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Posts Made By:
elhelmete
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
Today, 06:09 PM
Replies:
86
testing my exacta play prior to actually betting
Views:
1,532
Posted By
elhelmete
OK, which 2 horses in this example are the top...
OK, which 2 horses in this example are the top two win choices? The 7 and 4? And you put them over the remaining choices for the exacta?
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
Today, 03:44 PM
Replies:
86
testing my exacta play prior to actually betting
Views:
1,532
Posted By
elhelmete
Would you be willing to take a moment and explain...
Would you be willing to take a moment and explain one of the charts you're posting? Like literally exactly what each column/row represents.
edited to add that I do see in your most recent chart...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-28-2022, 11:58 AM
Replies:
86
testing my exacta play prior to actually betting
Views:
1,532
Posted By
elhelmete
I have to admit to not really understanding the...
I have to admit to not really understanding the screengrabs you post without explanation but for what I've gathered your method relies on some combination of board odds, ML, and will-pays?
I have...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-26-2022, 09:27 PM
Replies:
86
testing my exacta play prior to actually betting
Views:
1,532
Posted By
elhelmete
Sooooooo, are these somehow representative of...
Sooooooo, are these somehow representative of real bets?
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
06-17-2022, 12:56 PM
Replies:
22
Andy Serling being honored at NY Race Track Chaplaincy Brunch
Views:
1,551
Posted By
elhelmete
Congrats!
Congrats!
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
06-17-2022, 12:53 PM
Replies:
76
Tracks closing due to heat....there has to be a better idea.
Views:
3,731
Posted By
elhelmete
Ha! Yeah, and that's 6 posts about you out of 49...
Ha! Yeah, and that's 6 posts about you out of 49 total over 4+ years. Kinda a stalker but it is only a .122 batting average, well below the Mendoza Line
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
06-03-2022, 11:33 AM
Replies:
3
Playing the Toteboard
Views:
397
Posted By
elhelmete
If the criteria really is just having fun--and...
If the criteria really is just having fun--and therefore I don't need to provide any quant analysis of why I play this sometimes:
When there's an odds-on favorite taking all the $$ in a race with...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
05-29-2022, 11:41 PM
Replies:
14
Lester Piggott dies. The greatest jockey of all time.
Views:
1,029
Posted By
elhelmete
Lester figures large in a terrific book entitled...
Lester figures large in a terrific book entitled 'Never Say Die,' named for the horse he rode to his first Epsom Derby win. Horse racing fans should add it to their must-read list.
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
05-19-2022, 05:10 PM
Replies:
31
Pimlico to cancel due to heat ?
Views:
1,973
Posted By
elhelmete
What about the tight turns?!?! :rant::lol:
What about the tight turns?!?! :rant::lol:
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
05-15-2022, 09:41 AM
Replies:
37
How about some degenerate stories
Views:
3,218
Posted By
elhelmete
[QUOTE=btexpress;2804355] I have a friend...
[QUOTE=btexpress;2804355]
I have a friend who loads $100 on NYRA every weekend w/QUOTE]
What does he do after the first race? :rolleyes:
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
05-08-2022, 07:47 PM
Replies:
5
Bring Back The Aqueduct Summer Meeting!
Views:
580
Posted By
elhelmete
Along with some OCD. A lot.
Along with some OCD. A lot.
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
04-29-2022, 11:51 AM
Replies:
42
Why Not 16-Horse Fields?
Views:
2,049
Posted By
elhelmete
Do you actually follow horse racing?
Do you actually follow horse racing?
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-21-2022, 09:42 AM
Replies:
152
BETTING FAVORITES. KNOW WHEN TO HOLD THEM KNOW WHEN TO FOLD THEM AND KNOW HOW TO BET
Views:
9,603
Posted By
elhelmete
Sorry if it seems like I'm picking on your...
Sorry if it seems like I'm picking on your sentence structure, but are you saying this:
Flat-betting all post-time favorites (as determined after the race, I suspect) had a 40% win rate returning...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-21-2022, 08:53 AM
Replies:
152
BETTING FAVORITES. KNOW WHEN TO HOLD THEM KNOW WHEN TO FOLD THEM AND KNOW HOW TO BET
Views:
9,603
Posted By
elhelmete
Can you please interpret the above? Assume I'm...
Can you please interpret the above?
Assume I'm stupid and really lay it out plainly.
Thanks in advance.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-19-2022, 12:44 PM
Replies:
152
BETTING FAVORITES. KNOW WHEN TO HOLD THEM KNOW WHEN TO FOLD THEM AND KNOW HOW TO BET
Views:
9,603
Posted By
elhelmete
Can you please interpret the above? Assume I'm...
Can you please interpret the above?
Assume I'm stupid and really lay it out plainly.
Thanks in advance.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
03-11-2022, 11:46 AM
Replies:
152
BETTING FAVORITES. KNOW WHEN TO HOLD THEM KNOW WHEN TO FOLD THEM AND KNOW HOW TO BET
Views:
9,603
Posted By
elhelmete
Just want to confirm that all of this data was...
Just want to confirm that all of this data was taken after the races, when pool sizes were 100% known?
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
03-05-2022, 09:38 AM
Replies:
18
rain forecast for Friday and Saturday at Santa Anita
Views:
1,601
Posted By
elhelmete
I'm not far from Arcadia, not sure it rained...
I'm not far from Arcadia, not sure it rained much, if at all.
One thunderstorm episode Thursday night then literally a 10 minute sprinkle episode Friday noon. Didn't even wet the pavement.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
02-05-2022, 09:43 AM
Replies:
58
he made millions betting racing
Views:
6,650
Posted By
elhelmete
What does this even mean?
What does this even mean?
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
01-19-2022, 11:41 AM
Replies:
50
One Mile dirt races returning at Saratoga
Views:
3,155
Posted By
elhelmete
A bunch of my memorable scores have come via some...
A bunch of my memorable scores have come via some notable change in track configuration. Like avoiding chronic underlays going/coming from turf sprints at DMR and HOL to/from the 6.5F downhill course...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
01-12-2022, 02:00 PM
Replies:
22
Horse To Watch (by request)
Views:
2,559
Posted By
elhelmete
yeah, I love betting against these chronic...
yeah, I love betting against these chronic seconditis horses. or using only underneath.
I mean when a horse shows consistently excellent form--second place form--believe it!
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
01-05-2022, 12:11 PM
Replies:
62
Poll:
Break up the Triple Crown!
Views:
16,116
Posted By
elhelmete
WGAS?
WGAS?
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
12-27-2021, 03:36 PM
Replies:
38
several storms forecasted- will Santa Anita open on time?
Views:
3,516
Posted By
elhelmete
Wednesday is supposed to be NASTY, we're tracking...
Wednesday is supposed to be NASTY, we're tracking it here at work (for purposes other than racing, of course).
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
12-23-2021, 01:39 PM
Replies:
38
several storms forecasted- will Santa Anita open on time?
Views:
3,516
Posted By
elhelmete
Raining pretty steady about 25 miles west of...
Raining pretty steady about 25 miles west of Arcadia.
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
12-20-2021, 10:12 PM
Replies:
78
Must read HRN: Gamblers say stop the cheating and lower the takeout or else
Views:
6,152
Posted By
elhelmete
"Hold my beer" -Dahoss
"Hold my beer"
-Dahoss
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
11-21-2021, 01:26 PM
Replies:
32
WHAT AN EASY GAME
Views:
5,147
Posted By
elhelmete
ok :rolleyes:
ok :rolleyes:
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