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Posts Made By:
Steve R
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
05-07-2019, 07:44 PM
Replies:
47
Kentucky Derby Disqualification, Post-Mortem
Views:
7,006
Posted By
Steve R
By the letter of the law (whatever that is) you...
By the letter of the law (whatever that is) you could probably rationalize a DQ in a significantly high percentage of races. And regardless of the letter of the law, these decisions, in the absence...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
05-07-2019, 07:23 PM
Replies:
112
Major Hit Piece on Our Sport
Views:
8,984
Posted By
Steve R
What exactly is the "other side?" The uninvolved...
What exactly is the "other side?" The uninvolved American public sees a thousand racing-related deaths a year, thousands more retired race horses sent to slaughter and a continual stream of news...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-06-2019, 07:04 PM
Replies:
61
NEW NBC VIDEO SHOWS WAR OF WILL TOO CLOSE BEHIND MAX SEC
Views:
5,352
Posted By
Steve R
I agree with you although I'd say it's more than...
I agree with you although I'd say it's more than a possibility. The text from the article clearly states:
"In the video below, played at 8% of original speed, notice a consistent line in the...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-06-2019, 02:10 PM
Replies:
54
"I think this hurt him really bad."
Views:
4,635
Posted By
Steve R
Every horse has a chance to "recover" if it's...
Every horse has a chance to "recover" if it's close enough to the lead at the point where the incident occurred and it's still standing. But Shared Belief was knocked off stride by Bayern whether one...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-06-2019, 01:04 PM
Replies:
54
"I think this hurt him really bad."
Views:
4,635
Posted By
Steve R
When you've seen gross fouls go unpunished like...
When you've seen gross fouls go unpunished like Bayern's in the 2014 BC Classic which knocked Shared Belief out of contention and Codex's in the 1980 Preakness which eliminated any chance for Genuine...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-05-2019, 11:22 AM
Replies:
210
Maximum Security
Views:
21,617
Posted By
Steve R
1980
I guess the stewards didn't remember the mauling that Genuine Risk took from Codex entering the stretch in the 1980 Preakness and the ensuing foul claim that was denied.
...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
07-30-2018, 06:57 PM
Replies:
153
Justify retired
Views:
13,701
Posted By
Steve R
Spend a Buck went in :45.20, 1:09.60, 1:34.80,...
Spend a Buck went in :45.20, 1:09.60, 1:34.80, 2:00.20 and Justify in :45.77, 1:11.01, 1:37.35, 2:04.20.
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-13-2018, 07:41 PM
Replies:
81
Are the Triple Crown horses broken
Views:
8,962
Posted By
Steve R
The Saratoga record, not the North American...
The Saratoga record, not the North American record. That still belongs to Spectacular Bid and is 1 3/5ths faster than the Travers time.
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-13-2018, 07:04 PM
Replies:
81
Are the Triple Crown horses broken
Views:
8,962
Posted By
Steve R
Every major North American dirt record up to 6...
Every major North American dirt record up to 6 1/2f except Chinook Pass' 5f record has been set since 2005. No major record at 7f or longer has been set since 1988. This means that Thoroughbreds are...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
12-28-2016, 05:38 PM
Replies:
157
Horse of the Year 2016?
Views:
5,207
Posted By
Steve R
He may well be, but we won't know until they...
He may well be, but we won't know until they either compete at equal weights, which they never will, or Arrogate wins easily. There is a two pound weight advantage for four-year-olds over...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
10-05-2016, 12:45 PM
Replies:
1
Another Thoroughbred Dirty Secret
Views:
912
Posted By
Steve R
Another Thoroughbred Dirty Secret
https://vimeo.com/112018231
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
10-05-2016, 10:21 AM
Replies:
66
"A chip on his shoulder"
Views:
4,685
Posted By
Steve R
The six-generation coefficient of inbreeding in...
The six-generation coefficient of inbreeding in Thoroughbreds fell by more than 50% during the 20th century. Thoroughbreds are far less inbred today than they were a century ago.
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
10-02-2016, 06:05 PM
Replies:
66
"A chip on his shoulder"
Views:
4,685
Posted By
Steve R
Among 20th century Thoroughbreds Omaha was ranked...
Among 20th century Thoroughbreds Omaha was ranked 61st, between Native Diver at 60th and Holy Bull at 64th. I wouldn't be surprised if some folks out there would argue that Holy Bull (16-13-0-0 and...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
08-24-2016, 11:03 AM
Replies:
303
G1 Pacific Classic
Views:
14,200
Posted By
Steve R
Also, from Am Assoc Equine Pract 55:183-186,...
Also, from Am Assoc Equine Pract 55:183-186, 2009:
"When comparing racing surfaces worldwide, flat races run on turf have the lowest FMSI rates (0.38-0.57/1000
starts), followed by synthetic (aka...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-23-2016, 04:54 PM
Replies:
89
Derby Beyer
Views:
7,634
Posted By
Steve R
All I can tell you is that if you run a...
All I can tell you is that if you run a regression analysis of the Derby Ragozin # vs. year for the last 20 Derbies the linear trend line starts out at just under 2.00 in 1997 and is at 4.00 in 2016.
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-23-2016, 04:37 PM
Replies:
89
Derby Beyer
Views:
7,634
Posted By
Steve R
So if tracks are deeper and more tiring I can...
So if tracks are deeper and more tiring I can understand it could affect routers more than sprinters. That still doesn't explain why sprint records are still being broken. Do sprinters actually run...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-23-2016, 04:08 PM
Replies:
89
Derby Beyer
Views:
7,634
Posted By
Steve R
It's not just Beyer. Equibase, Ragozin and even...
It's not just Beyer. Equibase, Ragozin and even the Racing Post (where time is a minor component of their ratings) have all shown a general decline in performance over the last couple of decades, at...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-23-2016, 01:37 PM
Replies:
89
Derby Beyer
Views:
7,634
Posted By
Steve R
There is nothing anecdotal about data derived...
There is nothing anecdotal about data derived from tens of thousands of races each year.
1. Genetics - sprinters and routers are part of the same gene pool so if sprinters are now faster it is...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-22-2016, 08:26 PM
Replies:
89
Derby Beyer
Views:
7,634
Posted By
Steve R
There are plenty of very fast horses today. That...
There are plenty of very fast horses today. That still doesn't explain the exceptionally long time since an American dirt route record has been set while sprint records have continually been set to...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-22-2016, 04:04 PM
Replies:
89
Derby Beyer
Views:
7,634
Posted By
Steve R
How long is an era? Certainly you can compare...
How long is an era? Certainly you can compare today's figures with those of the last decade or so and even by that restriction American Pharoah's Derby and Preakness were BSFs were on the low side. ...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-15-2016, 05:34 PM
Replies:
96
Poll:
Back to Back Triple Crowns?
Views:
8,935
Posted By
Steve R
Really? No major American record on dirt beyond...
Really? No major American record on dirt beyond a sprint distance has been broken in almost 30 years while records at 5 1/2, 6 and 6 1/2 furlongs all have been set since 2009. There are half the...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-15-2016, 01:09 PM
Replies:
96
Poll:
Back to Back Triple Crowns?
Views:
8,935
Posted By
Steve R
Your assertion is absolutely untrue. Decades ago...
Your assertion is absolutely untrue. Decades ago the leading sires topped out at about 30 or so foals a year. In their lifetimes, Bold Ruler had 355, Bull Lea had 377 and Princequillo had 480. In...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-13-2016, 08:04 PM
Replies:
96
Poll:
Back to Back Triple Crowns?
Views:
8,935
Posted By
Steve R
The TC was won 11 times in its first 60 years,...
The TC was won 11 times in its first 60 years, almost a 20% strike rate. Why do people think it has been so hard since then?
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-13-2016, 05:31 PM
Replies:
96
Poll:
Back to Back Triple Crowns?
Views:
8,935
Posted By
Steve R
The TC was "created" after the fact in 1930 by...
The TC was "created" after the fact in 1930 by Charles Hatton of DRF when Gallant Fox won all three races eleven years later than Sir Barton. Prior to that only two horses had won two of the three. ...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
04-21-2016, 01:32 PM
Replies:
24
Is Tapit one of the best Sires Ever?
Views:
2,040
Posted By
Steve R
The first group below shows all North American...
The first group below shows all North American sires with at least 15 different G1SWs since 1983. Following the sire's name is the number of G1SWs, the year the sire was foaled, the number of foals,...
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