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Search took 0.06 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: traveler
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-26-2023, 08:00 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 299,509
Posted By traveler
Well if we are talking win bets... Instead...

Well if we are talking win bets...

Instead of buying a $2 ticket, suppose we are buying cars for $10,000 with the idea of selling(cashing) them at a profit. If the cars you don't resell are the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-15-2023, 04:59 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 299,509
Posted By traveler
IMHO, it's the only type of race worth playing

IMHO, it's the only type of race worth playing
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-19-2023, 09:04 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 1,350
Posted By traveler
Is this similar to the Agents in HSH?

Is this similar to the Agents in HSH?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-13-2023, 07:31 PM
Replies: 82
Views: 8,204
Posted By traveler
6 - 2- and even. You either pick more winners at...

6 - 2- and even. You either pick more winners at a lower price or less winners at a higher price - either way you got a beat a 20% disadvantage in the win hole or your better off spending your time...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-13-2023, 07:26 PM
Replies: 82
Views: 8,204
Posted By traveler
great idea

great idea
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-12-2023, 06:57 PM
Replies: 82
Views: 8,204
Posted By traveler
So if I'm looking at speed and class and the top...

So if I'm looking at speed and class and the top speed and class horse are out, I get a couple horses that are 2-3 and say 4-2. Now add "your handicapping" - it seems 99.9% of "our" handicapping is...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-26-2023, 03:51 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 5,087
Posted By traveler
The best paceline to use is to "project" what the...

The best paceline to use is to "project" what the horse will run today. Picking a paceline is making an assumption that the horse will replicate a point in time.

Short of that, averaging multiple...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-05-2023, 09:29 AM
Replies: 124
Views: 15,910
Posted By traveler
used IBM Watson a few years back and it's...

used IBM Watson a few years back and it's predictive analytics and MC Sim features. Was interesting but horse racing is down the list of what I want to spend time on.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-28-2023, 09:55 AM
Replies: 46
Views: 5,802
Posted By traveler
I have a connection thru the Saratoga Reading...

I have a connection thru the Saratoga Reading Room. Private parking and direct track entrance for free. Highball at the club and golf cart to the grandstand. Just a lucky break.32842
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-25-2021, 10:00 AM
Replies: 46
Views: 6,923
Posted By traveler
Unless one is willing to bet every race, I don't...

Unless one is willing to bet every race, I don't see the point. The typical "one size fits all" in anything is usually a compromise - fits some better than others(think stretch pants :puke: )....
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-23-2021, 09:20 AM
Replies: 46
Views: 6,923
Posted By traveler
No idea on weighting. Gonna ask questions if you...

No idea on weighting. Gonna ask questions if you don't mind "Ahab"

The whales have teams because they need teams to develop the model, tweak the model, bet the model, yet YOU are going to...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-30-2020, 12:23 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,631
Posted By traveler
Yes, blending in the tote could erase your edge...

Yes, blending in the tote could erase your edge totally so you should pass. Also, if you are betting using optimal bet strategy, your bet size is a function of your edge. So if line smoothing reduces...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-20-2020, 03:49 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,631
Posted By traveler
Focus on 3 choices? Sure, but it doesn't matter...

Focus on 3 choices? Sure, but it doesn't matter if you focus on the field of 12 or 3 - you start with the field and handicap your way down to say 3. Schwartz always liked idea of half field plus 1...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-19-2020, 07:23 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 27,631
Posted By traveler
When you say "bet down" - bet down from what -...

When you say "bet down" - bet down from what - the morning line?
From gate loading to final odds?

What if you your models odds-line rankings mirror the public? Your fav wins same % as public, 2nd...
Forum: Handicapping Software 08-31-2020, 07:22 PM
Replies: 67
Views: 10,981
Posted By traveler
incoherent, but....BRIS Prime has nothing to do...

incoherent, but....BRIS Prime has nothing to do with HSH and ML is not the "best" factor in HSH. I no longer handicap but am quite familiar with HSH.
Forum: Handicapping Software 08-31-2020, 08:01 AM
Replies: 67
Views: 10,981
Posted By traveler
Actually the goal is to extract profit from a...

Actually the goal is to extract profit from a given race - not bet low or high priced horses.
Forum: Handicapping Software 08-13-2020, 04:47 PM
Replies: 127
Views: 21,413
Posted By traveler
Actually Sal, I can't decide which dog I want to...

Actually Sal, I can't decide which dog I want to throw $2 on in this dust-up. Back to the bunker...
Forum: Handicapping Software 08-13-2020, 03:45 PM
Replies: 127
Views: 21,413
Posted By traveler
Never thought I'd long for "PK Truck"..., just...

Never thought I'd long for "PK Truck"..., just sayin:bang:
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-03-2020, 10:11 PM
Replies: 237
Views: 40,824
Posted By traveler
serious question - do you have any examples where...

serious question - do you have any examples where the ML maker is right and you are wrong? You seem to be seeing your line is ALWAYS as good or better. Am I missing something?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-26-2020, 08:29 AM
Replies: 237
Views: 40,824
Posted By traveler
"because my simulations are always correct" ...

"because my simulations are always correct"

Must be nice
Forum: Handicapping Software 11-04-2019, 07:57 PM
Replies: 191
Views: 63,565
Posted By traveler
Very nicely done. Congrats.

Very nicely done. Congrats.
Forum: Handicapping Software 10-31-2019, 06:04 PM
Replies: 191
Views: 63,565
Posted By traveler
Post #122

Post #122
Forum: Handicapping Software 10-31-2019, 12:30 AM
Replies: 191
Views: 63,565
Posted By traveler
There you go, anybody can claim anything. You...

There you go, anybody can claim anything. You finally hit it but don't see it - grab the digitalis, you'll be ok.
Forum: Handicapping Software 10-30-2019, 02:00 PM
Replies: 191
Views: 63,565
Posted By traveler
Agree, not good to attack when uninformed.

Agree, not good to attack when uninformed.
Forum: Handicapping Software 10-30-2019, 01:58 PM
Replies: 191
Views: 63,565
Posted By traveler
Yep, used it extensively. Powerful program - yep,...

Yep, used it extensively. Powerful program - yep, lots of features - yep, most powerful - who knows.
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