Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Search Forums
Reload this Page Search Results

Home Register FAQDonate Roster Calendar Forum Today's Posts

Page 1 of 5 1 23 Last »
Showing results 1 to 25 of 101
Search took 0.02 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: romankoz
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-21-2023, 08:26 AM
Replies: 50
Views: 7,525
Posted By romankoz
One: list the horses at 4/1 or less in races...

One: list the horses at 4/1 or less in races where the class of race is good (subjective but experience sorts this out quite quickly most times)
Two: delete the get back early types unless they are...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-20-2023, 09:32 AM
Replies: 39
Views: 3,438
Posted By romankoz
There are exceptions to every rule as Tom (the...

There are exceptions to every rule as Tom (the top poster on this forum) makes more profit bet Win/Place in a 1-3 ratio at odds of 9/2 and higher and has done this for years.

RKOZ replies: Most...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-19-2023, 08:47 AM
Replies: 39
Views: 3,438
Posted By romankoz
In Australia betting for the place is for 1st 2nd...

In Australia betting for the place is for 1st 2nd and 3rd in fields of 8 or more.

Numerous figures I have kept over the years clearly shows win only stands out. Betting 1 win 4 place or any other...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-08-2023, 09:58 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,023
Posted By romankoz
When I price my A selection I try to imagine how...

When I price my A selection I try to imagine how comfortable I would be offering a certain price if I were a bookmaker.
I also think "is this horse 50/50 to place" (In Australia that's 1st 2nd or...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-04-2023, 07:35 AM
Replies: 57
Views: 6,767
Posted By romankoz
For the astute bettor there are many examples of...

For the astute bettor there are many examples of insider information readily available by studying where trainers nominate and finally send their runners. Long distance visit costs money for most...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-01-2023, 07:16 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 3,127
Posted By romankoz
No problems Robert: I respect your opinion on my...

No problems Robert: I respect your opinion on my opinion: that's what makes the world go around!

Mathematics is both a weird and wonderful world. Although I am not a strict mathematician my...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-30-2023, 11:42 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 3,127
Posted By romankoz
All I can state is go back and re-read my early...

All I can state is go back and re-read my early postings and realise my idea of price brackets and how to create the divisor is NOT the strict due column betting that has been written about in past...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-30-2023, 12:28 AM
Replies: 38
Views: 3,127
Posted By romankoz
RKOZ: No rebates involved.

RKOZ: No rebates involved.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-29-2023, 07:59 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 3,127
Posted By romankoz
Thaskalos asks: if we can't show a profit with...

Thaskalos asks:
if we can't show a profit with flat bets...will a method of some sort of "progressive wagering" transform us from "losers'" to 'winners'?

RKoz replies:
Your statement is too...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-29-2023, 03:46 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 3,127
Posted By romankoz
RKOZ: Lefty covers your comments. The moment...

RKOZ:
Lefty covers your comments. The moment you target bet on higher priced runners you open yourself to long runs of outs so if for instance you have a range of 10/1 to 20/1 I would be using a...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-29-2023, 03:41 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 3,127
Posted By romankoz
[QUOTE=zerosky;2887020]There is a wealth of...

[QUOTE=zerosky;2887020]There is a wealth of research about 'chasing your losses' This is from just one.

"Loss-chasing describes the tendency of a gambler to amplify their betting in an effort to...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-29-2023, 03:36 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 3,127
Posted By romankoz
RKOZ: I realise your tote system has what seems...

RKOZ:
I realise your tote system has what seems like past posting/very late changes but perhaps you can get around that long term. You can use a good morning pre post assessment. What might be 3/1...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-29-2023, 03:31 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 3,127
Posted By romankoz
RKOZ: Explanation needed, please.

RKOZ: Explanation needed, please.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-29-2023, 08:16 AM
Replies: 38
Views: 3,127
Posted By romankoz
Americans call this "Due Column Betting": sorry...

Americans call this "Due Column Betting": sorry should have mentioned.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-29-2023, 08:14 AM
Replies: 38
Views: 3,127
Posted By romankoz
[QUOTE=Dave Schwartz;2886989]Can you describe...

[QUOTE=Dave Schwartz;2886989]Can you describe what you mean by "target betting?"

Hi Dave,
Trying to win $x per race where $x might be $0.10, $1 or $10 or more depending on how rich you are!
As...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 06-29-2023, 05:30 AM
Replies: 38
Views: 3,127
Posted By romankoz
Target betting is a maligned form of staking

When I tinker around with system type selections I use target betting as a way of eking out a few dollars to cover my coffee addiction.
Most bettors who have tried target betting flop because they...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-15-2023, 09:18 AM
Replies: 171
Views: 20,408
Posted By romankoz
Quote from Benter The odds set by the public...

Quote from Benter

The odds set by the public betting yield a sophisticated estimate of the horses' win probabilities
.
RKOZ replies: They always have. It is believed by many that Betfair is the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-15-2023, 09:08 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 2,720
Posted By romankoz
There are three types of favourites: true,...

There are three types of favourites: true, middling and false. There will never be a book or paper published that will show a profit of 10% on all three types as a combination.Where 10% can be made...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-15-2023, 08:43 AM
Replies: 82
Views: 8,199
Posted By romankoz
[QUOTE=thaskalos;2877468]Whether we consult speed...

[QUOTE=thaskalos;2877468]Whether we consult speed figures, pace figures, class ratings, or psychics...we are guaranteed to lose at least 70% of our bets when we are betting on a single horse to win....
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-14-2023, 08:10 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,337
Posted By romankoz
[QUOTE=classhandicapper;2876097]I prefer betting...

[QUOTE=classhandicapper;2876097]I prefer betting high quality races because I've always had better success using figures, class, pace, bias etc.. in high quality races . I think that's because in...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-13-2023, 09:14 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 610
Posted By romankoz
Thanks Dave W I would assume that the "someone"...

Thanks Dave W
I would assume that the "someone" is a respected price maker in the area. Over here sports businesses like Sportsbet, the TAB (parimutuel), Ladbrokes etc spend millions per year making...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-13-2023, 08:46 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 610
Posted By romankoz
Who sets the odds

Here in OZ we have one or two leaders who seem to set the prices for upcoming races almost as soon as the final fields are published.

Is there a US eqyuivalent?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-13-2023, 08:38 AM
Replies: 171
Views: 20,408
Posted By romankoz
REPLY I agree with Classhandicapper re "where I...

REPLY
I agree with Classhandicapper re "where I feel confident I know something about a horse that is not commonly understood". My approach to that is about deleting runs where the horse has not...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-07-2023, 08:06 AM
Replies: 171
Views: 20,408
Posted By romankoz
[QUOTE=Triopstor;2875675]There's a famous...

[QUOTE=Triopstor;2875675]There's a famous incident at a Handicapping seminar. Andy Beyer and some one else as part of a celebrity panel was asked "What is the breakdown of handicapping and money...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-07-2023, 08:00 AM
Replies: 171
Views: 20,408
Posted By romankoz
RKOZ: Absolutely THE question with some trainers.

RKOZ: Absolutely THE question with some trainers.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 101
Page 1 of 5 1 23 Last »

 
Forum Jump
» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
» View Poll Results
» Comment On This Poll
» This Poll Has 32 Replies
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:22 PM.

PaceAdvantage.com - Archive - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service - Top

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.