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Search: Posts Made By: Dave Schwartz
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-19-2019, 05:32 PM
Replies: 42
Views: 1,838
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I see he posted at 1:24pm, so ignore that last...

I see he posted at 1:24pm, so ignore that last message.
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-19-2019, 05:30 PM
Replies: 42
Views: 1,838
Posted By Dave Schwartz
When I saw this thread, I called him and got no...

When I saw this thread, I called him and got no answer, no voicemail. Just rings.

I admit to some concern.
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-09-2019, 11:47 PM
Replies: 113
Views: 2,788
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Perhaps. Sorry, the deal is white bread. ...

Perhaps. Sorry, the deal is white bread.


Every time I saw it, ended in failure.

I am sure that somebody, somewhere, could figure out a gaff.
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-09-2019, 07:03 PM
Replies: 113
Views: 2,788
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Back in my teenage days, one of the neatest...

Back in my teenage days, one of the neatest hustles was making a bet that one could not eat 2 pieces of bread in 2 minutes.

Nothing else, just the bread. (i.e. no liquids)

I once saw a guy lose...
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-09-2019, 07:00 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 878
Posted By Dave Schwartz
You continually make good points... especially...

You continually make good points... especially for relocation. LOL

Some years ago, I spent a few days with a friend who lives on Mercer Island. When I'd visited before he'd always explain how they...
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-09-2019, 04:35 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 878
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Ultracapper, This, too, shall pass. You're...

Ultracapper,

This, too, shall pass. You're stocked up on the necessities, so just sit back and enjoy it. Think of the stories you will have to tell.


It seems that every city comes with its...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 02-07-2019, 02:36 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 730
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Do you mean exactly 1/1 or 1/1 and below? ...

Do you mean exactly 1/1 or 1/1 and below?

Are you making any adjustment for scratches?


This is what I show, but includes normalized adjustments for scratched horses.


AQU.
376-MLWIN BETS
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-06-2019, 12:41 AM
Replies: 113
Views: 2,788
Posted By Dave Schwartz
See? There are those social issues rearing their...

See? There are those social issues rearing their ugly heads.

Say, do you suppose that explains The Voices?

BTW, they were left to me by Dick Schmidt when he died. Imagine what it is like...
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-06-2019, 12:16 AM
Replies: 113
Views: 2,788
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Hmm. Never thought of that. But, seriously,...

Hmm. Never thought of that.

But, seriously, folks...

That particular part of the book was an eye opener for me.
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-05-2019, 11:30 PM
Replies: 113
Views: 2,788
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Well, if you're a high (enough) IQ, at some point...

Well, if you're a high (enough) IQ, at some point you say, "I haven't done enough."

Do you remember the bean bag game from kindergarten?

You know... the one where each kid is handed a couple of...
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-05-2019, 10:00 PM
Replies: 113
Views: 2,788
Posted By Dave Schwartz
When the term "high IQ" is used, it has to be put...

When the term "high IQ" is used, it has to be put in perspective.

As an example, an IQ of 140 occurs 1-in-261. Loosely, that means in a "typical" elementary school with about 500 children, there...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-31-2019, 04:50 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 829
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I am confused. Are you upset because: ...

I am confused.

Are you upset because:

1. NYRA allowed the weather to be bad.
2. NYRA scheduled races and then canceled.
3. NYRA scheduled races at all.

What should they have done...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-29-2019, 12:41 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,199
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Not saying that it is common or rare. Obviously,...

Not saying that it is common or rare. Obviously, I have no clue. But there is room for collusion.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-28-2019, 11:26 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,199
Posted By Dave Schwartz
That seemed logical but wanted to hear it. ...

That seemed logical but wanted to hear it.

:ThmbUp:

Thank you.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-27-2019, 11:32 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,199
Posted By Dave Schwartz
How convenient this seems. Curious... do the...

How convenient this seems.

Curious... do the claimants have an opportunity to take the horse if they want it?
Forum: Off Topic - General 01-27-2019, 06:19 PM
Replies: 90
Views: 1,582
Posted By Dave Schwartz
A question... Since the wealthiest people in our...

A question... Since the wealthiest people in our country contribute the most money to election campaign funds, what would cause such a wealthy person to help her get elected?
Forum: Off Topic - General 01-26-2019, 11:02 AM
Replies: 90
Views: 1,582
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Oh, I understood what it meant just fine. ...

Oh, I understood what it meant just fine.

However, imagine what an American-based businessman with extreme wealth would do: Liquidate and leave.

The relentlessness you describe would be the...
Forum: Off Topic - General 01-26-2019, 01:10 AM
Replies: 90
Views: 1,582
Posted By Dave Schwartz
What a wonderful way to get all the richest of...

What a wonderful way to get all the richest of our nation to leave the country for good.

Pure idiocy.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-21-2019, 06:27 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 556
Posted By Dave Schwartz
See what happens if you cross-reference post...

See what happens if you cross-reference post positions with running style. (i.e. Early Speed Points)

Every study I've ever done with track-specific posts has show that those go together.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-19-2019, 09:48 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 4,434
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I agree. But Jeff's post has me confused. ...

I agree. But Jeff's post has me confused.

Some years ago I did a similar FTS study to determine how many Quirin ES points should be allowed for. The number I came up with was around 2.6.

A...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-19-2019, 07:58 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 4,434
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Jeff, Regarding FTS... Are you saying that...

Jeff,

Regarding FTS... Are you saying that you treat all FTS as "average FTS?" (I am thinking not.)

How do you decide which FTS will likely go early?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-18-2019, 11:03 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 4,434
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I followed all that. We do similar, just...

I followed all that.

We do similar, just template based instead of SQL.



The ultimate issue is that the query creates a system, but how do you know that the system is any good? First, you...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-18-2019, 04:26 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 4,434
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Jeff, I love the idea of local models....

Jeff,

I love the idea of local models. However, there are some real issues I've not been able to get past.

1. There are simply too many models to develop.
It is one thing to say, "Here's an...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-18-2019, 12:21 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 4,434
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Jerry, In the late 90s, we were vending data...

Jerry,

In the late 90s, we were vending data files. Part of the workload was reconciling the very thing you are talking about. I built alias files for trainers and jockeys. In the 1st two years,...
Forum: Advance Deposit Wagering (ADW) 01-17-2019, 02:59 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 395
Posted By Dave Schwartz
1. Betting across state lines is illegal in NV....

1. Betting across state lines is illegal in NV. (As are rebates, BTW.)

2. There are two that I am aware of that will take you anyway.


Write to me privately and I will tell you about them.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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