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Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: ranchwest
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-24-2022, 06:53 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
Incorrect. I take the %M of all prior races and...

Incorrect. I take the %M of all prior races and take the median of those. I divide those into 6 levels of early to late. I then take the median value for those 6 levels. If it leans late (on...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-24-2022, 06:17 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
That may not have been as clear as it should have...

That may not have been as clear as it should have been. I didn't mean their history at 5.5. I meant that they were going 5.5 today.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-24-2022, 04:47 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
It's when there's a field of low %M horses that I...

It's when there's a field of low %M horses that I get more creative in my handicapping.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-24-2022, 04:09 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
Race 1 Parx, 10/24/22 (today) A field of...

Race 1 Parx, 10/24/22 (today)

A field of early energy horses (fairly high %M) going 5.5f, a dash. Should be a normal pace race. All of the horses have a similar early energy.

#4 shows to be...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-23-2022, 03:49 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
In what sense? I rely heavily on %Median. Maybe...

In what sense? I rely heavily on %Median. Maybe not in the same way as others see it.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-19-2022, 06:59 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
Thanks for the explanation. I believe I better...

Thanks for the explanation. I believe I better understand your points. I, too, depend a lot on energy distribution.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-19-2022, 01:02 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
Thanks! I am not sure that I yet fully...

Thanks! I am not sure that I yet fully understand, but it is genuine food for thought. I did feel that this was a race where the front pace was likely to collapse, but I will have to review your...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-19-2022, 11:52 AM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
Yes, and every time they vote it comes up in New...

Yes, and every time they vote it comes up in New Posts. Way more often than actual new posts.

And, I didn't originally understand the question. :lol: So, my vote isn't recorded properly anyway.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-18-2022, 11:26 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
Can you explain how you quantify "top rated in...

Can you explain how you quantify "top rated in terms of least amount used going into todays race"?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-19-2022, 01:39 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
One thing that is important for me is to look at...

One thing that is important for me is to look at similar but different. Best of last 10 SR, weighted last 4 SR, pace line SR, distance adjusted time for paceline. Similar concept for pace.

I am...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-18-2022, 09:51 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
I find paceline selection to be important, but I...

I find paceline selection to be important, but I also look at pace ratings for the last four races, weighted more strongly by recency. It does help in establishing the pace scenario.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-02-2022, 12:28 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
One of my strategies for exposing this is to have...

One of my strategies for exposing this is to have preference for competitive lines. If a horse wins or loses by a wide margin, that line doesn't reveal much.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-27-2022, 07:26 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
I was referring to the book.

I was referring to the book.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-27-2022, 03:50 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
Thanks. I have MPH. This might be a good read.

Thanks. I have MPH. This might be a good read.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-27-2022, 09:35 AM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
Thanks. Got it.

Thanks. Got it.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-26-2022, 09:41 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
Comes up as a dead link.

Comes up as a dead link.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-23-2022, 05:39 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
So you're in a constant state of flux.

So you're in a constant state of flux.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-23-2022, 01:40 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
So, you form an opinion with absolutely no basis....

So, you form an opinion with absolutely no basis. Okay.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-23-2022, 01:34 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
Are you looking mostly at the section with the...

Are you looking mostly at the section with the combined rankings of the 7 factors?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-22-2022, 05:27 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
Two lines better in what regard? A specific...

Two lines better in what regard? A specific Sartin factor? Are the lines based on your regular line selection process, so that you would use the two most qualified lines for each horse?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-14-2022, 10:49 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
I think there are many ways to view this. ...

I think there are many ways to view this.

1) A horse has one line far better than all others. Is it more realistic to use one line or more than one? Which one?

2) A horse has all dirt sprint...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-12-2022, 01:26 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
Of course. There always has to be validity.

Of course. There always has to be validity.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-12-2022, 01:23 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
Isn't picking two pacelines like kissing your...

Isn't picking two pacelines like kissing your sister?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-12-2022, 10:03 AM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
And, of course, the pace line selected makes a...

And, of course, the pace line selected makes a lot of difference.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-12-2022, 09:36 AM
Replies: 131
Views: 23,614
Posted By ranchwest
The Sartin Methodology has 7 basic factors that...

The Sartin Methodology has 7 basic factors that can be used to rank horses. The composite of those rankings is a generally good measure and many winners come from the top 5.

But I find that the...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 38
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