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Search took 0.14 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: Aerocraft67
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-06-2022, 04:49 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 173
Posted By Aerocraft67
Saratoga Derby

Don't know if any of y'all noticed, but there's a million-dollar race on today with more than five runners.

I just swept through the PPs for SAR 11 and came up with the following:

First tier...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-02-2022, 05:50 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 543
Posted By Aerocraft67
Much faster pace than I expected. Happy to get...

Much faster pace than I expected. Happy to get :2: second, but he might have won had he not tracked fourth and came around four wide.

Quite the late run from the :5:!

Going against :6: was...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-02-2022, 05:36 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 543
Posted By Aerocraft67
Stephen Foster :2:-:3:-:6:-:5:-:1:-:7: ...

Stephen Foster

:2:-:3:-:6:-:5:-:1:-:7:

The :2: seems like the solid third choice with a bit of margin, so I'll focus on him. Not a frontrunner, but looks to have things his way up front.
...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-02-2022, 05:13 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 3,512
Posted By Aerocraft67
That time of year. I see this thread got...

That time of year. I see this thread got referenced in a new, similar thread. I never closed the loop on this as OP, so let me do it now.

For my early arrival from a few hours out of town, the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-25-2022, 06:09 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 1,312
Posted By Aerocraft67
I thought the :1: was done, but he held on for...

I thought the :1: was done, but he held on for fourth. Otherwise the :3: would have blew up the few bets I won (and made RF a few bucks on the super he called out in the OP).

I hit the 10-cent...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-25-2022, 05:27 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 1,312
Posted By Aerocraft67
Boy howdy. He's fourth choice in the P6 by a...

Boy howdy. He's fourth choice in the P6 by a reasonable margin. Although he's fifth choice in all the other horizontals.

The :8: is fifth choice in the P6, fourth in the DD, and third choice in...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-25-2022, 05:16 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 1,312
Posted By Aerocraft67
I bought 52 dime supers and hit. Lost $8 on six...

I bought 52 dime supers and hit. Lost $8 on six exactas. Not quite 2-1 but better than 9/5. With a 4/5 winner, I'll take it.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-25-2022, 04:47 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 1,312
Posted By Aerocraft67
Race 10 Focusing on :5: and :9: Like :1:...

Race 10

Focusing on :5: and :9:
Like :1: and :8: underneath

:3:,:7: toss

bit of :10: and :6: in there for coverage.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-25-2022, 03:07 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 1,312
Posted By Aerocraft67
:1: or :8: to win at 4-1 or 4th choice or more ...

:1: or :8: to win at 4-1 or 4th choice or more
and
:1: or :8: to place at 6-1 or 5th choice or more
or
:1: and :8: to win if they're the same at 5-1 or more

:1:,:8: w/ :1:,:4:,:6:,:8:
...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-25-2022, 12:37 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 1,312
Posted By Aerocraft67
I'll bite on the Ohio Derby. I see more...

I'll bite on the Ohio Derby.

I see more value and and nearly as much merit in the :1: and :8: as the :5: and :7:. The latter two are legit but hard to imagine playable prices beyond a little...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 06-11-2022, 06:55 PM
Replies: 90
Views: 8,368
Posted By Aerocraft67
Good lord, the :3: just crushed me—after a bad...

Good lord, the :3: just crushed me—after a bad start. I had all manner of :2: and :6:. But just some distant savers on :3: and :1:—for third.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 06-11-2022, 05:26 PM
Replies: 90
Views: 8,368
Posted By Aerocraft67
Here's my take. Mainly off the TFUS PPs and a...

Here's my take. Mainly off the TFUS PPs and a breeze through this thread and the public handicappers. I'm going to revisit the latter.

:1: We the People
Fading a bit as the ML favorite to hope...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-22-2022, 11:57 AM
Replies: 108
Views: 8,859
Posted By Aerocraft67
Didn't expect Rosario to get shuffled back. Maybe...

Didn't expect Rosario to get shuffled back. Maybe that helped slow the pace. My best assessment was that they might run a bit hotter with longshots trying to steal it, but more likely those shots...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-21-2022, 04:42 PM
Replies: 108
Views: 8,859
Posted By Aerocraft67
:1:,:5: / :1:,:4:,:5: :1:,:5:,:8: /...

:1:,:5: / :1:,:4:,:5:
:1:,:5:,:8: / :1:,:4:,:5:,:8:,:9: / :1:,:2:,:5:,:9:
:1:,:5:,:8: / :1:,:4:,:5:,:8:,:9: / :1:,:2:,:4:,:5:,:8:,:9: / :1:,:2:,:4:,:9:

And the Zico Special:

:5:,:8: /...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-21-2022, 03:09 PM
Replies: 108
Views: 8,859
Posted By Aerocraft67
I like your style. I also lost my ass in the...

I like your style. I also lost my ass in the Derby on $1 Superfectas with six-digit payoffs dancing in my head like sugarplums. So I'm a little timid taking that kind of swing here, with all that...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-21-2022, 02:22 PM
Replies: 108
Views: 8,859
Posted By Aerocraft67
I need to read the pace discussion here again,...

I need to read the pace discussion here again, but I've caught up with the public sharps I follow.

Looks like :7: has to go, but can't contend with :5:, who may be willing to rate. The favorite...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-21-2022, 09:02 AM
Replies: 108
Views: 8,859
Posted By Aerocraft67
I'll post my thoughts now, before catching up on...

I'll post my thoughts now, before catching up on the thread and the public handicappers.

Looks like a chalky one. My preferred tiers:

:5:,:8:
:1:,:2:,:4:
:9:

Toss :3:,:6:,:7:
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-14-2022, 11:13 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 1,029
Posted By Aerocraft67
I don't think you made an error. You can go on...

I don't think you made an error. You can go on forever with that kind of incrementalism, and the hindsight of an 80-1 occurrence isn't really a fair benchmark to evaluate your game.

It's not like...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-14-2022, 10:40 AM
Replies: 108
Views: 8,859
Posted By Aerocraft67
Are you confident in Epicenter’s enduring form...

Are you confident in Epicenter’s enduring form two weeks after running hard in the Derby?
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-08-2022, 10:07 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,525
Posted By Aerocraft67
Indeed. And congrats on your score!

Indeed. And congrats on your score!
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-08-2022, 10:06 AM
Replies: 171
Views: 13,388
Posted By Aerocraft67
Maybe the most dubious move of the day was the...

Maybe the most dubious move of the day was the mounted NBC reporter moving in to interview Leon while the winning horse was savaging his pony. The attendant really had his hands full trying to...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-08-2022, 08:44 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,121
Posted By Aerocraft67
Meet the saviors of racing's repute

Derby coverage was on the front page of both the New York Times and Washington Post this morning. The Times had a 1 1/3 page spread. Grand acclaim for the unassuming connections.

Not that anyone...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-08-2022, 08:31 AM
Replies: 171
Views: 13,388
Posted By Aerocraft67
:ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

:ThmbUp::ThmbUp:
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-08-2022, 07:37 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 1,241
Posted By Aerocraft67
Boy howdy! White Abarrio was nowhere,...

Boy howdy!



White Abarrio was nowhere, but they got a lot right.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-08-2022, 07:32 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,525
Posted By Aerocraft67
Only plausible way I'd have Rich Strike on top is...

Only plausible way I'd have Rich Strike on top is with an ALL slot. But that's prohibitively expensive with 20 runners, and an unlikely tactic with so much analysis of the race.

At best he'd have...
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