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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

10-30-2020, 12:23 PM

Replies: 135

Bill Benter /Models and Overlays

Views: 27,518

Posted By traveler

Yes, blending in the tote could erase your edge...

Yes, blending in the tote could erase your edge totally so you should pass. Also, if you are betting using optimal bet strategy, your bet size is a function of your edge. So if line smoothing reduces...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

10-20-2020, 03:49 PM

Replies: 135

Bill Benter /Models and Overlays

Views: 27,518

Posted By traveler

Focus on 3 choices? Sure, but it doesn't matter...

Focus on 3 choices? Sure, but it doesn't matter if you focus on the field of 12 or 3 - you start with the field and handicap your way down to say 3. Schwartz always liked idea of half field plus 1...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

10-19-2020, 07:23 PM

Replies: 135

Bill Benter /Models and Overlays

Views: 27,518

Posted By traveler

When you say "bet down" - bet down from what -...

When you say "bet down" - bet down from what - the morning line?
From gate loading to final odds?

What if you your models odds-line rankings mirror the public? Your fav wins same % as public, 2nd...

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