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Search: Posts Made By: MPRanger
Forum: Handicapping Software 11-03-2020, 03:28 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,987
Posted By MPRanger
I'm running it on 64 bit Windows 10.

I'm running it on 64 bit Windows 10.
Forum: Handicapping Software 11-01-2020, 10:04 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,987
Posted By MPRanger
That's a pretty cool little program. I downloaded...

That's a pretty cool little program. I downloaded the free version to check it out. I Randomly selected the day of Thursday September 27, 2018 to test it.

Using the Black Magic portfolio ARC 3...
Forum: Handicapping Software 10-31-2020, 12:43 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,987
Posted By MPRanger
Dutching always seems to promise more than it...

Dutching always seems to promise more than it delivers.
Typical dutching always has you betting more on a horse who pays the least.
But it's fun to play that way. Whenever I take a relative or...
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-31-2020, 10:03 AM
Replies: 49
Views: 2,158
Posted By MPRanger
Well ..... it actually seems to be working for...

Well ..... it actually seems to be working for them so far ... no?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-23-2020, 05:25 AM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,863
Posted By MPRanger
https://churchofbetting.com/2019/01/14/beating-the...

https://churchofbetting.com/2019/01/14/beating-the-race-track-how-bill-benter-built-the-perfect-model/
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-11-2020, 08:27 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,863
Posted By MPRanger
What about the rest of us? We got a right to earn.

What about the rest of us? We got a right to earn.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-10-2020, 12:48 AM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,863
Posted By MPRanger
I just don't think it's that hard to find the...

I just don't think it's that hard to find the contenders with old school speed, pace, class and form elements of handicapping. Have you or whoever's system this is run a regression analysis around...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-09-2020, 03:53 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,863
Posted By MPRanger
.... if I may. And Nitro can correct me if I'm...

.... if I may. And Nitro can correct me if I'm wrong. He doesn't seem to be making a distinction on whose money it is, just that the market is efficient. He hasn't expounded on it enough for me to...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-09-2020, 09:35 AM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,863
Posted By MPRanger
Well, why didn't you just say so? Why all the...

Well, why didn't you just say so? Why all the beating around the bush?
Is there anything else you're not telling us? :rant:

Interesting.
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-08-2020, 12:30 AM
Replies: 107
Views: 3,686
Posted By MPRanger
It was weird how that bug crawled off of her and...

It was weird how that bug crawled off of her and landed on Pence.
Forum: Handicapping Library 10-07-2020, 10:22 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 3,788
Posted By MPRanger
Disregard. We already have it. Thanks.

Disregard. We already have it. Thanks.
Forum: Handicapping Library 10-07-2020, 07:59 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 3,788
Posted By MPRanger
I'd be interested in #12. Please pm the details.

I'd be interested in #12. Please pm the details.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-07-2020, 05:14 AM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,863
Posted By MPRanger
Maybe the handicapping factors still work as...

Maybe the handicapping factors still work as before but the overlay you find is being bet down to an underlay at the last second by some group who is getting a kick back on volume. Still an overlay...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-04-2020, 02:18 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,863
Posted By MPRanger
To account for multiple dependent variables; ...

To account for multiple dependent variables;

Is it better to run a single multi linear regression
or multiple single regressions? Or is either way OK?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-01-2020, 08:52 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,863
Posted By MPRanger
A model doesn't have to be complete. It only...

A model doesn't have to be complete. It only correlates data points.
If A happens so many times then R seems to happen this many times.
Im gonna read as much as I can about it and see what he does....
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-01-2020, 08:37 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,863
Posted By MPRanger
Thanks Nitro. I appreciate all the info you...

Thanks Nitro. I appreciate all the info you shared.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-25-2020, 03:58 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,863
Posted By MPRanger
No, just that he uses a model for horse racing.

No, just that he uses a model for horse racing.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-25-2020, 03:21 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,863
Posted By MPRanger
Bill Benter /Models and Overlays

Been listening to The Perfect Bet on Audibel. It was interesting that the author said Bill Benter the Hong Kong horse racing expert found that betting overlays lost him money until he adjusted to a...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-14-2020, 09:36 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 3,406
Posted By MPRanger
Interesting. Thanks.

Interesting.

Thanks.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-14-2020, 07:14 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 3,406
Posted By MPRanger
Is that how you do it?

Is that how you do it?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-14-2020, 07:07 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 3,406
Posted By MPRanger
I don't think you understand my question. My...

I don't think you understand my question. My fault Im sure.
Forget the purse on the claimer, just go with the sale price
of 25k


How would you handicap that against a 25k allowance race?
...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-14-2020, 02:24 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 3,406
Posted By MPRanger
I like this post from 2017. But I have a...

I like this post from 2017. But I have a question:

How would you weight or evaluate or compare between
a claiming race and an allowance race of the same tag as a purse ?

$25,000 claiming price...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-05-2019, 10:29 AM
Replies: 60
Views: 5,327
Posted By MPRanger
Now that that's established, what to do about it?...

Now that that's established, what to do about it?
Everyone should demand betting exchanges.
But that's not gonna happen.

The one little jewel I have gotten from this thread
somewhere up the...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-05-2019, 10:18 AM
Replies: 60
Views: 5,327
Posted By MPRanger
Here's another one: ...

Here's another one:
https://pws.usracing.com/twin-spires
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-05-2019, 10:08 AM
Replies: 60
Views: 5,327
Posted By MPRanger
Here's an article in Bloodhorse that discusses...

Here's an article in Bloodhorse that discusses the competition to attract
whales with rebates:
...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 303

 
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