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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

10-25-2020, 03:17 PM

Replies: 135

Bill Benter /Models and Overlays

Views: 27,584

Posted By formula_2002

here are interesting results for the "next 27...

here are interesting results for the "next 27 races"

in this 27 race example one of the top three won 81% of the time.
a flat win bet on all three returned a profit of $0.04 on every 3...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

10-23-2020, 12:36 PM

Replies: 135

Bill Benter /Models and Overlays

Views: 27,584

Posted By formula_2002

I'll state the obvious. If i want to compare win...

I'll state the obvious. If i want to compare win probability of say the top public choice in different time periods, say monthly, I would normalize the monthly top choice win probability and compare...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

10-22-2020, 06:07 PM

Replies: 135

Bill Benter /Models and Overlays

Views: 27,584

Posted By formula_2002

Emperor Joseph 2nd may have told Mozart "there...

Emperor Joseph 2nd may have told Mozart "there are simply too may notes"

I work with numbers and not enough of them, but here are some numbers for the top three used in the exacta. they are the...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

10-20-2020, 09:39 AM

Replies: 135

Bill Benter /Models and Overlays

Views: 27,584

Posted By formula_2002

i'll add the place numbers 1st place 19% ...

i'll add the place numbers

1st place 19%
2nd place 18%
3rd place 13%

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

10-20-2020, 09:19 AM

Replies: 135

Bill Benter /Models and Overlays

Views: 27,584

Posted By formula_2002

one of my excel files contain 298 races going...

one of my excel files contain 298 races
going onto the gate these are the number of winners for the top 3
1st wins 29%
2nd 20%
3rd 17%

overall, top three won 66% of the time which seems to...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

10-10-2020, 09:55 AM

Replies: 135

Bill Benter /Models and Overlays

Views: 27,584

Posted By formula_2002

I would suggest that anyone that stakes claim to...

I would suggest that anyone that stakes claim to a solution support, their conclusions by posting comprehensive results, indicating at a minimum, bet size, bet type and return. We could all learn...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

10-09-2020, 06:27 PM

Replies: 135

Bill Benter /Models and Overlays

Views: 27,584

Posted By formula_2002

Late money more efficient? Perhaps, but some of...

Late money more efficient? Perhaps, but some of my best returns occur when my pick goes into the gate as the favorite and comes out second choice.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

10-08-2020, 11:33 AM

Replies: 135

Bill Benter /Models and Overlays

Views: 27,584

Posted By formula_2002

My analysis centers about normalization....

My analysis centers about normalization. Recently, in my multiple re-reads of the book "Chaos Theory" I was curious about a term I read, renormalization. Look it up. It seems well beyond my pay...

Showing results 1 to 8 of 8

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