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Search: Posts Made By: cosmicway
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-29-2024, 03:52 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 7,634
Posted By cosmicway
Tote must take the wagers from the internet and...

Tote must take the wagers from the internet and stream them with the total of wagers.
That's the basic function.
So the two systems must parlay - it's a matter of installing the software.
But when...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-28-2024, 04:14 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 7,634
Posted By cosmicway
The Greek tote system exists since 1998. They...

The Greek tote system exists since 1998.
They made some changes in 2016 (I don't know if it was from top to bottom).
What they don't have is internet platform.
That's bad overall. Everybody...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-28-2024, 01:39 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 7,634
Posted By cosmicway
Ok. I understand about that. Your reply was...

Ok. I understand about that.
Your reply was useful yet cost-effectwise I 'm not the one to judge.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-28-2024, 01:22 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 7,634
Posted By cosmicway
We are talking of website handling mutuel ok ? ...

We are talking of website handling mutuel ok ?
Bookie site is algorithmically different and it may be more expensive or less expensive (I don't know).
But I guess re. bookie site one can buy a used...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-28-2024, 12:50 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 7,634
Posted By cosmicway
If AUD stands for Australian dollar it is...

If AUD stands for Australian dollar it is equivalent to 4 million euros, 4.6 million US dollars in today's conversion rates.
It is kind of expensive but of course it depends. For a national circuit...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-27-2024, 10:25 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 7,634
Posted By cosmicway
It says $ 12500 annual maintenance and fees. ...

It says $ 12500 annual maintenance and fees.
That's not a lot for a racetrack company but the initial cost ?

Look at this site (it's theirs):

https://www.stoiximan.gr/

This is for football...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-27-2024, 06:04 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 7,634
Posted By cosmicway
How much does an internet betting platform cost ?

I am interested to know this.
How much does it cost for a race course to build such a platform, for the tote system as in America ?

I don't aspire to become a bookmaker but as it is being talked...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-05-2023, 06:44 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 4,232
Posted By cosmicway
Let me do this again. The objective is to play...

Let me do this again.
The objective is to play an artificial quinella using forecasts.

Suppose the current size of the forecast pool is T, the amount U has been wagered on outcome (A-B) is U and...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-28-2023, 02:41 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,632
Posted By cosmicway
Why am I kidding ? I don't know about you but...

Why am I kidding ?
I don't know about you but my play is forecast-quinella-trio, win less often.
That's why I 'm into the details.
You have some other explanation ?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-28-2023, 11:06 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,632
Posted By cosmicway
This is still a mystery. I tweaked the pdf...

This is still a mystery.
I tweaked the pdf function - the same.
I checked with other tips providers - the same happens with their tips.

My calculations involve only wire to wire speeds, they are...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-24-2023, 05:55 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 4,232
Posted By cosmicway
I had figured there are ways. The Europeans...

I had figured there are ways.
The Europeans don't like.
It's the companies' traders they say who don't like (that is the people who burn money).
It's not really a threat to them but they don't...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-20-2023, 07:38 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,632
Posted By cosmicway
I can't be certain of that, maybe. But evidently...

I can't be certain of that, maybe. But evidently when somebody steals your weapon you no longer have the edge. Like with the A-bomb.

Now I wonder if somehow my pdf function for the places is...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-20-2023, 06:16 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,632
Posted By cosmicway
The enemy is the taxman. They said "ok, the...

The enemy is the taxman.
They said "ok, the punters are mugs - they can't do nothing" and they were right. Not only punters are mugs but many of them did n't even get to know it when the taxes went...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-20-2023, 05:22 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,632
Posted By cosmicway
Yes of course. The closers are at a handicap in...

Yes of course.
The closers are at a handicap in sprint distances but less so for the minor placings.

But in my -partial- calculations the early speed is not factored in.
Only wire to wire.
...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-19-2023, 04:30 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,632
Posted By cosmicway
Speed handicapping - a mystery

How do we compute the win probabilities of the horses in a given card in a speed model ?
The common approach is this:

- compute the expected speed for each horse using histogram analysis
-...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-14-2020, 10:26 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 2,103
Posted By cosmicway
Kind of difficult to grasp. Suppose it's 100...

Kind of difficult to grasp.
Suppose it's 100 meters mens srpint. How do we figure it out if they make 96-96- ... 103-104-105 as they like and say 100 in the cards ?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-13-2020, 07:50 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 2,103
Posted By cosmicway
It's a pity we did not listen to professor...

It's a pity we did not listen to professor Liantinis and adopt the Latin alphabet - which is really a Greek alphabet too - not invented in Italy.
That way everyone would speak Greek and not English....
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-11-2020, 02:39 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 2,103
Posted By cosmicway
Wire to wire speed, can it be dispensed with ?

First of all I 'm back after a rather long absence.
The wire to wire speed is the basic parameter upon which we base our horse racing predictions. There are all sorts of collaterals that play an...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-13-2016, 06:00 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,004
Posted By cosmicway
1.20 is 6-5. That was the 11-13 (see my first...

1.20 is 6-5.
That was the 11-13 (see my first post).
The race outcome was not 13-11 to make a direct comparison possible.
Unless logs of all the prices are kept somewhere.
I 'll have to check...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-12-2016, 07:03 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,004
Posted By cosmicway
Not resolved yet. Yesterday I checked at only...

Not resolved yet.
Yesterday I checked at only one race from Mountaineer and that one looked normal.
I don't know what they are doing. A computer error perhaps ?
1.20 looks impossible. Could be a...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-11-2016, 08:25 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,004
Posted By cosmicway
Exacta. I did n't know at the time they were...

Exacta.
I did n't know at the time they were n't going to finish first and second.
The winning exacta paid 290.00 as I saw in here:

http://www.results365.com/usracingresults.shtml

But that...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-10-2016, 11:39 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,004
Posted By cosmicway
Strange thing with European company

I wanted to bet on this race:

Belmont, 10th race, Oct 10, 10.50 pm UK time.
The favourite was the no 11 (Smile Big) and paid 1.72 the time I checked.
The second favourite was the no 13 (Preppy)...
Forum: Handicapping Software 08-10-2016, 10:41 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,376
Posted By cosmicway
You have links to those ? Interesting, I agree...

You have links to those ?
Interesting, I agree with your observations.

But it's besides the point.
Suppose we have the crudest of probability estimates.
Like for example convert the morning...
Forum: Handicapping Software 07-30-2016, 12:54 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,376
Posted By cosmicway
Yeah but ... Suppose I know the win...

Yeah but ...
Suppose I know the win probabilities {W1,W2,W3 ...}.
Those are pdf definitely and W1 + W2 + W3 ... = 1.
Now you say suppose the 2 won, what is the probability of 1 winning among the...
Forum: Handicapping Software 07-30-2016, 12:03 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,376
Posted By cosmicway
The sum is 2 if two place, 3 if three place, 4 if...

The sum is 2 if two place, 3 if three place, 4 if four place (as happens in big fields of over 20).
To derive place probabilities is not as simple as doubling the win probability. It is "first or...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 327

 
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