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Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: cj
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-13-2018, 12:09 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
Andy says it a lot on Twitter..."they knew"...and...

Andy says it a lot on Twitter..."they knew"...and more often than not "they knew" that one of the contenders wasn't going to run well. Is that handicapping or inside info? Because often times there...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-10-2018, 02:20 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
The number of winners that drop in odds after the...

The number of winners that drop in odds after the bell far outnumbers the amount that go up in price. I'm sure you could track this for a week and see for yourself if you think it isn't true.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-09-2018, 03:30 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
How much they can bet without losing an edge...

How much they can bet without losing an edge including rebate.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-09-2018, 11:40 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
It is pretty easy to cancel a wager on xpressbet,...

It is pretty easy to cancel a wager on xpressbet, I could do it in five seconds.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-09-2018, 11:39 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
Somewhat. But currently the odds at 0 mtp mean...

Somewhat. But currently the odds at 0 mtp mean very little, so what would the harm be?
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-09-2018, 10:57 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
How would you feel about no odds being shown (or...

How would you feel about no odds being shown (or pools) at any point until the gate opens? That might level the playing field.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-09-2018, 08:55 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
We all know this by now. It doesn't do the vast...

We all know this by now. It doesn't do the vast majority of us any good since we're not in New Jersey.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-07-2018, 06:52 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
Like I said, this horse didn't go up, he went...

Like I said, this horse didn't go up, he went down.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-07-2018, 04:26 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
Other way around? He paid 17.60 (7-1)

Other way around? He paid 17.60 (7-1)
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-01-2018, 12:10 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
That is the problem with comparative...

That is the problem with comparative handicapping. Clearly we didn't see the same Runaway Ghost last weekend but a much improved version. Reride beating the old version meant nothing today.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-28-2018, 08:23 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
Given the trip he had didn't he look more like a...

Given the trip he had didn't he look more like a 1-2 shot after the fact?
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-27-2018, 02:59 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
I still don't think anyone thinks the horse was...

I still don't think anyone thinks the horse was that much of a head scratcher from a "winning the race" perspective.

But this, to my eye, looked like a recent 5k claim from Navarro that looked...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-27-2018, 11:12 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
I hear you, sometimes stuff works of course. But...

I hear you, sometimes stuff works of course. But this was far more than that in my opinion given the trip the horse had. I think it is suspect. We'll find out in May I guess.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-27-2018, 10:37 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
Hmmm... ...

Hmmm...

https://twitter.com/o_crunk/status/978389911391866881
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-27-2018, 01:09 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
The playing field is going to have to be leveled....

The playing field is going to have to be leveled. If you are betting Gulfstream, you're probably playing into at least a 25% takeout in the straight pools and even more on other bets. The deck is...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-27-2018, 12:50 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
It is already happening. Where do people think...

It is already happening. Where do people think the "Gulfstream is up 14%" is coming from? It sure isn't guys hanging out in OTBs or playing with a few hundred bucks in an ADW account.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-27-2018, 12:32 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
I would too until the last 5 years. Right now not...

I would too until the last 5 years. Right now not so much.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-26-2018, 11:58 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
You don't think it would help smaller players?...

You don't think it would help smaller players? Yes, vast majority probably still lose, but right now those betting the big money late have a huge advantage and are getting a better price on their...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-26-2018, 11:45 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
If I bet every piece of positive sounding trainer...

If I bet every piece of positive sounding trainer info I read I'd be broke.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-26-2018, 03:18 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
Even if many here agree the horse was a...

Even if many here agree the horse was a contender, and even if you think 7-2 makes sense, the horse won like a 2-5 shot. I was at the Thunder game (ugh) and heard which horse won. I was mildly...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-26-2018, 02:23 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
The most puzzling part for me about Runaway Ghost...

The most puzzling part for me about Runaway Ghost is how he suddenly found the ability to rate off the pace and finish. Anybody that handicapped that is a freaking genius.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-26-2018, 10:26 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
Yep, if you aren't going to change the current...

Yep, if you aren't going to change the current system, the sport is going to have to go to an exchange wagering format. The current way of doing things is unsustainable in my opinion. It looks...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-26-2018, 08:48 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
The biggest money comes in very late, and it is...

The biggest money comes in very late, and it is also the smartest money. This has been going on for quite a while now.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-23-2018, 02:40 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
It was Ed DeRosa, the tweet was part of my post....

It was Ed DeRosa, the tweet was part of my post. Showed the win and exacta pools.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-23-2018, 12:45 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,901
Posted By cj
The sport won't survive if the majority of money...

The sport won't survive if the majority of money is coming in so late that nobody really knows what the odds will be. How can you seriously participate in a gambling game having no idea what your...
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