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Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: socialnetworker
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-25-2021, 01:28 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 6,931
Posted By socialnetworker
LOL, horseplayers can disagree about pretty much...

LOL, horseplayers can disagree about pretty much anything - depending upon whether they won or lost! Thanks for your input.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-16-2021, 07:45 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 6,931
Posted By socialnetworker
My point is that we are talking about two...

My point is that we are talking about two different things, and should use different terminology for each scenario.

"LONE SPEED" is like an ADJECTIVE describing the qualities of a Horse BEFORE the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-15-2021, 05:44 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 6,931
Posted By socialnetworker
Maybe CJ from TimeformUS can indicate whether...

Maybe CJ from TimeformUS can indicate whether they report any stats on the accuracy of their Pace Predictions.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-15-2021, 05:42 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 6,931
Posted By socialnetworker
Exactly, it troubles me when people engage in...

Exactly, it troubles me when people engage in "affirming the consequence" reasoning...like "This horse got the lead so he was The Lone Speed." Umm, no, he was "the Pacesetter."
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-15-2021, 05:39 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 6,931
Posted By socialnetworker
That was definitely a score to remember. Glad to...

That was definitely a score to remember. Glad to hear you are still plugging away...into your spreadsheet, that is!
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-11-2021, 03:15 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 6,931
Posted By socialnetworker
I think we are entitled to call such a horse the...

I think we are entitled to call such a horse the "Speed of the Speed" or the "Horse with the fastest fractions" - but he's not THE LONE speed. Just the quickest in that particular matchup.

When...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-11-2021, 02:20 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 6,931
Posted By socialnetworker
Thanks for the reply, Mr. Schwartz. Racehorses...

Thanks for the reply, Mr. Schwartz.
Racehorses have a nasty habit of not doing precisely what everybody anticipates and believes they have a right to expect based upon past performances...and...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-10-2021, 10:44 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 6,931
Posted By socialnetworker
Thanks for your reply. Medina Spirit had...

Thanks for your reply.

Medina Spirit had never been on the lead in his career other than for one race, and never what I would call "loose on the lead".

The fact that the jockey said his "plan...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-10-2021, 10:39 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 6,931
Posted By socialnetworker
Thanks for your reply. I see 5 E 7s as a "Speed...

Thanks for your reply.
I see 5 E 7s as a "Speed of the speed" scenario, at best.

To me, Lone Speed implies a frontrunning horse who will find himself alone on an uncontested lead, not just...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-10-2021, 10:32 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 6,931
Posted By socialnetworker
LOL, thanks for noticing! So far, not much has...

LOL, thanks for noticing! So far, not much has been worth talking about! Thanks for your response.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-09-2021, 10:04 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 6,931
Posted By socialnetworker
How do YOU define "Lone Speed"?

I'm seeing debates about whether Medina Spirit was the "Lone Speed" in the Derby.

I think some folks have difficulty distinguishing between Terms/Concepts like Lone Speed, Pacesetter, Frontrunner,...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-17-2014, 05:58 AM
Replies: 49
Views: 4,625
Posted By socialnetworker
"Yet no accident over the last three years can...

"Yet no accident over the last three years can match what occurred in a single race on Feb. 29, at Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races in West Virginia. Eight horses started. Seven fell. One...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-17-2014, 02:09 AM
Replies: 49
Views: 4,625
Posted By socialnetworker
misinformation campaigns

You are impressive in your compulsion to distort what others have said by selective attention and distraction.

You clearly have difficulty in distinguishing between analysis and synthesis - which...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-16-2014, 06:07 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 4,625
Posted By socialnetworker
cheating and butchering

Maybe they should NOT be different discussions.

I think if you were able to look closely then you might find certain common techniques and practices.

They possibly share the desire to make...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-16-2014, 05:36 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 4,625
Posted By socialnetworker
I think your inability to reconcile what is...

I think your inability to reconcile what is plainly stated in black and white points out your own gap between knowledge and understanding.

You are more interested in playing word games than...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-16-2014, 04:18 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 4,625
Posted By socialnetworker
Thanks for pointing out the Drape article, more...

Thanks for pointing out the Drape article, more info available here:
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/23/sports/despite-the-evidence-trainers-deny-a-doping-problem.html

It is an interesting read,...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-16-2014, 02:01 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 4,625
Posted By socialnetworker
You seem to ignore the fact that I clearly stated...

You seem to ignore the fact that I clearly stated it was my "Subjective" impression. I have not tried to "disguise" anything at all.

My subjective impression was that "Butchers" do not...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-16-2014, 03:02 AM
Replies: 49
Views: 4,625
Posted By socialnetworker
Generalizations and tunnel vision

So, I assume you are OK with everybody judging you as an "Idiot" on the basis of one post...regardless of your overall record of posting?

you either Are or Are Not?

There's really no grey...
Forum: Handicapping Software 06-16-2014, 02:34 AM
Replies: 124
Views: 31,394
Posted By socialnetworker
Past Brisnet PPs

Does anybody know anybody willing to help assemble an archive of past PPs
(besides Brisnet:) ).

I would like to purchase entire seasons for research purposes at a reasonable cost.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-13-2014, 08:18 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 4,625
Posted By socialnetworker
debate vs. trolling?

One could try to move from inflammation to information - maybe by looking at more actual statistics...

For example, a couple of years ago I looked at Pletcher's Formulator stats for maiden horses...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-13-2014, 07:46 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 1,021
Posted By socialnetworker
Creque Stats

2013: 8 starts, 2 winners, 0 place, 1 show.
2014: 50 starts, 17 winners, 5 place, 6 show.

Technically, I guess going from a 25% win rate to 34% is not that abnormal an improvement with a small...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 06-13-2014, 07:21 PM
Replies: 63
Views: 16,917
Posted By socialnetworker
archived bris info

Hi Robert: Sorry to hear you are not feeling well.
I have similar intentions to yourself: I belief more predictive power can be squeezed out of the Bris Ratings...

and Multiple Regression is...
Showing results 1 to 22 of 22

 
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