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Posts Made By:
classhandicapper
Forum:
Off Topic - General
04-22-2024, 08:23 AM
Replies:
2
The Rogan / Carlson sit down finally happens
Views:
179
Posted By
classhandicapper
I listened to about an hour of this so far. I'm...
I listened to about an hour of this so far. I'm enjoying it, but I was a bit surprised by some of what Carlson is saying about UFOs/aliens/spiritual creatures etc.. .
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-21-2024, 09:09 AM
Replies:
41
Derby Race Shape
Views:
2,826
Posted By
classhandicapper
His first start was on an off track that imo...
His first start was on an off track that imo favored speed enough to think it could carry a good fast horse to a very good final time.
In the Florida Derby he was comfortably loose on the lead...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-20-2024, 09:56 AM
Replies:
41
Derby Race Shape
Views:
2,826
Posted By
classhandicapper
I think you missed my major point. Others...
I think you missed my major point.
Others may disagree, but i have reason to believe his 3 wins weren't as good as they look due to favorable conditions and his 2 losses are not as bad at they...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-20-2024, 09:42 AM
Replies:
76
Full 2023 Dataset available at no charge
Views:
6,161
Posted By
classhandicapper
I import the data into an Access database (along...
I import the data into an Access database (along with chart information). You can do whatever you want with it from there. I mostly use it to build metrics I use for my handicapping and to test them...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-19-2024, 11:05 AM
Replies:
76
Full 2023 Dataset available at no charge
Views:
6,161
Posted By
classhandicapper
DRF Formulator has files you can download pre...
DRF Formulator has files you can download pre race.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-19-2024, 09:18 AM
Replies:
43
beyond complexity ?
Views:
2,445
Posted By
classhandicapper
I leave the odds analysis separate from the flow...
I leave the odds analysis separate from the flow metrics.
The public will adjust the odds based on the expected flow. So maybe those 8-1 or 10-1 or even 15-1 speed horses that didn't last on...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-18-2024, 09:33 AM
Replies:
41
Derby Race Shape
Views:
2,826
Posted By
classhandicapper
I hate horses like Fierceness. I don't know...
I hate horses like Fierceness.
I don't know how good he is.
I have reason to believe all 3 of his wins were not quite as good as they look but his 2 losses were clearly not as bad as they...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
04-18-2024, 09:27 AM
Replies:
64
Pimlico rebuild becomes reality
Views:
4,607
Posted By
classhandicapper
Ultimately you have to make a choice. Do...
Ultimately you have to make a choice.
Do you want draw bigger crowds for marquee races but risk the purse money going to NY or other out of town trainers or do you want 2nd tier racing?
...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-17-2024, 05:09 PM
Replies:
43
beyond complexity ?
Views:
2,445
Posted By
classhandicapper
Jeff, I think what you are suggesting is...
Jeff,
I think what you are suggesting is similar to what I am suggesting.
It almost has to start out subjective.
Again, I started with an analysis of the thousands of charts to find...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-17-2024, 03:24 PM
Replies:
43
beyond complexity ?
Views:
2,445
Posted By
classhandicapper
If you looking to refine it past the more...
If you looking to refine it past the more generalized favored the front or favored the back, I don't think that's much of an issue from analyzing the chart. It would just involve looking at middle...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-17-2024, 02:11 PM
Replies:
43
beyond complexity ?
Views:
2,445
Posted By
classhandicapper
I suddenly understand what you are asking for. ...
I suddenly understand what you are asking for.
I am doing exactly what you are asking.
The first step is to analyze the chart systematically. You can apparently already do that. :ThmbUp:
...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-16-2024, 06:12 PM
Replies:
43
beyond complexity ?
Views:
2,445
Posted By
classhandicapper
Got it. You also need some objective...
Got it.
You also need some objective measurement of the strength of the field to go along with it. You can either look fractions and final time or the quality of the horses in the race...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-16-2024, 02:00 PM
Replies:
43
beyond complexity ?
Views:
2,445
Posted By
classhandicapper
I'd say horses are more lkely to run back to...
I'd say horses are more lkely to run back to their typically preferred running styles and positions than their prior fractions. The fractions vary depending on the makeup of the field and how many...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
04-15-2024, 04:32 PM
Replies:
64
Pimlico rebuild becomes reality
Views:
4,607
Posted By
classhandicapper
I hear what you are saying, but for me it's the...
I hear what you are saying, but for me it's the opposite. I live near Belmont. The main reason I go to the Haskell is because I can stay on the Jersey shore and have a great long weekend of food and...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
04-15-2024, 04:24 PM
Replies:
64
Pimlico rebuild becomes reality
Views:
4,607
Posted By
classhandicapper
Absolutely I had a great time in town when I...
Absolutely
I had a great time in town when I went to Oaklawn.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-15-2024, 04:23 PM
Replies:
11
Pride Of Jenni - wow!
Views:
1,005
Posted By
classhandicapper
That was my visual impression also. I know less...
That was my visual impression also. I know less than nothing about what the typical fractions are there relative to that final time, how the track was playing, or what the other horses are capable...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
04-15-2024, 08:01 AM
Replies:
64
Pimlico rebuild becomes reality
Views:
4,607
Posted By
classhandicapper
I didn't know much of that early story. ...
I didn't know much of that early story.
I've been saying for a long time that imo the best formula for success going forward will be the tracks that can combine quality racing with it being a...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-15-2024, 07:40 AM
Replies:
11
Pride Of Jenni - wow!
Views:
1,005
Posted By
classhandicapper
:ThmbUp: They were probably operating under...
:ThmbUp:
They were probably operating under the assumption she would tire and come back to the pack. It's odd that they would go slower than usual though. Most of the time, you just want the horse...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-14-2024, 11:20 AM
Replies:
8
Sierra Leone
Views:
742
Posted By
classhandicapper
I think he's been in some of the better quality...
I think he's been in some of the better quality preps (which may not be saying a lot). He's been such a deep closer, I'd be more concerned about his early position in a large field and the pace than...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
04-14-2024, 09:24 AM
Replies:
64
Pimlico rebuild becomes reality
Views:
4,607
Posted By
classhandicapper
I know we are all racing fans, but I'm having a...
I know we are all racing fans, but I'm having a tough time figuring out why 100s of millions of dollars are being spent on new facilities for an industry that's dying in the US despite 100s of...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
04-13-2024, 10:36 AM
Replies:
3
Some Friday Morning Musings
Views:
600
Posted By
classhandicapper
There's a noticeable shift of quality in progress...
There's a noticeable shift of quality in progress from everywhere else to Kentucky, FG and OP with Saratoga being the one major obvious exception and we'll see what happens in CA at DMR longer term. ...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-12-2024, 09:11 AM
Replies:
6
Just a Touch, This Year's Mage?
Views:
576
Posted By
classhandicapper
Just a Touch ran an interesting race in the...
Just a Touch ran an interesting race in the Bluegrass. He stalked a very fast pace and held well. One could argue he was best that day on a pace adjusted basis. But if you look at all the horses...
Forum:
Off Topic - General
04-11-2024, 06:42 PM
Replies:
64
polls say things breaking Biden's way
Views:
2,025
Posted By
classhandicapper
I have no idea what he's going to get, but I'd...
I have no idea what he's going to get, but I'd bet almost anything he gets more black and Hispanic votes % wise this time than last time or the time before that.
What I have less confidence in...
Forum:
Off Topic - General
04-11-2024, 06:36 PM
Replies:
858
Yep….take that vax
Views:
83,172
Posted By
classhandicapper
Very sorry to hear about that.
Very sorry to hear about that.
Forum:
Off Topic - General
04-11-2024, 06:33 PM
Replies:
858
Yep….take that vax
Views:
83,172
Posted By
classhandicapper
CDC says study indicates Covid Vaccines do NOT...
CDC says study indicates Covid Vaccines do NOT cause sudden death from cardiac issues
...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500
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