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Search took 0.10 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: speculus
Forum: Off Topic - General 05-11-2021, 10:08 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 613
Posted By speculus
Get well soon

Get well soon, Bob.

Please take regular physiotherapy exercises VERY seriously when at home.

Take Care.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-01-2019, 01:26 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,920
Posted By speculus
Are you perhaps confusing avg # of *genuine...

Are you perhaps confusing avg # of *genuine triers* with avg # of *runners* (as in avg field size)?

This formula does not predict % of winning favs at a racetrack if you know the avg field size....
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-01-2019, 04:19 AM
Replies: 31
Views: 3,306
Posted By speculus
Congratulations Mike. Great going. :ThmbUp:

Congratulations Mike. Great going. :ThmbUp:
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-01-2019, 03:31 AM
Replies: 71
Views: 8,737
Posted By speculus
It helps in handicapping at-a-glance

Though I now only use computer and my homemade software to handicap the regular tracks that I play, sometimes--especially when in Hong Kong--I like to mark my researched handicapping patterns on the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-01-2019, 01:57 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,920
Posted By speculus
CORRECTION (slip of key:p) N = {(1 / %F)...

CORRECTION (slip of key:p)


N = {(1 / %F) + (1 - %F)}


Error sincerely regretted.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-01-2019, 12:31 AM
Replies: 247
Views: 49,760
Posted By speculus
Now THAT's the seventh veil of handicapping!

Now THAT's the seventh veil of handicapping!
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-01-2019, 12:09 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,920
Posted By speculus
*Genuine triers/contenders per race at a racetrack*

There could be a small number of handicappers on this board who may be interested in knowing, beforehand, how competitive a particular racetrack is in terms of *average number of genuine triers per...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-24-2017, 11:43 AM
Replies: 108
Views: 17,355
Posted By speculus
Posting this in the hope that some of you may...

Posting this in the hope that some of you may find it useful, though this exercise was conducted in India where the racing is conducted only on the turf.

About five years ago, I had conducted a...
Forum: Off Topic - General 04-18-2017, 11:02 AM
Replies: 61
Views: 4,176
Posted By speculus
NOT exactly a very good advice in every case. ...

NOT exactly a very good advice in every case.

If the person is a habitual or compulsive spender, then this can have serious consequences. Credit card companies are generally known to increase...
Forum: Off Topic - General 03-23-2017, 01:30 AM
Replies: 195
Views: 13,975
Posted By speculus
Sorry to hear about your dad, CJ. May the...

Sorry to hear about your dad, CJ. May the departed soul rest in eternal peace. May God and His angels be with you and your family as you go through these tough moments.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-20-2017, 03:36 AM
Replies: 44
Views: 12,217
Posted By speculus
Like "class" in a horse and "creativity" in...

Like "class" in a horse and "creativity" in advertising, the "ROI" is the most misunderstood concept when it comes to calculating horse racing profits.

And the trouble is it has almost become a...
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-24-2016, 01:23 AM
Replies: 38
Views: 2,119
Posted By speculus
Two of my friends who we all thought were...

Two of my friends who we all thought were incorrigible, hopeless cases actually had miraculous recovery. One of them used Alan Carr's book Easy Way to quit alcohol, and the other started doing yoga...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-03-2016, 10:17 AM
Replies: 98
Views: 11,331
Posted By speculus
Thanks, Pandy. The pp's have...

Thanks, Pandy.

The pp's have fractional times for each race for every furlong (check out http://bolrace.com/previous/display.aspx ), but I sometimes need the timings for "different" points...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-03-2016, 09:41 AM
Replies: 98
Views: 11,331
Posted By speculus
Yes, strike rate means Win Percentage. ...

Yes, strike rate means Win Percentage.



More than 95 percent of my bets are on the nose of the horse: only WIN.

The balance 5 percent may be SHOW bets (what you call SHOW here, we call ...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-03-2016, 09:23 AM
Replies: 98
Views: 11,331
Posted By speculus
I would beg to differ. I think there are...

I would beg to differ.

I think there are just too many excellent handicappers on this forum--some of them mighty gifted--I can say that with confidence because I have read their stuff and...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-03-2016, 08:54 AM
Replies: 98
Views: 11,331
Posted By speculus
Thanks. :) I think I am blessed with a very...

Thanks. :)

I think I am blessed with a very good TEAM. They look after almost everything else so that I can focus exclusively on handicapping research.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-03-2016, 08:51 AM
Replies: 98
Views: 11,331
Posted By speculus
I think the following points stand out when...

I think the following points stand out when contrasting your racing with ours:

1. The most important difference is ALL our racetracks are TURF racetracks. There are only 9 racetracks in India....
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-03-2016, 02:26 AM
Replies: 98
Views: 11,331
Posted By speculus
Not really. I charge equivalent of US $1,000...

Not really.

I charge equivalent of US $1,000 for three months (for one racetrack), only to give them a chance to replicate by betting on their own scale, and I maintain a rather long wait...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-20-2016, 10:18 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 10,583
Posted By speculus
Nor did I.:)

Nor did I.:)
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-20-2016, 09:46 PM
Replies: 215
Views: 10,583
Posted By speculus
You are right about the exponential part

But what most pace handicappers fail to understand (and waste years of their handicapping lives, I did that too:bang:) ) is that it is easy to get lost into the labyrinth of pace mechanics if you...
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-14-2015, 10:32 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 4,481
Posted By speculus
Dear Robert, No, I am not offended. ...

Dear Robert,

No, I am not offended.

I know where you are coming from, and I can understand.

I also knew that some people would find these opinions shocking (or "nutty" as...
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-13-2015, 03:12 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 4,481
Posted By speculus
This is a touchy topic for me as I have lost both...

This is a touchy topic for me as I have lost both my parents to cancer.

But in the hope that what I write below may help some in the future, I share my thoughts (theories?) here:

A day will...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-13-2015, 12:57 AM
Replies: 336
Views: 27,672
Posted By speculus
Ok. Let me first state that I have not read the...

Ok. Let me first state that I have not read the entire thread, so forgive me if this info is meaningless in the context of this debate. But here is how things work in my country, India:

There...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-03-2015, 09:38 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 3,342
Posted By speculus
The ONLY solution? Mark my signature. It has...

The ONLY solution?

Mark my signature. It has not changed since the day I joined this board.

-speculus
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-29-2015, 12:38 AM
Replies: 328
Views: 29,863
Posted By speculus
Going by your posts in this therad, you seem to...

Going by your posts in this therad, you seem to be in the "Socratic" mode of philosophical inquiry which the ancient wise man always started by asking to "define terms". :)

I am in a mood to...
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