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Posts Made By:
speculus
Forum:
Off Topic - General
05-11-2021, 10:08 PM
Replies:
9
Bombs away Bob
Views:
613
Posted By
speculus
Get well soon
Get well soon, Bob.
Please take regular physiotherapy exercises VERY seriously when at home.
Take Care.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
08-01-2019, 01:26 PM
Replies:
6
*Genuine triers/contenders per race at a racetrack*
Views:
1,920
Posted By
speculus
Are you perhaps confusing avg # of *genuine...
Are you perhaps confusing avg # of *genuine triers* with avg # of *runners* (as in avg field size)?
This formula does not predict % of winning favs at a racetrack if you know the avg field size....
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
08-01-2019, 04:19 AM
Replies:
31
20 Years and nobody noticed...lol
Views:
3,307
Posted By
speculus
Congratulations Mike. Great going. :ThmbUp:
Congratulations Mike. Great going. :ThmbUp:
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
08-01-2019, 03:31 AM
Replies:
71
Writing on pps
Views:
8,739
Posted By
speculus
It helps in handicapping at-a-glance
Though I now only use computer and my homemade software to handicap the regular tracks that I play, sometimes--especially when in Hong Kong--I like to mark my researched handicapping patterns on the...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
08-01-2019, 01:57 AM
Replies:
6
*Genuine triers/contenders per race at a racetrack*
Views:
1,920
Posted By
speculus
CORRECTION (slip of key:p) N = {(1 / %F)...
CORRECTION (slip of key:p)
N = {(1 / %F) + (1 - %F)}
Error sincerely regretted.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
08-01-2019, 12:31 AM
Replies:
247
Meadow calls Sartin con man
Views:
49,793
Posted By
speculus
Now THAT's the seventh veil of handicapping!
Now THAT's the seventh veil of handicapping!
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
08-01-2019, 12:09 AM
Replies:
6
*Genuine triers/contenders per race at a racetrack*
Views:
1,920
Posted By
speculus
*Genuine triers/contenders per race at a racetrack*
There could be a small number of handicappers on this board who may be interested in knowing, beforehand, how competitive a particular racetrack is in terms of *average number of genuine triers per...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-24-2017, 11:43 AM
Replies:
108
Trip Handicapping - Watch List
Views:
17,358
Posted By
speculus
Posting this in the hope that some of you may...
Posting this in the hope that some of you may find it useful, though this exercise was conducted in India where the racing is conducted only on the turf.
About five years ago, I had conducted a...
Forum:
Off Topic - General
04-18-2017, 11:02 AM
Replies:
61
Ways to save money
Views:
4,183
Posted By
speculus
NOT exactly a very good advice in every case. ...
NOT exactly a very good advice in every case.
If the person is a habitual or compulsive spender, then this can have serious consequences. Credit card companies are generally known to increase...
Forum:
Off Topic - General
03-23-2017, 01:30 AM
Replies:
195
cj's Dad, CurtisontheBay, in the hospital
Views:
13,980
Posted By
speculus
Sorry to hear about your dad, CJ. May the...
Sorry to hear about your dad, CJ. May the departed soul rest in eternal peace. May God and His angels be with you and your family as you go through these tough moments.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
03-20-2017, 03:36 AM
Replies:
44
Poll:
Calculating ROI
Views:
12,224
Posted By
speculus
Like "class" in a horse and "creativity" in...
Like "class" in a horse and "creativity" in advertising, the "ROI" is the most misunderstood concept when it comes to calculating horse racing profits.
And the trouble is it has almost become a...
Forum:
Off Topic - General
10-24-2016, 01:23 AM
Replies:
38
Help me understand alcoholism
Views:
2,120
Posted By
speculus
Two of my friends who we all thought were...
Two of my friends who we all thought were incorrigible, hopeless cases actually had miraculous recovery. One of them used Alan Carr's book Easy Way to quit alcohol, and the other started doing yoga...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
10-03-2016, 10:17 AM
Replies:
98
Trips handicapping service...
Views:
11,333
Posted By
speculus
Thanks, Pandy. The pp's have...
Thanks, Pandy.
The pp's have fractional times for each race for every furlong (check out http://bolrace.com/previous/display.aspx ), but I sometimes need the timings for "different" points...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
10-03-2016, 09:41 AM
Replies:
98
Trips handicapping service...
Views:
11,333
Posted By
speculus
Yes, strike rate means Win Percentage. ...
Yes, strike rate means Win Percentage.
More than 95 percent of my bets are on the nose of the horse: only WIN.
The balance 5 percent may be SHOW bets (what you call SHOW here, we call ...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
10-03-2016, 09:23 AM
Replies:
98
Trips handicapping service...
Views:
11,333
Posted By
speculus
I would beg to differ. I think there are...
I would beg to differ.
I think there are just too many excellent handicappers on this forum--some of them mighty gifted--I can say that with confidence because I have read their stuff and...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
10-03-2016, 08:54 AM
Replies:
98
Trips handicapping service...
Views:
11,333
Posted By
speculus
Thanks. :) I think I am blessed with a very...
Thanks. :)
I think I am blessed with a very good TEAM. They look after almost everything else so that I can focus exclusively on handicapping research.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
10-03-2016, 08:51 AM
Replies:
98
Trips handicapping service...
Views:
11,333
Posted By
speculus
I think the following points stand out when...
I think the following points stand out when contrasting your racing with ours:
1. The most important difference is ALL our racetracks are TURF racetracks. There are only 9 racetracks in India....
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
10-03-2016, 02:26 AM
Replies:
98
Trips handicapping service...
Views:
11,333
Posted By
speculus
Not really. I charge equivalent of US $1,000...
Not really.
I charge equivalent of US $1,000 for three months (for one racetrack), only to give them a chance to replicate by betting on their own scale, and I maintain a rather long wait...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
09-20-2016, 10:18 PM
Replies:
215
The Effect of Pace on Final Time
Views:
10,586
Posted By
speculus
Nor did I.:)
Nor did I.:)
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
09-20-2016, 09:46 PM
Replies:
215
The Effect of Pace on Final Time
Views:
10,586
Posted By
speculus
You are right about the exponential part
But what most pace handicappers fail to understand (and waste years of their handicapping lives, I did that too:bang:) ) is that it is easy to get lost into the labyrinth of pace mechanics if you...
Forum:
Off Topic - General
08-14-2015, 10:32 PM
Replies:
56
Jimmy Carter Has Cancer
Views:
4,481
Posted By
speculus
Dear Robert, No, I am not offended. ...
Dear Robert,
No, I am not offended.
I know where you are coming from, and I can understand.
I also knew that some people would find these opinions shocking (or "nutty" as...
Forum:
Off Topic - General
08-13-2015, 03:12 AM
Replies:
56
Jimmy Carter Has Cancer
Views:
4,481
Posted By
speculus
This is a touchy topic for me as I have lost both...
This is a touchy topic for me as I have lost both my parents to cancer.
But in the hope that what I write below may help some in the future, I share my thoughts (theories?) here:
A day will...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
08-13-2015, 12:57 AM
Replies:
336
Whales a myth?
Views:
27,734
Posted By
speculus
Ok. Let me first state that I have not read the...
Ok. Let me first state that I have not read the entire thread, so forgive me if this info is meaningless in the context of this debate. But here is how things work in my country, India:
There...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
08-03-2015, 09:38 PM
Replies:
56
Drug Free Racing Is Only Hope
Views:
3,343
Posted By
speculus
The ONLY solution? Mark my signature. It has...
The ONLY solution?
Mark my signature. It has not changed since the day I joined this board.
-speculus
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-29-2015, 12:38 AM
Replies:
328
Newcomer to Handicapping
Views:
29,865
Posted By
speculus
Going by your posts in this therad, you seem to...
Going by your posts in this therad, you seem to be in the "Socratic" mode of philosophical inquiry which the ancient wise man always started by asking to "define terms". :)
I am in a mood to...
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