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Search: Posts Made By: MPRanger
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-23-2020, 05:25 AM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,557
Posted By MPRanger
https://churchofbetting.com/2019/01/14/beating-the...

https://churchofbetting.com/2019/01/14/beating-the-race-track-how-bill-benter-built-the-perfect-model/
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-11-2020, 08:27 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,557
Posted By MPRanger
What about the rest of us? We got a right to earn.

What about the rest of us? We got a right to earn.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-10-2020, 12:48 AM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,557
Posted By MPRanger
I just don't think it's that hard to find the...

I just don't think it's that hard to find the contenders with old school speed, pace, class and form elements of handicapping. Have you or whoever's system this is run a regression analysis around...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-09-2020, 03:53 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,557
Posted By MPRanger
.... if I may. And Nitro can correct me if I'm...

.... if I may. And Nitro can correct me if I'm wrong. He doesn't seem to be making a distinction on whose money it is, just that the market is efficient. He hasn't expounded on it enough for me to...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-09-2020, 09:35 AM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,557
Posted By MPRanger
Well, why didn't you just say so? Why all the...

Well, why didn't you just say so? Why all the beating around the bush?
Is there anything else you're not telling us? :rant:

Interesting.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-07-2020, 05:14 AM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,557
Posted By MPRanger
Maybe the handicapping factors still work as...

Maybe the handicapping factors still work as before but the overlay you find is being bet down to an underlay at the last second by some group who is getting a kick back on volume. Still an overlay...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-04-2020, 02:18 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,557
Posted By MPRanger
To account for multiple dependent variables; ...

To account for multiple dependent variables;

Is it better to run a single multi linear regression
or multiple single regressions? Or is either way OK?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-01-2020, 08:52 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,557
Posted By MPRanger
A model doesn't have to be complete. It only...

A model doesn't have to be complete. It only correlates data points.
If A happens so many times then R seems to happen this many times.
Im gonna read as much as I can about it and see what he does....
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-01-2020, 08:37 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,557
Posted By MPRanger
Thanks Nitro. I appreciate all the info you...

Thanks Nitro. I appreciate all the info you shared.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-25-2020, 03:58 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,557
Posted By MPRanger
No, just that he uses a model for horse racing.

No, just that he uses a model for horse racing.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-25-2020, 03:21 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,557
Posted By MPRanger
Bill Benter /Models and Overlays

Been listening to The Perfect Bet on Audibel. It was interesting that the author said Bill Benter the Hong Kong horse racing expert found that betting overlays lost him money until he adjusted to a...
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