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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-04-2008, 09:32 PM

Replies: 23

Theoretical Win Wagering Strategy Question

Views: 5,068

Posted By Cratos

That is correct, but he is selecting contenders...

That is correct, but he is selecting contenders at 3/X which says the larger the field, the harder it is to select contenders which is typically true in horseracing. Also a small field is virtually...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-04-2008, 08:42 PM

Replies: 23

Theoretical Win Wagering Strategy Question

Views: 5,068

Posted By Cratos

As I understand the problem, it is not a 80% hit...

As I understand the problem, it is not a 80% hit rate of a given race, it is a 80% hit rate of a subset of a given race and the probability of that subset having a contender is 3/X where “X” is the...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-04-2008, 04:57 PM

Replies: 23

Theoretical Win Wagering Strategy Question

Views: 5,068

Posted By Cratos

I believe the way to view your problem would be...

I believe the way to view your problem would be to understand that your probability of randomly picking a contender from a large group will be 3/X. Therefore a group the size of the KY Derby field...

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