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Posts Made By:
f2tornado
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
01-21-2024, 02:39 PM
Replies:
16
G3 Lecomte
Views:
1,818
Posted By
f2tornado
Geroux was hot and some public cappers were on...
Geroux was hot and some public cappers were on it. I managed to get lucky snagging an all single P5 for $86. Stakes days at FG are amongst my favorite days to bet.
Not convinced either will be a...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
08-07-2023, 03:14 PM
Replies:
10
WPS vs. the Exotics
Views:
1,270
Posted By
f2tornado
I have a slight negative ROI on WPS wagers. If...
I have a slight negative ROI on WPS wagers. If not for the TwinSpires and TVG promo race refunds, it would be worse. I don't make a lot of exacta and trifecta wagers but am probably in the red on...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
07-10-2023, 04:16 PM
Replies:
13
Baffert out officially
Views:
3,384
Posted By
f2tornado
https://youtu.be/EoBob9hiM2s
https://youtu.be/EoBob9hiM2s
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
06-12-2023, 05:30 PM
Replies:
8
Friday/Saturday 2 day Belmont wagers
Views:
1,365
Posted By
f2tornado
I could find the will pays on TS but not the...
I could find the will pays on TS but not the probables. I ended up getting them off TVG app. Was live on two to Forte. Oops.
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
06-10-2023, 11:16 PM
Replies:
71
The Belmont Stakes (Grade 1) $1,500,000 Saturday June 10
Views:
6,750
Posted By
f2tornado
I was live on the 2-day P6, a P4, and a pair of...
I was live on the 2-day P6, a P4, and a pair of $5 doubles to the :6: Forte. Had some backup plays with the :2: and :8:. Had a hunch the :3: would fire but that hunch came far too late. Ugh. Managed...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
06-06-2023, 09:23 AM
Replies:
8
Friday/Saturday 2 day Belmont wagers
Views:
1,365
Posted By
f2tornado
I'm largely in the same boat but there's plenty...
I'm largely in the same boat but there's plenty of other wagering options for me if I I feel the need to spread. I'll often make an all single play on high rent wagers like the Keeneland Turf P3 or...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-30-2023, 10:17 AM
Replies:
30
Belmont Stakes Field?
Views:
4,094
Posted By
f2tornado
This. Then there is Tonalist who came in fresh...
This. Then there is Tonalist who came in fresh from the Peter Pan. One cannot easily dismiss that Tapit line in the Belmont. The Raise A Native line was dominant there before the Tapits took over....
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-22-2023, 10:01 AM
Replies:
30
New Age Triple Crown?
Views:
2,630
Posted By
f2tornado
From a wagering perspective, I don't want a...
From a wagering perspective, I don't want a Triple Crown, Grand Slam or whatever too often. The best money is made when you beat one of those dominant horses. That said, it's fun to watch a truly...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-22-2023, 09:50 AM
Replies:
30
Belmont Stakes Field?
Views:
4,094
Posted By
f2tornado
Some possible runners per HRN gurus. Hit show...
Some possible runners per HRN gurus. Hit show would make some sense. Unfortunately, Mage did not win the Preakness so this will not be one of those years where every other horse is an effective...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-19-2023, 11:39 AM
Replies:
22
Mage was a clear overlay
Views:
2,500
Posted By
f2tornado
That was my take. That Forte wasn't his best and...
That was my take. That Forte wasn't his best and probably wins by five plus if he's not all washed up and five wide.
Yes, please. Now's the chance to avoid the redboard. Maybe if Mage takes...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-16-2023, 09:30 AM
Replies:
1
Super High 5 bet
Views:
448
Posted By
f2tornado
Certainly, but you won't cover every combination...
Certainly, but you won't cover every combination without a full box. The example below would have five horses in each position but leaves out some combos on the top side which cuts the price of the...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-16-2023, 09:08 AM
Replies:
49
Will Mage win The Preakness ?
Views:
5,954
Posted By
f2tornado
Plus, a Paul Allen race call can be quite...
Plus, a Paul Allen race call can be quite entertaining. Paul Allen
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-16-2023, 09:03 AM
Replies:
68
Preakness favorite
Views:
7,035
Posted By
f2tornado
Will see if my meteorology degree is still worth...
Will see if my meteorology degree is still worth a lick. Friday looks dry with a narrow ribbon of high pressure in place. There is a decaying front moving through Saturday that might have a shower...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-10-2023, 01:12 PM
Replies:
8
Forte Out of Preakness
Views:
1,280
Posted By
f2tornado
I didn't consider that angle. I also didn't...
I didn't consider that angle. I also didn't consider if I was TAP, I'd probably want to boycott that place if there were equal races elsewhere. But, it is a graded stakes with a decent purse, at the...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-09-2023, 05:31 PM
Replies:
69
Derby Pace?
Views:
6,630
Posted By
f2tornado
Yes, Kings could be much like TAPs Vino Rosso...
Yes, Kings could be much like TAPs Vino Rosso that did some of his best running in the 4 year old campaign.
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-09-2023, 10:13 AM
Replies:
8
Forte Out of Preakness
Views:
1,280
Posted By
f2tornado
I suppose the Belmont is a possibility otherwise...
I suppose the Belmont is a possibility otherwise not much for G1 options until the Haskell. The G3 Matt Winn could be an option if TAP wants an shorter option in June.
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-08-2023, 12:34 PM
Replies:
21
The Raise A Native Sire Line Rules Again
Views:
1,419
Posted By
f2tornado
You have to go six generations back. Puca =>...
You have to go six generations back. Puca => Boat's Ghost => Rocktheboat => Summer Squall => Weekend Surprise => Lassie Dear => Buckpasser
It's my understanding of the hypothesis that the genetics...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-08-2023, 12:25 PM
Replies:
49
Will Mage win The Preakness ?
Views:
5,954
Posted By
f2tornado
I'd like to see Forte in the Preakness. Good FL...
I'd like to see Forte in the Preakness. Good FL Derby rematch, otherwise I won't be very excited for the feature. I don't think Forte is an ideal Belmont horse. Pletcher might agree as he suggested...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-08-2023, 12:08 PM
Replies:
21
The Raise A Native Sire Line Rules Again
Views:
1,419
Posted By
f2tornado
Mage also had one of Stanley Caris designated...
Mage also had one of Stanley Caris designated conduit mares, Remembrance, in tail female. I had this one pretty high on the point checklist but didn't pull the trigger. Wasn't sold on 2Phils anyway....
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-07-2023, 06:54 PM
Replies:
21
The Raise A Native Sire Line Rules Again
Views:
1,419
Posted By
f2tornado
Stanley Caris only considered Buckpasser-x on the...
Stanley Caris only considered Buckpasser-x on the dam side. Mage has it there through Rocktheboat. The RAN sire line finished 1-3-4-5. Not a ton of imagination required if your were high on including...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-07-2023, 06:47 PM
Replies:
55
Two Phil's
Views:
5,249
Posted By
f2tornado
He’s 7/9 hitting the money and winning his last...
He’s 7/9 hitting the money and winning his last two graded affairs. Good horse, no doubt, but not yet convinced he’s one to double first at the window in something like the Travers or Breeders Cup...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-07-2023, 04:41 PM
Replies:
22
Mage was a clear overlay
Views:
2,500
Posted By
f2tornado
I hope you loaded up. I figure 15-1 was the low...
I hope you loaded up. I figure 15-1 was the low end of fair market value when factoring the following (regardless if specifically agreed with or not): He was not a standout on paper, many of he...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-07-2023, 12:12 AM
Replies:
87
What's Your Derby Play?
Views:
8,711
Posted By
f2tornado
I won a little money on the Derby card but...
I won a little money on the Derby card but nothing on the Derby. After all the late changes to the field in recent years, I might just wait until morning of the race next year to cap it. I bet Forte...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-06-2023, 07:51 AM
Replies:
24
PREAKNESS FUTURE BETS
Views:
1,700
Posted By
f2tornado
A moderately fast one paced horse like...
A moderately fast one paced horse like Reincarnate or Rocket Can has fared well in the Preakness. It's not Mott's thing though. Maybe Yakteen would do it since his horse had a longer layoff than rest...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-06-2023, 06:47 AM
Replies:
5
Analyzing the Triple Crown
Views:
832
Posted By
f2tornado
King Russell is also a Buckpasser-x in tail...
King Russell is also a Buckpasser-x in tail female. That's three bonus points. I'd be more excited about him if there weren't 10 other horses with roughly the same figures and style. You will get...
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