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Search took 0.02 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: Saratoga_Mike
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 12-02-2020, 11:06 AM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
The dollar has declined 5.4% YTD and 6.6% over...

The dollar has declined 5.4% YTD and 6.6% over the past 6 months, as measured by the DXY, so I'm not sure what you're talking about.
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 07-31-2020, 11:50 AM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
A few days ago, Bloomberg reported that TLRD,...

A few days ago, Bloomberg reported that TLRD, Men's Wearhouse's parent, is very close to filing for bankruptcy. The July 22 debt trades at 2 (par is 100).
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 05-27-2020, 08:17 AM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
Sorry, I misread your question, too. I'm...

Sorry, I misread your question, too.

I'm surprised this issue - paid more to stay at home than work - hasn't gotten more press. As businesses open back up and call workers back, I suspect it...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 05-26-2020, 03:38 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
You're probably like me saying, why the hell...

You're probably like me saying, why the hell aren't people saving their money? That's the paradox of thrift, meaning during a recession people typically save more, which results in lower aggregate...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 05-26-2020, 02:50 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
Total hindsight call, I admit, but the...

Total hindsight call, I admit, but the overwhelming monetary and fiscal stimulus worked/are working. RVs are selling. Boats are selling. $20k ATVs are selling. Furniture is selling. And the...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 05-14-2020, 05:02 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
Shaky early, but good call

Shaky early, but good call
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 05-14-2020, 05:01 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
New York Stock Exchange to re-open floor on May...

New York Stock Exchange to re-open floor on May 26, according to op-ed from Stacey Cunningham in WSJ
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 04-15-2020, 08:15 AM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
Completely agree. But what do Street estimates...

Completely agree. But what do Street estimates reflect? By 4Q20, the consensus has S&P 500 earnings just a smidge light of flat y/y. Barring hyperinflation, that's delusional, imo.
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 04-10-2020, 07:16 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
The market ripped on Friday (4/9) b/c of the...

The market ripped on Friday (4/9) b/c of the Fed's announcements (Main Street Lending Facility details; plans to buy junk debt--outrageous; and plans to purchase munis). Take a look at HYG and JNK...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 04-07-2020, 04:17 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
Nope (outside of a news story about Hong Kong and...

Nope (outside of a news story about Hong Kong and Macau), but short covering seemed to run its course as the day lingered on
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 04-07-2020, 04:00 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
If this was a trading call (I assume it was),...

If this was a trading call (I assume it was), great call.
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 04-02-2020, 08:54 AM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
First-time weekly jobless claims totaled 6.7 mm...

First-time weekly jobless claims totaled 6.7 mm today, on top of the 3.3 mm from last week. Using those numbers and the most recent data, the unemployment rate is now around 10%.* Unfortunately,...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 04-01-2020, 06:33 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
I really hope we're wrong, but I don't think we...

I really hope we're wrong, but I don't think we are
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 04-01-2020, 06:21 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
There are roughly 12.5 million restaurant jobs...

There are roughly 12.5 million restaurant jobs and a little over 15 million retail jobs. As of today, I'd bet 15 mm to 20 mm of those jobs are gone. And, as you know, it extends well beyond...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 03-20-2020, 04:55 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
Big option expiration day - gamma-squaring,...

Big option expiration day - gamma-squaring, according to Nomura.
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 03-19-2020, 03:58 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
Good point - looks like about 23% of Italians...

Good point - looks like about 23% of Italians smoke vs 14% of Americans. The American number for those over 65 is about 8%. I couldn't find the comparable number for Italy, but I'd guess it's much...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 03-16-2020, 08:12 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
Reagan. I'm not sure what that has to do with a...

Reagan. I'm not sure what that has to do with a larger historical dataset.
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 03-16-2020, 07:42 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
The market has done well under Dem presidents...

The market has done well under Dem presidents over time - please see link.
...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 03-16-2020, 03:08 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
What about dollar volume?

What about dollar volume?
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 03-16-2020, 01:51 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
I hope he exited PENN from his $21/22 entry...

I hope he exited PENN from his $21/22 entry point.....

PENN Penn Natl Gaming announced today that Hollywood Casino at Penn National Race Course and The Meadows Casino Racetrack Hotel have received...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 03-12-2020, 01:16 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
I think the market expects more --- announcement...

I think the market expects more --- announcement is just expanding its repo program (provides very short-term collateralized liquidity).
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 03-12-2020, 01:10 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
Fed announced a huge new repo program.

Fed announced a huge new repo program.
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 03-10-2020, 02:44 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
Now that was actually funny.

Now that was actually funny.
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 03-10-2020, 12:11 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
Last response to you. Construct a portfolio,...

Last response to you. Construct a portfolio, generate a lot of alpha thru stock selection, then hedge out systematic risk with index options. I hope you eventually find the respect you're looking...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 03-10-2020, 12:00 PM
Replies: 4,692
Views: 648,609
Posted By Saratoga_Mike
Yeah, your post "Who else is short RCL ?" clearly...

Yeah, your post "Who else is short RCL ?" clearly predicted the move. Enough, you're act isn't even funny anymore.
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