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Search: Posts Made By: Seabiscuit@AR
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-15-2021, 07:07 AM
Replies: 10,251
Views: 1,438,252
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
The Spanish flu second wave was more lethal than...

The Spanish flu second wave was more lethal than the first wave. So that is one virus that did mutate to become more lethal

https://www.history.com/news/spanish-flu-second-wave-resurgence
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-20-2020, 11:34 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 3,395
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
It is impossible for big syndicates to get their...

It is impossible for big syndicates to get their bets on at the right time and the right price all the time. So they are happy to get their bets on at the right time and the right price most of the...
Forum: Off Topic - General 05-16-2020, 03:22 AM
Replies: 114
Views: 14,604
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
Asian countries are the big mask wearing...

Asian countries are the big mask wearing countries. Their official death rates per million people are about 100 times lower than several developed Western countries

South Korea make 10 million...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-21-2019, 08:41 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 1,450
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
well that is a surprise as Betfair offered HK...

well that is a surprise as Betfair offered HK years ago but stopped and their stance has always been to wait till they get official approval. So I assumed they had official approval

Without...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-21-2019, 04:48 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 1,450
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
HKJC starting fixed odds betting via Betfair

It was recently reported that Hong Kong tote turnover fell late last season. Looks like the HKJC has decided that the rebated tote model no longer has any growth left in it so they have decided to...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-12-2019, 10:05 AM
Replies: 89
Views: 12,210
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
They need to solve the kickback issue with the...

They need to solve the kickback issue with the synthetic tracks. The amount of kickback on synthetic tracks in Australia in recent times has been truly terrible. Horses are even being scratched due...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-16-2019, 04:16 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,780
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
highnote You cannot make apples to apples...

highnote

You cannot make apples to apples comparisons with the commingled pools as HK keep adding new countries each year. So if you commingle with 3 countries one year and 5 countries the next...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-15-2019, 01:22 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,780
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
Hong Kong Turnover Falls

Hong Kong betting turnover has fallen in the last few months. Had to happen one day. International commingling of pools has kept the turnover going up the last few years but they have run out of...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-09-2019, 03:24 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 2,629
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
Winx's jockey Hugh Bowman has said in the last 24...

Winx's jockey Hugh Bowman has said in the last 24 hours that Winx is racing as well as ever and could race on. I agree with him. Winx is still racing very close to her best. She could win overseas...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-10-2019, 03:31 AM
Replies: 62
Views: 7,875
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
People will bet if they think they can win. If...

People will bet if they think they can win. If they can't win they won't bet

The problem with running a rebated tote is that it makes it relatively easy for the entrenched big syndicates to win...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-26-2019, 04:42 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 1,667
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
Australia used to have 5 track condition ratings...

Australia used to have 5 track condition ratings (Fast, Good, Dead, Slow Heavy) although in reality it was only 4 as Fast was almost never used. A few years back they switched to the 1 to 10...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-16-2019, 06:09 AM
Replies: 95
Views: 15,056
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
In some cases the big whales don't need to have a...

In some cases the big whales don't need to have a good relationship with an ADW. This is because the whale owns the ADW they bet with. So the whale is the ADW. You can get some very big rebates...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-20-2018, 11:20 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 3,177
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
No it is not a losing lay bet if the horse has...

No it is not a losing lay bet if the horse has the lead during the race

Results with in the run betting are determined normally = winner is first horse to hit the finish line
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-16-2018, 02:11 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 3,177
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
Betfair has 2 separate markets on the race (3...

Betfair has 2 separate markets on the race (3 markets even if you count Betfair SP)

The main betting market is the pre race market which closes when the race starts. Then Betfair open a second...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-23-2018, 11:35 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 4,355
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
Winx is absolutely top class. She is a class...

Winx is absolutely top class. She is a class above other good horses. And she has shown she can reliably produce really high rating runs when it counts. She has already done enough to join the...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-15-2018, 12:51 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 3,219
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
I have never understood how they can make much...

I have never understood how they can make much profit in a pool of 4K or 5K. But they still do form on these races and bet into them. Maybe the small tracks offer them some super rebate deal on...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-14-2018, 11:49 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 3,219
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
One clarification from this report. The whales...

One clarification from this report. The whales are not just looking to bet at the biggest tracks. The whales want to bet in the biggest pools they can find. They want the Kentucky Derby pools to...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-27-2018, 01:01 AM
Replies: 299
Views: 41,823
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
Good question Thaskalos re why do the biggest...

Good question Thaskalos re why do the biggest whale syndicates pay the crazy cost for the best and fastest tote updates

The answer is obvious. It is a big advantage to have last crack at the tote...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-25-2018, 03:44 AM
Replies: 299
Views: 41,823
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
The link below is an article written in 2012 so 6...

The link below is an article written in 2012 so 6 years old and the info might be out of date. In this article RGS state that their rebate players lose -6% before rebates
...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-13-2018, 10:49 PM
Replies: 158
Views: 24,761
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
The current strategy being employed by syndicates...

The current strategy being employed by syndicates and big betting insiders is clearly one of waiting till the last second

The idea of putting a big bet on early to put other players off is so...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-12-2018, 10:00 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 6,086
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
You don't want jockeys betting even on themselves...

You don't want jockeys betting even on themselves to win

The problem is a group of jockeys could reach an understanding that they will help each other's bet win. So 4 jockeys might agree to help...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 07-08-2018, 02:10 AM
Replies: 127
Views: 14,742
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
Betting handle is up over 5% comparing early 2018...

Betting handle is up over 5% comparing early 2018 vs early 2017. So somebody is liking the new world order with the late odds changes. Given these figures I cannot see any changes to the rules...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-21-2018, 01:09 AM
Replies: 182
Views: 40,901
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
Trainers is one aspect that Hong Kong do right. ...

Trainers is one aspect that Hong Kong do right. In Hong Kong each trainer is limited to 60 runners in their stable at a time. A limit on runners per trainer is an easy rule to implement and enforce...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-01-2018, 08:47 AM
Replies: 85
Views: 9,840
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
I don't agree with the example provided by...

I don't agree with the example provided by Prioress Ply where it is said this is normal business practice where if you buy 1 light bulb you will pay a higher price per light bulb than a person who...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-29-2018, 03:01 AM
Replies: 62
Views: 9,042
Posted By Seabiscuit@AR
JerryBoyle The main reason that whales are...

JerryBoyle

The main reason that whales are better at assessing a horse's chances is because of the rebates

There is a direct relationship between takeout level and how much money you can...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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