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Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: jorcus99
Forum: General Racing Discussion 12-10-2012, 09:25 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,303
Posted By jorcus99
What were the odds on the well bet challenger?...

What were the odds on the well bet challenger? Just because they liked him does not always mean they think he is a lock. The fact that he held his morning line as a FTS could be a good sign but you...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 12-06-2012, 03:24 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 871
Posted By jorcus99
A little off topic but I ran into this a few...

A little off topic but I ran into this a few years ago and found it interesting about the The Iranian's peoples interest in one of our television shows.
...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-06-2012, 10:40 AM
Replies: 117
Views: 11,930
Posted By jorcus99
I guess it depends on what you consider extreme....

I guess it depends on what you consider extreme. Were the slow times at Hollywood park last weekend extreme enough to create a vairant? Most would say yes. If that is he case where do you draw the...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 12-06-2012, 08:05 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 808
Posted By jorcus99
I guess they don't want those worthless racing...

I guess they don't want those worthless racing fans taking up parking spaces on the best casino nights.
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 11-20-2012, 08:31 AM
Replies: 98
Views: 10,000
Posted By jorcus99
This fact is probably more general than the other...

This fact is probably more general than the other facts and therefore less effective for a particular event.
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 11-20-2012, 07:25 AM
Replies: 98
Views: 10,000
Posted By jorcus99
I think the win pool vs the exacta pool has...

I think the win pool vs the exacta pool has become much more efficient in the last decade. The win payouts may swing some at the last minute at the tracks I play but the exacta payouts often swing...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-19-2012, 02:17 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 2,351
Posted By jorcus99
It's been over 20 years since I have seen it, and...

It's been over 20 years since I have seen it, and I am not going to watch it ever again if I can help it.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-16-2012, 07:25 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 3,600
Posted By jorcus99
If I remember right his second bc win was from an...

If I remember right his second bc win was from an outside post in a full field. He had to use his speed early to win that one. It was an impressive race.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-15-2012, 09:27 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 1,327
Posted By jorcus99
Being a Juddmont Stallion they will probably keep...

Being a Juddmont Stallion they will probably keep a lot of the covers for their own mares. That reduces the supply of open bookings and props the price up. 200k is a lot of money for a first year...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-14-2012, 07:12 AM
Replies: 33
Views: 2,358
Posted By jorcus99
This was not the worst BC bias that I have seen....

This was not the worst BC bias that I have seen. The Cat Thief year at Gulfstream, and the one at Woodbine come to mind. The problem with adjusting tracks for bias is that it seems very hard to do...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-07-2012, 06:52 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 1,229
Posted By jorcus99
Keep in mind that Smart Strike and Distorted...

Keep in mind that Smart Strike and Distorted Humor once stood for much lower prices. As the offspring won, the prices went up. Same should happen to a some of these.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-24-2012, 09:04 AM
Replies: 509
Views: 48,418
Posted By jorcus99
I am not all that familiar with handicapping...

I am not all that familiar with handicapping software packages but It seems to me that there have been some out there based on this approach. Neural Networks, seemed to be a self educating type of...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-24-2012, 08:52 AM
Replies: 509
Views: 48,418
Posted By jorcus99
It's what some refer to as emotional tagging....

It's what some refer to as emotional tagging. This is part of what makes our thought process so complex. Not only do we have to recognize a complex pattern, most of us relate that pattern to a...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-22-2012, 01:23 PM
Replies: 509
Views: 48,418
Posted By jorcus99
I agree, To have a pattern recognition type of...

I agree, To have a pattern recognition type of event, the first thing is that you have to have seen the pattern before. The second thing is, the more often you have seen the pattern the more likely...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-22-2012, 08:06 AM
Replies: 509
Views: 48,418
Posted By jorcus99
A life and death example of pattern recognition....

A life and death example of pattern recognition. The non specific type.

http://www.spokesman.com/stories/2012/oct/16/lifesaving-specialist/?print-friendly
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-20-2012, 10:15 AM
Replies: 509
Views: 48,418
Posted By jorcus99
I consider them to be much different. I...

I consider them to be much different.

I drive a lot for my work. Sometimes I come to an intersection that I have not been to in 10 or 20 years. Should I go right or left? If I go the correct way...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-20-2012, 10:02 AM
Replies: 509
Views: 48,418
Posted By jorcus99
From my point of view the application of...

From my point of view the application of recognition is getting a feeling and then acting upon it. Have you ever been struck by a thought. A moment of clarity where you have this feeling that over...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-19-2012, 06:04 PM
Replies: 509
Views: 48,418
Posted By jorcus99
From my point of view I think there is great...

From my point of view I think there is great misunderstanding of what pattern recognition is and what it means in our world of handicapping. I am just using your post as an example because it touches...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-19-2012, 09:39 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,374
Posted By jorcus99
The inner is different. Because there is no turf...

The inner is different. Because there is no turf racing and the different distance of the races are very limited racing becomes very redundant. A lot of the same horses face off under the same...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-19-2012, 08:39 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 1,428
Posted By jorcus99
Nice collection of 1% types. At least Bobby Flay...

Nice collection of 1% types. At least Bobby Flay has skin in the game. I wonder if some of these guys have ever been to a horses race other than a triple crown event or a Travers. Cuomo saves NYRA by...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-21-2012, 07:44 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 1,236
Posted By jorcus99
The one thing that she did do that sticks out is...

The one thing that she did do that sticks out is win that BC Juvy filly race on 2 weeks rest. As hard as it is for a older horses to come back on short rest It is often twice as taxing on 2 year...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-14-2012, 05:42 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 5,640
Posted By jorcus99
Maybe no spread talk during the game but before...

Maybe no spread talk during the game but before the game each station that broadcasts NFL games has a link that show the spread, The odds and the over under.

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/odds
...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-13-2012, 09:29 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 5,640
Posted By jorcus99
Why don't they stop the channels that brodcast...

Why don't they stop the channels that brodcast games from showing the betting lines? Why do they grant press box access to news outlets that publish betting lines? They could go the hockey route with...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-13-2012, 07:57 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 5,640
Posted By jorcus99
Canarsi Wrote. "Because they collect money...

Canarsi Wrote.

"Because they collect money from the signal they provide which is an enormous sum. Also it’s the NFL who has the better business model of which they had to get Federal antitrust...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-10-2012, 07:30 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 2,007
Posted By jorcus99
I think with filly's you tend to grab grade 1's...

I think with filly's you tend to grab grade 1's if you think you can and not wait for them. Having said that there is that pesky Lasix issue and she would have to run the BC lasix off.
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