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Search: Posts Made By: dilanesp
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Today, 12:25 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 382
Posted By dilanesp
I think he will lose, but I would feel the same...

I think he will lose, but I would feel the same way had his first start been as a 2 year old.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 10:23 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 382
Posted By dilanesp
The TC is so tough on a horse that in the old...

The TC is so tough on a horse that in the old days a fair number of horses threw an extra start in between the Preakness and Belmont.

The reality is TC horses are babied. Claimers can run every 2...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 10:13 PM
Replies: 103
Views: 3,202
Posted By dilanesp
I have a different perspective: if 3 different...

I have a different perspective: if 3 different races were the 3 most important races in the sport, a lot of handicappers would posit special esoteric theories for those races rather than just...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 09:42 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 287
Posted By dilanesp
I was there in 1997. A lot of fun.

I was there in 1997. A lot of fun.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 09:40 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 382
Posted By dilanesp
I think you will find claimers, on average, have...

I think you will find claimers, on average, have far more hard races a year than stakes horses do.

I think that people assume these races just suspend the normal rules of handicapping in favor of...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 09:27 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 382
Posted By dilanesp
Do you use this fsctor in handicapping 3 year old...

Do you use this fsctor in handicapping 3 year old claiming races, or do you think it is a non factor except in 3 races a year?
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 09:26 PM
Replies: 103
Views: 3,202
Posted By dilanesp
You said "probably the Apollo jinx"

You said "probably the Apollo jinx"
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 08:55 PM
Replies: 103
Views: 3,202
Posted By dilanesp
Horses with more experience, like Alysheba, have...

Horses with more experience, like Alysheba, have also lost the Belmont after winning the first two.

There's nothing magical about 2 year old racing.

EDIT: if 2 year old racing is so important,...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 08:37 PM
Replies: 103
Views: 3,202
Posted By dilanesp
Really? Some people can't quit the Apollo jinx ...

Really? Some people can't quit the Apollo jinx


Curlin lost the Belmont by a nose to a half sister of the previous year's winner after 2 tough races in the first two legs. Some jinx.

The curse...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 08:32 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 382
Posted By dilanesp
I don't think it is that. Curlin ran well in the...

I don't think it is that. Curlin ran well in the Preakness and Belmont.

It is silly to attach talismanic significance to stuff that didn't hsppen 6 months ago.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 08:05 PM
Replies: 103
Views: 3,202
Posted By dilanesp
And lose more ground? If you want to lay off...

And lose more ground?

If you want to lay off a bit and relax, sure, being outside keeps you in the clear.

But you do lose ground. And if the plan is to get into a speed duel, the inside horse...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 07:55 PM
Replies: 103
Views: 3,202
Posted By dilanesp
You probably thought Desormeaux should have gone...

You probably thought Desormeaux should have gone wide with Exaggerator on the off track 3 years ago....
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 07:54 PM
Replies: 103
Views: 3,202
Posted By dilanesp
It's not just LS. 4 horses very close to Justify....

It's not just LS. 4 horses very close to Justify. That is very meaningful.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 07:40 PM
Replies: 103
Views: 3,202
Posted By dilanesp
This is a handicapping board.

This is a handicapping board.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 07:39 PM
Replies: 103
Views: 3,202
Posted By dilanesp
Statements against interest are more believable. ...

Statements against interest are more believable.

Smith's admission that the horse was tired was the honest part of the statement.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 07:31 PM
Replies: 103
Views: 3,202
Posted By dilanesp
Smith said post race the horse was tiring....

Smith said post race the horse was tiring. Baffert said he would only run in the Belmont if the preparation goes well.

Read the tea leaves here....
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 07:11 PM
Replies: 103
Views: 3,202
Posted By dilanesp
i love Justify, but he is a big time bet against on Belmont day

You saw a good horse at the end of his form cycle today. That had to take a ton out of him.

Bravazzo may beat him in 3 weeks. Someone will.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 04:10 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 1,804
Posted By dilanesp
I suspect the horses will be alright but it...

I suspect the horses will be alright but it doesn't look like the spectators can see a thing there today.
Forum: General Racing Discussion Yesterday, 02:13 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,275
Posted By dilanesp
Usually "great" as applied to an athlete means an...

Usually "great" as applied to an athlete means an all time great, not simply someone who delivers a great performance.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-18-2018, 07:36 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,275
Posted By dilanesp
This is a pretty good analysis IMO.

This is a pretty good analysis IMO.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-18-2018, 06:41 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,275
Posted By dilanesp
Citation's five year old season is actually...

Citation's five year old season is actually underrated too

He set a world record in the mile and would have set two other world records and one track record except he got beat by Noor (one time by...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-18-2018, 03:52 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 2,711
Posted By dilanesp
Of course that's what the TOC is going to say. ...

Of course that's what the TOC is going to say.

Isn't the relevant issue what is convenient to the people in California who want to bet on sports, though?
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-18-2018, 03:27 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,275
Posted By dilanesp
Game on Dude had a traditional career. So...

Game on Dude had a traditional career.

So did California Chrome, really.

It's still possible to do it.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-18-2018, 03:24 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 738
Posted By dilanesp
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_JvRTwnHrj5E/SoN45ZNXtNI/...

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_JvRTwnHrj5E/SoN45ZNXtNI/AAAAAAAABp4/phz0f8rjstY/s1600-h/1919_08_13_SanfordPPs.jpg
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-18-2018, 01:02 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,275
Posted By dilanesp
The thing is, he isn't comparable to a horse like...

The thing is, he isn't comparable to a horse like Affirmed, who had all those wins over Alydar at 2 and 3, and then beat up on everyone, ran fast times, and defeated Spectacular Bid at 4.

He...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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