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Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: sparkywowo
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-01-2005, 06:25 PM
Replies: 57
Views: 3,124
Posted By sparkywowo
One of the ideas I like was suggested by D. Wayne...

One of the ideas I like was suggested by D. Wayne Lukas: The Breeder's Cup should alternate between Churchill Downs and Belmont Park. When the Cup is held at Churchill the Classic would be 1 1/4...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-02-2005, 03:01 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 1,308
Posted By sparkywowo
Jaleina Farrell isn't on your list, she is doing...

Jaleina Farrell isn't on your list, she is doing quite well as a 5lb apprentice at Hoosier Park at the moment. As of today, her winning percentage is over 13% and her average mutuel is ***$34***...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-30-2005, 06:30 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 1,570
Posted By sparkywowo
Calculating is easy if you do it in several...

Calculating is easy if you do it in several steps:

For example, let's say you know the win pool, the amount bet on the winner, and the take (17%).

Let's say there is 10,000 in the win pool,...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-30-2005, 06:24 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 1,570
Posted By sparkywowo
Charlestown has a 19% exacta take. If there...

Charlestown has a 19% exacta take.

If there is $22,000 in the pool, and a combination pays $32, that is 15-1.

That means we solve ($22,000*0.81 - x)/x = 15 for x, to find x = the amount of...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-29-2005, 03:08 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 2,173
Posted By sparkywowo
I started going through the online application...

I started going through the online application and thought the amount of information they wanted from me was more trouble than it was worth:

SSN
Signed Tax Form: Actual not a facsimile
Copy of...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-28-2005, 01:58 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 1,257
Posted By sparkywowo
Supers *generally* require a huge number of...

Supers *generally* require a huge number of combinations which make them impractical. I think the only way to make the investment worthwhile is to have an extremely solid opinion regarding a...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-25-2005, 04:35 PM
Replies: 64
Views: 7,227
Posted By sparkywowo
Gambling may mean simply playing a game of...

Gambling may mean simply playing a game of chance, but this definition is not accurate enough for my purposes and there is a big distinction in my mind between gambling and investing. And, although...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-25-2005, 03:11 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 2,907
Posted By sparkywowo
I still remember leaving the harness races one...

I still remember leaving the harness races one evening after the last race was won by a 50-1 shot. One guy is walking along all dejected and depressed and another guy is relentlessly berating him...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-23-2005, 12:58 AM
Replies: 150
Views: 13,108
Posted By sparkywowo
To say the numbers are off by 10 percent is...

To say the numbers are off by 10 percent is inaccurate because the Figure is not proportional to the final time. If the figure is off by 10 pts, that is typically 5 lengths. That is significant...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-22-2005, 10:06 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 1,003
Posted By sparkywowo
The horses exit the turn just past the 1/4 pole...

The horses exit the turn just past the 1/4 pole on this 7 f oval. It makes the track configuration like the old expanded Sportsman's Park in Chicago. Very tight and big banking on the turns. It is...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-22-2005, 11:48 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,513
Posted By sparkywowo
I looked at BetFair and under Help and there is...

I looked at BetFair and under Help and there is the following:

You may not open a Betfair account if you are resident in the USA, its territories or possessions. Placing bets on-line is currently...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-22-2005, 12:19 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 2,418
Posted By sparkywowo
The most popular type of binocular is probably...

The most popular type of binocular is probably something like 7x35, the 7 is the magnifying power, and the 35 means a 35 mm collecting lens (not the lens next to your eye, the bigger lens that...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-18-2005, 07:52 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,513
Posted By sparkywowo
OOPS, my bad! If PS is 10% of handle, and the...

OOPS, my bad!
If PS is 10% of handle, and the take drops from 17% to 5% the track loses 12/17*10% of its take, not 0.12*10% of its take. So it's more like 7% than 1%.... :mad: oh well, they'll...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-18-2005, 05:25 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,513
Posted By sparkywowo
Well, if the the other pools stayed the same, and...

Well, if the the other pools stayed the same, and the place and show handle went up, the track wouldn't even lose the 1%. If all the win money ended up in the place pool, then the track would lose...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-18-2005, 02:01 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,513
Posted By sparkywowo
The place and show pools are small potatoes. Why...

The place and show pools are small potatoes. Why not drop the take to 5% in those pools? The track loses 12%age points or so on less than 10% of its handle, overall less than a measly 1%. And, for...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-17-2005, 01:24 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 1,003
Posted By sparkywowo
Thanks for the reply, I was hoping to get another...

Thanks for the reply, I was hoping to get another opinion. :)

First, let me clarify that by "fig" I mean simply a horse's Beyer Speed Figure as published in the DRF. I do not mean any other...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-17-2005, 01:38 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 1,003
Posted By sparkywowo
The way I see it, if it were a speed bias the...

The way I see it, if it were a speed bias the speed would hang tough and run 1-2 and the closers wouldn't make an impact. If it were a closer bias, the back half of the field would comprise a cavalry...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-16-2005, 05:56 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 1,003
Posted By sparkywowo
Hoosier Park, Throw out the Figs, bet the speed and the closers

Hoosier Park has been running very weird, for the most part you can throw out the speed figs, they have been just about worthless so far this season.

I think, in part due to the 7 furlong...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-16-2005, 04:16 PM
Replies: 358
Views: 68,420
Posted By sparkywowo
Local idiot who pronounces Miesque as Mis-Cue...

Local idiot who pronounces Miesque as Mis-Cue rather than MEE-esk
Forum: Handicapping Library 09-14-2005, 05:23 PM
Replies: 52
Views: 7,001
Posted By sparkywowo
I wouldn't read any more books for the time...

I wouldn't read any more books for the time being, but would suggest you pick a track and follow it.

1) Pick a track you have some interest in.
2) Learn how to use your preferred set of past...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-08-2005, 03:12 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 1,082
Posted By sparkywowo
I do and don't have a problem with it. Low...

I do and don't have a problem with it. Low handle tracks can offer great value in the following pools: show, quinella (if they have it). I use youbet.com and use the wager queue feature to line up...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-05-2005, 02:41 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 620
Posted By sparkywowo
Sunday at Mountaineer: Truly Special

I couldn't tell watching the replays, but it looked like the jock lost the whip on this one... did anyone notice? Wasn't mentioned in the chart.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-02-2005, 07:19 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 1,532
Posted By sparkywowo
A typical dirt router might run fractions like...

A typical dirt router might run fractions like the following at a mile:

Early Runners: 23 24 25 27
Midpack Runners: 24 24 25 26
Deep Closers: 25 25 24 25

On the turf you might see:
...
Forum: Handicapping Software 08-31-2005, 11:31 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 1,739
Posted By sparkywowo
Incremental Splits::This Horse in Formulator 4, need code that works

I am using the formulator 4 and like the Incremental Splits :: This Horse, but the code doesn't spit out sensible number for races less than 6f since the points of call don't match up with the 1/4...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-31-2005, 06:16 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 2,267
Posted By sparkywowo
Biases are often thought of in two ways: Path...

Biases are often thought of in two ways:
Path on the Track
Style of Runner

The Path on the Track is easy to understand, for example the rail is deep and tiring or the rail is hard and the...
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