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Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: Dave Schwartz
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-08-2020, 12:04 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
John Henry, Sorry that the money clip got...

John Henry,

Sorry that the money clip got away. I just caved under the pressure of so many requests. LOL


I've never been a "big horse" guy. To me, it has always been about the betting.

But...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-01-2020, 10:40 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
That's where I got mine. Actually had 2 or 3...

That's where I got mine.

Actually had 2 or 3 at one time.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-01-2020, 05:46 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Update on the John Henry money clip: I received...

Update on the John Henry money clip:
I received quite a few requests for this, none from Mr. John Henry.

So, I sent it off to the first person who asked for it.

Really wasn't a big deal -...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-15-2020, 02:25 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Hey, John Henry! With a name like that I'm...

Hey, John Henry!

With a name like that I'm going to assume that you're a fan of that wonderful old horse.

Do you have one of these?

https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/5DUAAOSwWcJfMbWE/s-l640.jpg...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-07-2012, 04:08 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Well, clearly that isn't me. I guess I think...

Well, clearly that isn't me.

I guess I think of a P&P guy as a guy that makes manual selections. I stand corrected.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-06-2012, 11:30 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
LOL - Okay, whatever you say.

LOL - Okay, whatever you say.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-06-2012, 12:01 AM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Are you fishing for something here Cincy?

Are you fishing for something here Cincy?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2012, 04:11 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Thaskalos, Truthfully, I see myself as a P&P...

Thaskalos,

Truthfully, I see myself as a P&P handicapper, albeit with very powerful "worksheets" in front of me. I didn't before this thread but when one is making manual selections, even using a...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2012, 02:21 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
"Wrong" is, well, harsh. I can tell you...

"Wrong" is, well, harsh.

I can tell you that the basis for all my exacta plays are modified win probabilities.

One of the pieces of programming I am working on now is to allow the "penalties"...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2012, 01:42 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Geez, Thasky... getting sensitive here, aren't...

Geez, Thasky... getting sensitive here, aren't you?

Guys, Cincy made a provocative post to begin with - stating that this good old-fashioned way...



... was most effective.

I disagree...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2012, 01:36 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
(Seems there is always one more to answer.) ...

(Seems there is always one more to answer.)



Windoor,


Nevertheless, I stand by that statement.

I believe that picking out (say) a dozen good horses for the next day to watch is not the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2012, 01:28 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I absolutely agree that it is just my opinion and...

I absolutely agree that it is just my opinion and not fact. There are very few if any, true "facts" when it comes to handicapping approaches. I believe that I made it clear from the beginning that it...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2012, 12:37 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Raybo, Remember that this started because I...

Raybo,

Remember that this started because I criticized Cincy for giving advice like his was the best way to play.

My problem is not with limiting the races one handicaps. Even I don't handicap...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2012, 12:15 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Al, I totally disagree. A races playability...

Al, I totally disagree.

A races playability is dependent upon the relative values of the horses in the race AND the way the public perceives it at post time.

Maybe this is actually most of my...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2012, 11:28 AM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Raybo, Sure. Like all of it, there is a lot...

Raybo,

Sure. Like all of it, there is a lot of tweaking necessary.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2012, 09:46 AM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
How you determine the grading process for each...

How you determine the grading process for each factor, and for that matter, what the factors actually are in a given race, could fill an entire volume. Oh wait... I just built such a volume:...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2012, 09:37 AM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
The point is that this very simple "grading...

The point is that this very simple "grading system" now has been turned into a powerful "grading machine," that can determine value for any horse in any race.

Why would anyone want to limit...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2012, 09:33 AM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Seems we still have a problem. How will our...

Seems we still have a problem. How will our system ever find overlays at anything except higher-priced horses?

I mean, even if Able is "excellent" all the way across...
...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2012, 09:25 AM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Of course, this race worked out a little...

Of course, this race worked out a little simplistic. Let's shift the ratings around to create a couple of stand-outs.

BTW, at the start of the handicapping, every horse begins as "average" and we...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-03-2012, 09:11 AM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Cincy, No need to get angry. I simply do not...

Cincy,

No need to get angry. I simply do not like your approach to the game.

Here is why.

Value cannot be found simply by you falling in love with a horse. That is the stuff that 1980's...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-02-2012, 09:32 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Kashie, no it wasn't.

Kashie, no it wasn't.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-02-2012, 09:12 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Those were consecutive races. I played every race...

Those were consecutive races. I played every race in varying amounts.

Bankroll was based upon a max bet of $1,000 in a race. Practically, I have never had a bet over about $850.

Bankroll...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-02-2012, 08:39 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Here is the most recent work I shared with some...

Here is the most recent work I shared with some of our users last night.

http://www.horsestreet.com/BBSImages/RecentPlay.jpg
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-02-2012, 07:15 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Again, let me be clear and simple about this. ...

Again, let me be clear and simple about this.

Your methodology seems to work for you and I congratulate you for that.

I am simply suggesting that it is not, in my opinion, the way to teach...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-02-2012, 05:41 PM
Replies: 377
Views: 176,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I have no intention of turning this in to a flame...

I have no intention of turning this in to a flame thread.

I congratulate you that you are having such splendid results.

My point was that you seemed to be advising people to do it this way and...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 29
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