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Search: Posts Made By: cj
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-16-2020, 04:52 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 1,435
Posted By cj
No problem. I do think field size is a...

No problem.

I do think field size is a factor for sure. I broke this down by field size once and it played out as expected regardless of distance and surface.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-15-2020, 09:35 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 312
Posted By cj
Interesting. I'd agree with the 10 lengths the...

Interesting. I'd agree with the 10 lengths the announcer said, at least, but often times if the pace was hot a lot of that can be mitigated in my opinion. I'd wait to see how fast the pace looks on...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-15-2020, 12:25 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,053
Posted By cj
Keep in mind, the line is a tool, it is not the...

Keep in mind, the line is a tool, it is not the finish line.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-14-2020, 09:03 PM
Replies: 202
Views: 14,163
Posted By cj
Ever consider racetracks might be getting slower,...

Ever consider racetracks might be getting slower, maybe for safety reasons?

Here is one link of several available that explains why you can't just look at raw times:
...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-14-2020, 08:30 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 1,435
Posted By cj
I could, and it almost assuredly be very good....

I could, and it almost assuredly be very good. But I find this of little value. The value is in predicting which horses will be first early and seeing how they do.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-14-2020, 06:57 PM
Replies: 202
Views: 14,163
Posted By cj
He'd have run faster with Lasix, the others...

He'd have run faster with Lasix, the others slower without. It isn't that hard to grasp.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-14-2020, 04:26 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 1,435
Posted By cj
There is little doubt that the shorter the...

There is little doubt that the shorter the distance, the better speed does. Here is a chart showing how often winners led at the first call as well. Possible they maybe were headed in between but for...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-12-2020, 10:26 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 736
Posted By cj
I covered the football thing a few posts ago. ...

I covered the football thing a few posts ago.

The only issue is a lot of people don't have FS2. But as has been noted, it is available on Youtube as well.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-12-2020, 10:19 AM
Replies: 143
Views: 9,106
Posted By cj
This game is getting tougher and tougher to love....

This game is getting tougher and tougher to love. Few want to actually race horses any more.
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 10-11-2020, 11:18 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 820
Posted By cj
I said the same about OU when they had a chance...

I said the same about OU when they had a chance to win or lose it on a 2. Neither coach had the guts to try it.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-11-2020, 11:06 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 736
Posted By cj
It was because of football running long. The game...

It was because of football running long. The game that was on Fox, OU / Texas, went way over time, so the next game was moved to FS1, racing bumped to FS2. Racing is always going to play second...
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 10-10-2020, 05:21 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 820
Posted By cj
Texas is Back!

Nah, they aren't. Still funny though.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 10-08-2020, 05:56 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 1,348
Posted By cj
They should have at least kept it local and gone...

They should have at least kept it local and gone with some Kix!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UXQ9qNh3ck4
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 10-06-2020, 11:45 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 2,086
Posted By cj
The truth is stakes records are pretty...

The truth is stakes records are pretty meaningless, but especially for races like the Hollywood Derby and the Pennsylvania Derby. If there are three races where I guess they have some significance it...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-06-2020, 04:58 PM
Replies: 160
Views: 26,866
Posted By cj
https://twitter.com/HorseToWatch/status/1313546406...

https://twitter.com/HorseToWatch/status/1313546406838312961
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 10-06-2020, 04:56 PM
Replies: 64
Views: 8,588
Posted By cj
Final 2020 update: ...

Final 2020 update:

https://i.ibb.co/wwx74T5/Derby.png

https://i.ibb.co/v3ys6V0/Oaks.png

Full spreadsheet:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1V6U1u_xOnNK-xrrlql8pLpddmVHUkM7K/view?usp=sharing
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 10-06-2020, 04:34 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 2,086
Posted By cj
By five months though? That is a big deal for a...

By five months though? That is a big deal for a 3yo. If she did get the record it should have an asterisk. It is like saying a college student set the 100m record for high school.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-05-2020, 07:30 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 2,081
Posted By cj
Seems very unfair to riders.

Seems very unfair to riders.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 10-05-2020, 11:30 AM
Replies: 45
Views: 2,086
Posted By cj
I'll try to find some more time this week, but...

I'll try to find some more time this week, but keep in mind a 1:53.19 would be a 1:53 flat. That is certainly within the margin of error from video timing. Proclaiming the race Saturday as 100%...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-05-2020, 11:14 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 963
Posted By cj
This is what I thought, didn't want to call you...

This is what I thought, didn't want to call you out. :)

The split isn't that unusual I'd guess at Pimlico, and in this case it could very well be a time of day split instead of a distance split.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-05-2020, 12:59 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 963
Posted By cj
Do we really know that though? It isn't like the...

Do we really know that though? It isn't like the 1m 3/16ths speed chart is set in stone for every track. Probably the first time in a while there has even been a 9f dirt race on Preakness Day....
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 10-05-2020, 12:54 AM
Replies: 45
Views: 2,086
Posted By cj
Hand times are impossible even with a flag guy. ...

Hand times are impossible even with a flag guy.

I've timed plenty old races and they match very close to the official times when the timer wasn't in question. Give it a try some time.

No, I...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-05-2020, 12:26 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 963
Posted By cj
I used the same variant for the routes and am...

I used the same variant for the routes and am only two points higher. There were only two of them and came after a long break with two intervening turf races. All the previous races were sprints,...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-05-2020, 12:24 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 963
Posted By cj
TimeformUS Chart...

TimeformUS Chart...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 10-04-2020, 11:19 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 2,086
Posted By cj
I'm just talking about timing the race in 1973....

I'm just talking about timing the race in 1973. Comparing them doesn't mean anything to me.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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