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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

03-17-2023, 09:10 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,689

Posted By ranchwest

Generally, as you add more traditional...

Generally, as you add more traditional handicapping factors, you end up with the "best" horse, as does "everyone" else. There's too many things that can go wrong with the best horse to accept the...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

01-26-2023, 11:46 AM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,689

Posted By ranchwest

I hear ya! It took me a long time to...

I hear ya!

It took me a long time to develop a pace line selector. One of the things I did was to seek out the lines selected by experts who I respected and see what it would take to arrive at...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

01-26-2023, 02:21 AM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,689

Posted By ranchwest

Npt trying to be critical, but separating the...

Npt trying to be critical, but separating the surfaces seems critical to me. Turf and all-weather are nothing like dirt. It gets to be tricky because there's also track condition. And, of course,...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-12-2022, 08:05 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,689

Posted By ranchwest

Ha! You still haven't explained how a 20%...

Ha! You still haven't explained how a 20% jockey's mount went off at 47/1.

People do bet NAME JOCKEYS. Joel Rosario, the Ortiz brothers, etc. do draw money. Paco Lopez at certain tracks.

But...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-12-2022, 07:22 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,689

Posted By ranchwest

You clearly don't know shit. You claim something...

You clearly don't know shit. You claim something to be a major factor and yet this horse went off at 47/1. How does that happen? Was the tote board rigged?

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-12-2022, 06:24 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,689

Posted By ranchwest

So you defend jockey win percentage being a...

So you defend jockey win percentage being a common factor despite this horse having a 20% jockey and paying 47/1 ($96.00). Brilliant, just brilliant. Handicappers bet on NAME JOCKEYS.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-11-2022, 11:52 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,689

Posted By ranchwest

Yeah, 20% jockey being a common factor must be...

Yeah, 20% jockey being a common factor must be why the horse was 47/1.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-09-2022, 05:02 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,689

Posted By ranchwest

I don't want to leave out legit chalk, but I...

I don't want to leave out legit chalk, but I don't want all chalk, either.

There was a race at OP today where a 20% jockey was on a 1TS. Unfortunately I didn't have it because it paid $96 to win....

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

12-09-2022, 03:10 PM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,689

Posted By ranchwest

The more commonly used factors that you use, the...

The more commonly used factors that you use, the more likely you are going to be on the favorite. It's not a good way to pick for value.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

11-18-2022, 10:31 AM

Replies: 118

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Views: 21,689

Posted By ranchwest

Just keep in mind that as horses drop in class,...

Just keep in mind that as horses drop in class, their other ratings are sometimes somewhat irrelevant.

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