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Search: Posts Made By: mickey_arnold
Forum: Handicapping Software 12-31-2016, 11:08 AM
Replies: 80
Views: 27,941
Posted By mickey_arnold
Are you familiar at all with the Taulbot...

Are you familiar at all with the Taulbot methodology and his ratings table ? I wouldn't want to see you spend money on it without having an in depth look at the ratings that are produced.......Its...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-10-2016, 03:14 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 4,078
Posted By mickey_arnold
I don't think you define handicapping...

I don't think you define handicapping "fundamentals", as much as you describe what are recurring citations of what has been considered essential elements (speed, pace, class, consistency,form,...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-10-2016, 12:56 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 4,078
Posted By mickey_arnold
Absorb the fundamentals and then do some reading...

Absorb the fundamentals and then do some reading on the psychology of handicapping, wagering and, most importantly, winning.

Also, after the preliminary stage of mastering the fundamentals,read...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-02-2016, 08:51 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 2,071
Posted By mickey_arnold
Would the use of a betting line set by legalized...

Would the use of a betting line set by legalized bookmakers be objectionable? What about free betting lines set by a handicapping picks service or handicapping data service? Is using public...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-01-2016, 11:09 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 2,071
Posted By mickey_arnold
I don't know how much of an influence the ML is...

I don't know how much of an influence the ML is on final odds. but at the "vacation" tracks, the "sun and sandals" crowd will take any help they can get. And how many of those folks would not like...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 06-12-2016, 10:51 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 2,800
Posted By mickey_arnold
I forgot to add that too much flexibility in...

I forgot to add that too much flexibility in system rules is not too good either, if not worse
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 06-12-2016, 10:39 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 2,800
Posted By mickey_arnold
There are many, many scenarios. Many factors to...

There are many, many scenarios. Many factors to consider. Here's a general approach to look at based on the Contrarian/Kinky handicapping idea;

Look at some of the factors traditionally used to...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 06-07-2016, 06:42 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 2,800
Posted By mickey_arnold
I think I did a 500 race look at Russ Harris...

I think I did a 500 race look at Russ Harris broken out by Sprint versus Route and Claiming versus Allowance, separately... Since it was all manual work couldn't do a wide matrix with meaning and...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 06-07-2016, 06:29 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 2,800
Posted By mickey_arnold
Public Handicapper Specialties

Steve Matthews for Newsday was already cited...The NY Post had a selector who specialized in longshots...Can't recall who.. Maybe Matthews worked for the Post at one time..

Was always puzzled with...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 06-07-2016, 05:44 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 2,800
Posted By mickey_arnold
Old PA thread on Public Handicappers

Check this out from 2004:

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/archive/index.php/t-14101.html
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-05-2016, 11:38 AM
Replies: 114
Views: 6,837
Posted By mickey_arnold
Sort of reminds me of the the following...

Sort of reminds me of the the following observation:

Q. What's the difference between professional wrestling and the sale of absurd handicapping systems?

A. The latter never stopped being...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-05-2016, 11:21 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 831
Posted By mickey_arnold
You can think you can definitely throw class of...

You can think you can definitely throw class of the current race and "class" of the individual competitors into the scenario mix.
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-05-2016, 10:26 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 831
Posted By mickey_arnold
Scratches and their impact

Looking for some opinions about scratches and their effect on how the race plays out from the standpoint, particularly, of pace scenario and strategy of the connections.

Always wondered about the...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-04-2016, 03:43 PM
Replies: 114
Views: 6,837
Posted By mickey_arnold
Also, there is that idea of "seconditis", that...

Also, there is that idea of "seconditis", that some horses act in of races like they are fooling around and will let another consistently pass them.

Maybe that's an old-fashioned concept that says...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 03-04-2016, 03:31 PM
Replies: 114
Views: 6,837
Posted By mickey_arnold
If you believe there is an innate hierarchy in...

If you believe there is an innate hierarchy in horses or other animals (that "look you in the eyes" superiority--so ease off, pal), how do you factor that into stamina or similar concepts?

Also,...
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-03-2016, 08:29 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 1,890
Posted By mickey_arnold
Well, he does have a sense of humor,,,he says...

Well, he does have a sense of humor,,,he says "Time is Gold" and then advertises his "Gold Plan--One year" ($45).

If you go that site, Click on "Puerto Rico"...That page shows a 60-1 shot...
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-02-2016, 01:17 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 1,890
Posted By mickey_arnold
PlanetBet

Anyone know anything about PlanetBet software?...Scam from another galaxy?... http://ezbestbet.com/ (http://ezbestbet.com)
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-02-2016, 12:49 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 1,549
Posted By mickey_arnold
Gee, Dave, with all the people on PA sitewho...

Gee, Dave, with all the people on PA sitewho admire and utilize your products plus all the free handicapping info you supply, I'm surprised that at this point, you haven't received a blizzard of...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-01-2016, 12:16 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 1,549
Posted By mickey_arnold
Oops..., overlooked the mentioning of "The...

Oops..., overlooked the mentioning of "The Brain"...I had what appeared to be a formatting glitch is the Search Instructions window...I am viewing some overlapping of words... Caused me to pass right...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-01-2016, 12:06 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 1,549
Posted By mickey_arnold
Great job, Dave....Well thought out and both...

Great job, Dave....Well thought out and both efficient and effective...

How would you like comments and suggestions be forwarded to you? This site or personal e-mail?

Did you use specialized...
Forum: Handicapping Software 02-28-2016, 05:41 AM
Replies: 47
Views: 7,936
Posted By mickey_arnold
Don't sweat it Dave... As the Texas saying...

Don't sweat it Dave...

As the Texas saying goes "The time to kill a snake is when he raises his head."
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 02-27-2016, 04:39 PM
Replies: 113
Views: 9,402
Posted By mickey_arnold
BRIS PRIME POWER vs. JCAPPER POWER RATING

Check out this link before making definitive statements about Prime Power being "king": http://www.jcapper.com/benchmarktesting.asp (http://http://www.jcapper.com/benchmarktesting.asp). Depends...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 01-18-2016, 10:44 PM
Replies: 113
Views: 9,402
Posted By mickey_arnold
I hear you, CJ...I can just take a gander at the...

I hear you, CJ...I can just take a gander at the figs I use and can see at a glance whether a horse fits in the group edge I am looking for...helps a lot to have memorized how odds translate into...
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 01-18-2016, 07:56 PM
Replies: 113
Views: 9,402
Posted By mickey_arnold
CJ, Your linemaking approach has...

CJ,

Your linemaking approach has dramatically simplified for me the task of setting a threshold win% for the set of contenders.

But I don't use it to for apportioning that percentage to...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-21-2015, 04:31 PM
Replies: 72
Views: 7,160
Posted By mickey_arnold
REASON I POSTED QUERY ABOUT DATA ON ML 2ND, 3RD...

REASON I POSTED QUERY ABOUT DATA ON ML 2ND, 3RD OR HIGHER ACCURACY IS THAT I HAVE BEEN SEARCHING FOREVER FOR DATA ON WIN% OF 2ND , 3RD, ETC TOTE BOARD CHOICES , RELATIVE TO VARIATION IN WIN% OF TOTE...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 66

 
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