd placer and 9 better than the 4th placer and thats basically how they...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-20-2018, 12:43 PM

Replies: 141

Justify

Views: 25,294

Posted By dasch

To be a little more precise, the number I ended...

To be a little more precise, the number I ended up with(and again will say am very confident in) was equivalent to a win in a Santa Anita 3&up Alw2x, a VERY nice race for a debuting 3yo just not...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-19-2018, 10:38 PM

Replies: 141

Justify

Views: 25,294

Posted By dasch

I crunch the numbers(using pace and trip) race by...

I crunch the numbers(using pace and trip) race by race during the card assigning a number to each race. At the end of the day I see how things match up against each other but ALWAYS weigh the...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

02-19-2018, 02:28 PM

Replies: 141

Justify

Views: 25,294

Posted By dasch

I gave the race a strong number but nowhere near...

I gave the race a strong number but nowhere near the 104 Beyer and 131 TF.

I am looking forward to betting against at *1-5

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