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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

03-16-2023, 03:05 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,662

Posted By headhawg

I am wishing you much success. I am interested in...

I am wishing you much success. I am interested in seeing your results.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

03-16-2023, 01:17 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,662

Posted By headhawg

As you add more factors you get more error and...

As you add more factors you get more error and (usually) a smaller sample size. My philosophy in handicapping or creating software follows something that Einstein said: "Everything should be made as...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-12-2022, 07:29 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,662

Posted By headhawg

You brought up the example for reasons only you...

You brought up the example for reasons only you know. Clearly it is useless to discuss anything with you. You either don't read responses or can't understand them. You can't even answer a simple...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-12-2022, 06:41 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,662

Posted By headhawg

You're the dolt who posted to classhandicapper...

You're the dolt who posted to classhandicapper that using common factors will lead to the favorite. (Brilliant insight, btw :rolleyes:) So given your $97 horse example are you saying that jockey win%...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-12-2022, 08:36 AM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,662

Posted By headhawg

Don't be dumb. Are you going to tell me that...

Don't be dumb. Are you going to tell me that people don't look at jockey stats as a regular part of handicapping? Forget it. Go back to mining your "uncommon" factors. You're just another guy here...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-11-2022, 12:35 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,662

Posted By headhawg

One thing to remember about the Indexing system...

One thing to remember about the Indexing system -- the range doesn't have to be 60 to 100. Mitchell implied that 50 to 100 or 70 to 100 might be more appropriate depending on the factor. Using...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-11-2022, 12:21 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,662

Posted By headhawg

I am not arguing that there are multiple factors...

I am not arguing that there are multiple factors affecting a race; that's common sense. But what are your "uncommon" factors for a $96 FTS? The 20% jockey? Nope. Trainer stats with maidens/FTS?...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-09-2022, 03:55 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,662

Posted By headhawg

Under most circumstances, raw values do a better...

Under most circumstances, raw values do a better job than ranks.
Picking value horses comes during the betting process, not the handicapping process. Would you eliminate using speed/pace from your...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

11-02-2022, 08:11 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,662

Posted By headhawg

Not trying to be negative, but are you sure...

Not trying to be negative, but are you sure Solver is what you want to invest your time in? It doesn't seem like an appropriate analysis tool for handicapping.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

11-02-2022, 08:07 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,662

Posted By headhawg

Damn. You are more arrogant and egocentric than a...

Damn. You are more arrogant and egocentric than a former president you hate so much. I'll write this again, slowly so you can understand: Your research is u-s-e-l-e-s-s. You haven't solved anything...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

11-01-2022, 12:26 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,662

Posted By headhawg

Your truth, MikeGerogeJoe. You have no idea how...

Your truth, MikeGerogeJoe. You have no idea how good a handicapper @class is so you can't know his "intuition". Coincidentally I was thinking about this last week. Intuition is not a good word...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

10-30-2022, 04:38 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,662

Posted By headhawg

This, especially if the OP plans on doing serious...

This, especially if the OP plans on doing serious research.

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