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Search: Posts Made By: AndyC
Forum: Off Topic - General 03-19-2019, 09:59 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 692
Posted By AndyC
She is fine provided she is not privy to any...

She is fine provided she is not privy to any debate questions.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-19-2019, 04:03 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 1,606
Posted By AndyC
If one is betting just for the sake of betting...

If one is betting just for the sake of betting then no, that probably isn't a good habit to start. But there are so many scenarios that warrant a bet albeit not a large regular bet. I think it makes...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-18-2019, 09:51 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 1,606
Posted By AndyC
So basically you just said that you have a good...

So basically you just said that you have a good idea of your probability of hitting a dutch bet which I assume doesn't change much. So it certainly makes sense to bet more when your margins are...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-18-2019, 07:29 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 1,606
Posted By AndyC
The key part of that equation is the highest...

The key part of that equation is the highest probability of winning. Betting large amounts on longshots will lead to bankroll ruin unless, of course, the longshots have an extremely high probability...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-18-2019, 04:05 PM
Replies: 62
Views: 3,625
Posted By AndyC
I don't think a casual player realizes anything...

I don't think a casual player realizes anything regarding the disadvantage he/she faces. What they do realize is that losing money at the track isn't nearly as fun as losing money at a casino or...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-17-2019, 12:42 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 1,606
Posted By AndyC
I was trying to make a point not debate the...

I was trying to make a point not debate the ability or inability to precisely determine a probability.

How often do you get 25-1 horses that you would bet at 5-1? If this happens a lot for you...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-16-2019, 12:13 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 1,606
Posted By AndyC
I am curious to know why some are advocating...

I am curious to know why some are advocating betting more on their high odds horses and less on their low odds horses. Take a 25-1 horse that you have precisely evaluated to have a 10% chance of...
Forum: Off Topic - General 03-15-2019, 01:52 PM
Replies: 506
Views: 12,272
Posted By AndyC
In your opinion the wall isn't a problem. There...

In your opinion the wall isn't a problem. There are so many people with first-hand knowledge who vehemently disagree.

They are stupid narratives because you disagree?

So if Obama declared...
Forum: Off Topic - General 03-15-2019, 12:34 PM
Replies: 506
Views: 12,272
Posted By AndyC
Do you think the bad guys just stop in San Diego...

Do you think the bad guys just stop in San Diego after illegally crossing the border?
Forum: Off Topic - General 03-15-2019, 11:54 AM
Replies: 506
Views: 12,272
Posted By AndyC
Front page of the San Diego Union this morning: ...

Front page of the San Diego Union this morning: Tijuana ranked most violent city in the world for 2018 Five of top 6 are in Mexico.

You can stick your head in the sand to suit your political...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-09-2019, 06:03 PM
Replies: 222
Views: 18,667
Posted By AndyC
Not if your overall bet volume stayed the same.

Not if your overall bet volume stayed the same.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-09-2019, 12:01 PM
Replies: 222
Views: 18,667
Posted By AndyC
I meant an overlay to the takeout. After...

I meant an overlay to the takeout.

After reading the responses and seeing Jeff's random bet study I have finally gotten my head around this issue. Betting equal amounts on random selections...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-08-2019, 10:58 AM
Replies: 222
Views: 18,667
Posted By AndyC
The breakage point I get but what percent of the...

The breakage point I get but what percent of the random horses would be underlays to the breakage and what percent would be overlays? And wouldn't your random pick of the overlays offset the...
Forum: Off Topic - General 03-07-2019, 09:09 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 377
Posted By AndyC
The benefit is the liquidity. I didn't...

The benefit is the liquidity.

I didn't realize that the stock markets were a zero sum game. Doesn't everybody try to extract wealth?
Forum: Off Topic - General 03-07-2019, 10:33 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 377
Posted By AndyC
Implying that high frequency trading is bad for...

Implying that high frequency trading is bad for the market?
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-28-2019, 10:08 PM
Replies: 1,345
Views: 51,301
Posted By AndyC
Don't you think that a bank would require audited...

Don't you think that a bank would require audited financial statements before loaning large amounts of money? And if not statements the loans would be secured by property being purchased or by equity...
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-28-2019, 09:26 PM
Replies: 1,345
Views: 51,301
Posted By AndyC
I doubt if there are hundreds of items in Trump's...

I doubt if there are hundreds of items in Trump's returns involve ambiguous interpretations of the tax code. And it isn't the interpretations that are ambiguous it is the tax code itself!

I don't...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-28-2019, 04:51 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 2,282
Posted By AndyC
It's because turf races are usually run faster at...

It's because turf races are usually run faster at the end than at the beginning. A 3 length win on the turf is generally far more convincing than one on the dirt.
Forum: Handicapping Library 02-28-2019, 11:47 AM
Replies: 63
Views: 5,923
Posted By AndyC
Handicapping for outliers is probably the best...

Handicapping for outliers is probably the best way to find a betting edge.
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-15-2019, 10:47 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 546
Posted By AndyC
That wasn't the girl who made your eyes water it...

That wasn't the girl who made your eyes water it was the pesticides used by all the farmers!
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-14-2019, 11:46 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 512
Posted By AndyC
Mass has consistently run deficits but finally...

Mass has consistently run deficits but finally had a surplus in 2018 due to a booming economy.
...
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-13-2019, 01:46 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 512
Posted By AndyC
Quite ironic that they escaped the high taxes...

Quite ironic that they escaped the high taxes brought on by Democrats in NY and now wish to continue backing those policies while benefiting from the conservative low taxes. Will they not be...
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-10-2019, 01:48 PM
Replies: 76
Views: 2,138
Posted By AndyC
Wouldn't increasing your 457(b) also decrease...

Wouldn't increasing your 457(b) also decrease your withholding? The withholding tables are based on taxable wages and not gross wages.
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-08-2019, 12:05 AM
Replies: 76
Views: 2,138
Posted By AndyC
Down in the comment section a Michael K. Richards...

Down in the comment section a Michael K. Richards claims that his taxes, with the same income and same withholding went up $5,848. He had an income of $83,085. Doing the tax calculation using a...
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-05-2019, 05:32 PM
Replies: 57
Views: 1,270
Posted By AndyC
For someone to only benefit $313 it would mean 1...

For someone to only benefit $313 it would mean 1 of 2 things: 1) taxable income very low with little tax paid or 2) many deductions lost because of limitations on SALT and the elimination of most...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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