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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-14-2018, 06:57 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 9,440
Posted By bobphilo
So what is this different perspective? We heard...

So what is this different perspective? We heard about what you don't like. What method do you use instead?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-08-2018, 08:29 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 9,440
Posted By bobphilo
This is a problem with identifying alleged smart...

This is a problem with identifying alleged smart money. As soon as the public recognizes their betting pattern they change it. Just like the armed forces in the war changed their code as soon as the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-08-2018, 02:12 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 9,440
Posted By bobphilo
That's true. I agree these betting coups are more...

That's true. I agree these betting coups are more likely to be perpetrated in lower class races. I think this effect of late money was first widely seen in a high class race which was more widely...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-08-2018, 02:02 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 9,440
Posted By bobphilo
There is still plenty enough stupidity to go...

There is still plenty enough stupidity to go around to be a factor in race betting. There is still plenty of dumb late money.
I any case, we're not talking about huge overlays. This method is...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-08-2018, 01:32 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 9,440
Posted By bobphilo
True, the only way to know very late money is...

True, the only way to know very late money is predicting it, but I'm not so sure that this late money is always so smart just because what we have seen appears to be true in a few high profile races....
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-08-2018, 08:16 AM
Replies: 69
Views: 9,440
Posted By bobphilo
You make a good point. This method first assumes...

You make a good point. This method first assumes that late money is smart money. It then adds a further degree of uncertainty by trying to predict what this alleged smart money will be. At best it is...
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